Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Handicapping Discussion


Poll: Souped up for fast times? Speed Bias? Late Runners? Fair?
Poll Options
Souped up for fast times? Speed Bias? Late Runners? Fair?

Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 10-29-2014, 07:34 PM   #1
JustRalph
Just another Facist
 
JustRalph's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Now in Houston
Posts: 52,818
Santa Anita Souped up for Br. Cup? Y/N?

I'm reading all kinds saying no

I have absolutely no confidence in the track crew

Anything is possible....
JustRalph is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-29-2014, 07:36 PM   #2
Stillriledup
Veteran
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 25,607
SA is bone crushingly speed favoring right now. Horse handicapping is out the window, the form means nothing, the races might as well be 1 foot long because once the horse's establish position, there's very little movement. For every one race that collapses and the winners come circling up from the back, the other 99 are single file-athons with no gaining whatsoever.

Souping up the track might actually be ok as it can't possibly get any more speed favoring than it already is.
Stillriledup is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-29-2014, 09:25 PM   #3
Tom
The Voice of Reason!
 
Tom's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,887
Typical of tracks to soup up on big days.
They think fast times will be impressive.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Tom is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-30-2014, 01:35 AM   #4
stormreveler
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 57
It amazes me that they really do seem to think this way, when final times by the stopwatch are even more meaningless to the casual fan than they are to gamblers, year-round fans, etc.

Seems pretty obvious to me that the casual fan would be much more excited about a charge down the stretch to overtake the leaders than watching a parade around the track.
stormreveler is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-30-2014, 01:56 AM   #5
Stillriledup
Veteran
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 25,607
Quote:
Originally Posted by stormreveler
It amazes me that they really do seem to think this way, when final times by the stopwatch are even more meaningless to the casual fan than they are to gamblers, year-round fans, etc.

Seems pretty obvious to me that the casual fan would be much more excited about a charge down the stretch to overtake the leaders than watching a parade around the track.
Its important to have a track where the most amount of horses have a chance. If only the front runner and maybe a stalker or two can win, that's not good.
Stillriledup is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-30-2014, 11:23 AM   #6
DRIVEWAY
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 1,000
The temperatures on Friday(H71) and Saturday(H67) are fair to all contestants.

With the cooler weather the track should soften up somewhat and be fairer to closers.
DRIVEWAY is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-30-2014, 07:34 PM   #7
Nitro
Registered User
 
Nitro's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,001
Why in the world would a real horse player grumble about any form of noticeable track bias???? Last time I looked the fastest animal from gate to wire wins. If plodders can’t compete then look for softer spot. (That be taken literally)
Nitro is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-30-2014, 08:06 PM   #8
Rex Phinney
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: Bakersfield, CA
Posts: 1,791
The more bias the easier it is to make money right?

If you think the speed bias is there load up on Goldencents and Bayern and let it rip.
Rex Phinney is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-30-2014, 09:29 PM   #9
kevb
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 506
Watching Friday's races, it looks like the jockies think it is juiced in favor of front runners. Most of them seem to be sending pretty hard. Trevor's comment in the last race, "Once again they are all lining up in the front."
kevb is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-30-2014, 10:41 PM   #10
jettroofer
Registered User
 
Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 123
The answer is in race 10 tonite. The was out of the money in 5 starts, the clear early speed, but should not have been even close to being able to hold. It was obvious few had a chance to make up ground. 32-1 to close the night, gate to wire. I would say its a parking lot.
jettroofer is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-31-2014, 12:05 PM   #11
Robert Goren
Racing Form Detective
 
Robert Goren's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Lincoln, Ne but my heart is at Santa Anita
Posts: 16,316
Tracks generally try to have a very fast surface for its big days. I think SA will too. What the unintended consequences will be is yet to be determined. Generally when they shoot for fast times, they get an early speed favoring track. I hope they get one. I hate betting a "fair" track.
__________________
Some day in the not too distant future, horse players will betting on computer generated races over the net. Race tracks will become casinos and shopping centers. And some crooner will be belting out "there used to be a race track here".
Robert Goren is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-31-2014, 12:07 PM   #12
Robert Goren
Racing Form Detective
 
Robert Goren's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Lincoln, Ne but my heart is at Santa Anita
Posts: 16,316
Quote:
Originally Posted by jettroofer
The answer is in race 10 tonite. The was out of the money in 5 starts, the clear early speed, but should not have been even close to being able to hold. It was obvious few had a chance to make up ground. 32-1 to close the night, gate to wire. I would say its a parking lot.
If we don't know until race 10, it going to be a fair track.
__________________
Some day in the not too distant future, horse players will betting on computer generated races over the net. Race tracks will become casinos and shopping centers. And some crooner will be belting out "there used to be a race track here".
Robert Goren is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-31-2014, 12:21 PM   #13
menifee
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,745
Quote:
Originally Posted by jettroofer
The answer is in race 10 tonite. The was out of the money in 5 starts, the clear early speed, but should not have been even close to being able to hold. It was obvious few had a chance to make up ground. 32-1 to close the night, gate to wire. I would say its a parking lot.

Yeah - the track was ridiculously speed favoring yesterday - especially in sprints. Why they do this every year is beyond me.
menifee is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-31-2014, 05:36 PM   #14
Nitro
Registered User
 
Nitro's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,001
Quote:
Originally Posted by jettroofer
The answer is in race 10 tonite. The was out of the money in 5 starts, the clear early speed, but should not have been even close to being able to hold. It was obvious few had a chance to make up ground. 32-1 to close the night, gate to wire. I would say its a parking lot.
Jettroofer was referring to yesterday's 10th race. Horse players complain about everything under the sun, but when a gift horse looks them right in the eye they ignore it! And now they're looking for fairness!? How about looking for a score? I'll take a known track bias over any other handicapping angle any day of the week.
Santa Anita #10 FRI - 10/30
Race #10 8:42pm
POS # Horse Win Place Show
1 4 Tribal Express $67.40 $19.20 $14.60
2 2 Gold Journey - ..........$5.00 ..$4.00
3 8 Diamond Cut - - ................$12.40
4 13 Powerful Girl - - -
5 9 Ill Tell You What
Nitro is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 10-31-2014, 06:03 PM   #15
Tom
The Voice of Reason!
 
Tom's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,887
Did you post that pick BEFORE the race?
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Tom is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 02:09 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.