*Handicapping Methods-Spot Play Testing-Software Etc

[Winger]

Killing it today. I still owe an update for yesterday.

[Winger]

This one is for you Greg. I like the Bris Summary method because it ignores the Jock/Trainer win percentage. The reason I want to ignore those, is because they are already built into the odds.

COMPLETED: 27611-eed71 SA #7 $4 Win 1 none $4.00 $115.60 + $111.60

[Winger]

Originally Posted by Winger

Current Bankroll: $157.70 (-$42.30 - 90 Races)
Wager = $4 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.

Today's Selections:
GGX-2 No More Twinkies (6/1)
LRL-2 Carpe Omnia (12/1)
TAM-7 Startship Journey (4/1) 1st... 18.40


==================================================
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
GGX-7 Papa Frank (2/1)
LAX-8 You Do The Math (9/2)

Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.
CTX-6 Mail Order Groom (3/1)
GPX-8 Homespun Hero (6/1) 1st... 5.60
LRL-6 Street Cruizer (7/2)
OPX-4 Jifquick (10/1)
PEN-2 Vereda Tropical (15/1)
SAX-2 Fast Magoo (3/1)
TAM-9 Out Of The Woods (12/1) Scratched
TPX-8 Marcasite (20/1)

1st or 2nd with new trainer, with recent activity and a recent strong speed figure.
GPX-1 Mr Changue (7/2)

Yesterday's update.

[Winger]

Originally Posted by Winger

Current Bankroll: $182.50 (-$17.50 - 93 Races)
Wager = $4 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.

Today's Selections:
GGX-2 Saleofthecentury (6/1)
GPX-7 Live By The River (7/2)
MVR-7 Spring eeled Jack (20/1)
TPX-10 Maximum Horsepower (5/1) 1st... 18.20

==================================================
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
HAW-7 Even Fever (4/1) 1st... 10.40
MVR-8 West Terrace (4/1) 1st... 14.60
TUP-8 Princetons Mark (3/1) 1st... 4.40


Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.
CTX-6 Delightful Erin (8/1)
FGX-7 Sweet Bagg O Jo (3/1) 1st... 9.40
HAW-7 Even Fever (4/1) 1st... 10.40 (bet it twice, since it fell into 2 methods)
LAX-1 Teasdale Thunder (7/2)
LRL-1 Magic Cookie (5/1) Scratched
LRL-4 Marching Charing (3/1)
LRL-7 Lucky Candy (20/1)
RIL-8 Magnificent Dawn (10/1)
SAX-7 Emotional Drive (20/1) 1st... 57.80
TAM-2 Red Hot n Boom (6/1)
TAM-8 Perdido Playboy (12/1)
TPX-2 Net Profit (3/1)
TPX-10 Run It Back (12/1)
TUP-6 Summit Central (4/1)

1st or 2nd with new trainer, with recent activity and a recent strong speed figure.
FGX-5 After the Goldrush
TAM-7 Willow Bob (8/1)

Crushed it today.

[Winger]

Current Bankroll: $203.00 (+$3.00 - 98 Races)
Wager = $6 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.

Today's Selections:
FGX-4 Sail Maker (4/1)
GPX-3 Puntrooskie (4/1)
TAM-4 Angel M (4/1)
TPX-1 :1A: Bloody Smart (7/2)

==================================================
Additional Selections:
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
AQU-7 Kalabaka (2/1)
LRL-6 Start Jumping (7/2)
TAM-2 Tax Breaker (2/1)
TAM-4 Space Trip (7/2)
TAM-7 National (3/1)
TPX-3 Sweets N Treats (7/2)

Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.
FGX-4 Holiday Touch (7/2)
GPX-8 Cocos Cat (7/2)
LRL-2 Gunner Road (9/2)
LRL-7 VIM (12/1)
OPX-1 Suspect a Storm (12/1)
OPX-3 At Bat (8/1)
OPX-7 Snow Leopard (7/2)
PRX-4 Alice and Trixie (9/2)
SUN-3 Spotlight Miss (8/1)
SUN-5 Infinite Bull (6/1)
TPX-7 Lets Go Ben (6/1)

1st or 2nd with new trainer, with recent activity and a recent strong speed figure.
LRL-5 Time To Spare (3/1)
LRL-6 Start Jumping (7/2)
SAX-5 Seeking the Sherif (5/2)
TPX-2 Bar Car (5/2)

[NorCalGreg]

AQUEDUCT
3RD WILLET 5-1
7TH EVERYDOGHASHISDAY 8-1
8TH FOXY RULES 15-1 W/P

MAHONING
7TH SPRINGHEELED 20-1 W/P

PARX
6TH MACHU PICCHU SKY 5/2
7TH HOLY SOLDIER 9/2

SANTA ANITA
1ST TIZ JOLIE 5-1
4TH J SERINO 15-1 W/P
5TH INDYGO HOLIDAY 15-1 W/P

TURF PARADISE
3RD GREAT SELECTION 4-1
5TH STAR OF THE DIA 15-1 W/P
7TH S U M RACER 10-1




As good a day as Winger had--I took it in the shorts.

Nada for the day--not even a scratch!

🎲NCG

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by Winger

This one is for you Greg. I like the Bris Summary method because it ignores the Jock/Trainer win percentage. The reason I want to ignore those, is because they are already built into the odds.

COMPLETED: 27611-eed71 SA #7 $4 Win 1 none $4.00 $115.60 + $111.60

Beautiful. Excellent use of the Summary, Winger. Pandy wrote the book on using the Bris Summary (literally, he has a book out)--with everything that horse had going for it--you even missed another item--look at his R1 RATING--he topped that too. This I learned from Pandy.

GD good lookin out, Winger

Next time someone asks me who I like in a certain race--I'll say "How do I know?--check with Winger"

[NorCalGreg]

***The lotto $1 straight superfecta:OAKLAWN~Race-6 -->> 7-2-4-3

Since I'm not a big-time big-money horseplayer--this is my version of trying to crush a race. I will bet bigger to win at times, but generally this is what it looks like.
I have my TIPS program set to add up the possible trainer manipulation tips--low-claimers and maiden claimers are where some good plays can be found--today's 6th Race @ Oaklawn was interesting.

Two 10-1 shots are ranked the highest--with a big gap to the remaining field.

So I bet the & --small win bets--then boxed them in an exacta. Here's where the attempt at "crushing it" comes is.
*I bet a trifecta with those two on top of the next two-
*then a super with those two on top of the next three--
*then boxed all 5 in a 10cent super-
*and finally--a straight $1 superfecta.

I can easily lose the $47 invested here, happens way more often than not-but there is a chance I could win well over $1000.

The "pyramid" looks like this:






ACCEPTED: 2eed3-7d745OP#6 $5 Win 2, 7 none $10.00

ACCEPTED: 5ffe3-409ab OP #6 $2 Exacta BX, 2, 7 none $4.00

ACCEPTED:71419-909ae OP #6 $1 Trifecta 2, 7, WT, 2, 3, 4, 7, WT, 3, 4 none $8.00

ACCEPTED: 12fb3-19308OP#6$1 Superfecta2, 7, WT, 2, 7, WT, 3, 4, 5, WT, 3, 4, 5 none $12.00

ACCEPTED:16240-6172a OP #6 $0.10 Superfecta BX, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7 none $12.00

ACCEPTED: 1ffef-03b8e OP #6 $1 Superfecta 7, WT, 2, WT, 4, WT, 3 none $1.00

Unless I find another race that looks "crush-worthy" --this will be it for me, other than assorted win bets


🎲NCG

[NorCalGreg]

⚡ BEST BETS ⚡

STARTING BANKROLL $1000 -AMERICAN

❇ $100 BASE BET---SQUARE ROOT OF PROFIT ADDED EACH DAY ❇

O3/18/16

GULFSTREAM RACE 7 ⭐ ARMANDO BIG ⭐ ML 8-1 *NO BET*



-$100 --CURRENT BANKROLL =$700
---------------------------------------------------------------
O3/20/16

TODAYS WAGER = $100 TO WIN




*TURFWAY PARK* RACE 1 ⭐ LA GRENOUILLE ⭐ 5-1 ML


✨NCG



*keep in mind--I'm just some guy on the internet that you don't know----watch but please DON'T BET
*I only bet when the situation presents itself--there will not be a play everyday

[NorCalGreg]

AQUEDUCT
7TH STELLA WHO 20-1

FAIRGROUNDS
9TH STORM ADVISORY 10-1

GOLDEN GATE
7TH DA BROOKLYN KID 10-1

GULFSTREAM
2ND CORBY 10-1

OAKLAWN
2ND TANQ ON THE ROCKS 8-1
8TH 9 BOLD STEPHEN 15-1

SUNLAND
3RD SPOTLIGHT MISS 8-1


These should be solid...gonna put some money on these, and get
the ol' bankroll right back up there--

have a good day

🎲NCG

[Winger]

Originally Posted by Winger

Current Bankroll: $203.00 (+$3.00 - 98 Races)
Wager = $6 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.

Today's Selections:
FGX-4 Sail Maker (4/1)
GPX-3 Puntrooskie (4/1)
TAM-4 Angel M (4/1) 1st... 9.00
TPX-1 :1A: Bloody Smart (7/2)

==================================================
Additional Selections:
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
AQU-7 Kalabaka (2/1)
LRL-6 Start Jumping (7/2)
TAM-2 Tax Breaker (2/1)
TAM-4 Space Trip (7/2)
TAM-7 National (3/1) 1st... 4.00
TPX-3 Sweets N Treats (7/2)

Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.


FGX-4 Holiday Touch (7/2)
GPX-8 Cocos Cat (7/2)
LRL-2 Gunner Road (9/2)
LRL-7 VIM (12/1) 1st... 11.80
OPX-1 Suspect a Storm (12/1)
OPX-3 At Bat (8/1)
OPX-7 Snow Leopard (7/2)
PRX-4 Alice and Trixie (9/2)
SUN-3 Spotlight Miss (8/1) Scratched
SUN-5 Infinite Bull (6/1)
TPX-7 Lets Go Ben (6/1)

1st or 2nd with new trainer, with recent activity and a recent strong speed

figure.
LRL-5 Time To Spare (3/1)
LRL-6 Start Jumping (7/2)
SAX-5 Seeking the Sherif (5/2) 1st... 8.40
TPX-2 Bar Car (5/2) 1st... 3.00

Updated

[Winger]

Current Bankroll: $206.00 (+$6.00 - 102 Races)
Wager = $6 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.

Today's Selections:
None Today

==================================================
Additional Selections:
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
TUP-3 Full Consent (3/1)

Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.


MVR-6 Talent Man (6/1)


1st or 2nd with new trainer, with recent activity and a recent strong speed

figure.
None Today

Testing Only - 50% Method. Goal is 50% wins w/ positive ROI
MVR-1 Famous Jameis (6/1)
MVR-3 White Knuckle RIde (2/1)
MVR-4 Bragg Time (2/1)
MVR-5 Crazy Wild Bees (5/2)
TUP-4 Tropical Bay (8/5)
WRD-3 Here Comes Chloe (3/5)
WRD-5 Papasquiaro (6/5)
WRD-6 Escort (2/1)

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

I like CRESCENT 12-1 in the 6th

W / &

/ exactas

good luck all

-NCG☮

[B]-It's better to be lucky than good--I made an exacta bet @ MVR-- posted it up--then forgot I had bet it--- and bet it again. The first time I had 3 horses with the up and back-

Then , Fatherhood beckoned, and I completely forgot about the original bet--

The 2nd go-round I just keyed the 7 with 2 horses.

Lucky for me--nailed them both

COMPLETED:99165-bbfd7 MVR #6 $2 Exacta 1, 3, 6, WT, 7 $6.00 $172.20+ $166.20

COMPLETED: 7e355-d6259 MVR #6 $2 Exacta BN, 7, WT, 1, 3 $8.00 172.20+ 164.20

[Winger]

Originally Posted by Winger

Current Bankroll: $206.00 (+$6.00 - 102 Races)
Wager = $6 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.

Today's Selections:
None Today

==================================================
Additional Selections:
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
TUP-3 Full Consent (3/1)

Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.


MVR-6 Talent Man (6/1) 1st... 11.40


1st or 2nd with new trainer, with recent activity and a recent strong speed

figure.
None Today

Testing Only - 50% Method. Goal is 50% wins w/ positive ROI
MVR-1 Famous Jameis (6/1)
MVR-3 White Knuckle RIde (2/1)
MVR-4 Bragg Time (2/1)
MVR-5 Crazy Wild Bees (5/2)
TUP-4 Tropical Bay (8/5)
WRD-3 Here Comes Chloe (3/5)
WRD-5 Papasquiaro (6/5)
WRD-6 Escort (2/1)

Hit 4/8 on the 50% method, but I don't have the time to continue with it. I was hoping to make a method based on rolling doubles, but that's a project for another time.

[Winger]

Current Bankroll: $206.00 (+$6.00 - 102 Races)
Wager = $6 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Today's Selections:
SUN-7 Snowbound Jones (4/1)
WRD-6 Eugenes Star (10/1) & Crafty Vision (4/1)

==================================================
Additional Selections:
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race
MVR-4 Luckysdream (2/1)

These picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.


SUN-7 Snowbound Jones (4/1)
SUN-8 King of Cool (7/2)
SUN-9 Punkin Roll (3/1)
WRD-8 Flying Tom (4/1)


1st or 2nd with new trainer, with recent activity and a recent strong speed figure.
TUP-5 Conticinio (5/2)