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Old 09-15-2019, 03:26 AM   #61
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UPDATE: R#6- 1200M C4 (6F)T…......8-2-6 W/ 12-5-7….3:35 AM
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Old 09-15-2019, 03:44 AM   #62
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UPDATE: R#6- 1200M C4 (6F)T…......8-2-6 W/ 12-5-7….3:35 AM
6-8-5-7– Dutch Win 51% Profit Margin / $36.50 Quinella & $224.80 Triple ($2,784.60 Quartet)- All of that one!
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Old 09-15-2019, 03:59 AM   #63
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UPDATE: R#7– 1400M C4 (7F)T……..11-12-6 W/ 4-5-13 ...4:05 AM
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Old 09-15-2019, 04:14 AM   #64
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UPDATE: R#7– 1400M C4 (7F)T……..11-12-6 W/ 4-5-13 ...4:05 AM
5-11-14-12– Dutch Loss 30% Profit Margin-Passed / $150.40 Quinella
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Old 09-15-2019, 04:26 AM   #65
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UPDATE: R#8- 1650M C3 (8.25F)D.… 1-9-6 W/ 4-3-2 …….4:35 AM
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Old 09-15-2019, 04:43 AM   #66
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UPDATE: R#8- 1650M C3 (8.25F)D.… 1-9-6 W/ 4-3-2 …….4:35 AM
1-5-4-10– Dutch Win 30% Profit Margin-Passed /
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Old 09-15-2019, 05:01 AM   #67
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UPDATE: R#9- 1200M C2 (6F)T…….… 3-4-7 W/ 1-9-2 …….5:10 AM
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Old 09-15-2019, 05:31 AM   #68
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UPDATE: R#9- 1200M C2 (6F)T…….… 3-4-7 W/ 1-9-2 …….5:10 AM
5-7-1-10– Dutch Loss 49% Profit Margin-Passed /

Last edited by Nitro; 09-15-2019 at 05:38 AM.
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Old 09-15-2019, 05:38 AM   #69
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UPDATE: R#10- 1400M C3 (7F)T…… 3-1-12 W/ 13-11-9 …..5:45 AM
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Old 09-15-2019, 06:01 AM   #70
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Quote:
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UPDATE: R#10- 1400M C3 (7F)T…… 3-1-12 W/ 13-11-9 …..5:45 AM
3-2/9-11– Dutch Win 54% Profit Margin / $13.80 Quinella- A DH for the Place

It turned out to be another fun and profitable card. With 3 out of 3 Dutch Win bets provided a nice overall profit margin of 57%. There were also some nice Verticals from the Quinellas and Triples that were hit.
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Old 09-16-2019, 01:48 PM   #71
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Hong Kong Racing Recap
Date: September 11, 2019
Track: Happy Valley
Bias:Very strong rail

Horses to watch for list:
Race 25
Best Smile (60) Was beaten by a very nice runner in Aquila in his debut after being scratched in the gate after flipping in his previous try at running. Was ncold at the windows after that incident when he did run in July but did go off as the even money favourite here after picking up the leading rider Purton for this out. Breaking on the rail he took a slight step forward at the start but quickly gathered himself up, after 400 metres he found himself on the lead dueling it out with Look Eras who does show speed from time to time but would rather run second and third at the line. Entering the turn Purton took him back off the lead but was able to keep him on the rail and with the way the track playing that night it was the place to be at. When he reached the 300 metre mark he recaptured the lead without any encouragement from his rider, with 50 to go he looked the winner but was caught right before the wire by second time starter Happy Swears for Ting who paid $130 to win, should have more in the tank in his next out to get him to the wire.

Race 27
Perfect Play (64) In his last race just before the summer break he finished a nice second to Flying Quest after travelling wide without any cover but did come out of that race on the Vet's list with a sore back. Fownes had figured he had the problem solved by picking up Moreira for the run around the block and the public responded with them betting him down to the 2-1 chalk. He broke a step slow but that is nothing new with him, he usually runs from off the pace, heading into the first turn he found himself mid-pack racing two wide all the while the light weight eventual winner Last Kingdom was on the front end setting a very slow pace for the rest to ran at. At the 750 metre mark Joao tried to get him into the race but was forced out to the three path entering the turn and with a very strong rail bias that night he was now treading water, entering the stretch he drifted out to the five path even further away from the land of gold and honey and with the early pace situation he couldn't make up the ground in the stretch and was hand ridden for the final 100 metres.

Horse to avoid next time out:
Race 27
Last Kingdom (70) Was allowed to set a pedestrian pace while racing on a very strong rail for the evening, don't think he will catch lightning in a bottle twice in a row.
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Old 09-16-2019, 10:12 PM   #72
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Thanks guys appreciate the information from both of you.
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Old 09-17-2019, 07:58 PM   #73
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Hong Kong Jockey Club at Happy Valley. September 18, 2019… 5th race meeting of the 2019-2020 year.
Weather report: 80 Degrees 50% of rain Wind: E 5 to 10 mph.

Post time: 7.15am ET, 4.15 am PT. Rail: Course “C”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
https://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20190918_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

http://thoroughbrednews.com.au/news/story/live-streaming-of-hong-kongs-meetings-116841?section=livestreaming


Vulnerable favourite on the card:
None

Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *742 (Winners: 1st, 4th & 5th, Second: 6th)
Race 4 Trust Me (16-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
None

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 1 Saul’s Special (5-1)
Race 2 Charity Wings (7-2)
Race 4 Smart Of Youth (5-2)
Race 5 Dollar Reward (10-1)
Race 8 Blitzing (9-2)

Horses for courses running tonight:
Race 1 Saul’s Special (5-1)
Race 8 Blitzing (9-2)

Distance specialists running tonight:
Race 1 Moment Of Power (13-1)
Race 1 Speedy King (16-1)

Class specialists running tonight:
None

Last race watch list horses running tonight:
Race 1 Saul's Special (5-1) He would probably have more wins in his past if handled by a more competent trainer but he seems to finally put everything together now after this try. Zac gave him a nearly perfect ride here, he broke well then soon as the pace set up he took him back off of it and let Moment Of Power and Baltic Whisper go at it. Then at the top of the stretch he moved to the tiring front runners without moving a muscle and only had to outrun Handsome Bo Bo who was conceding 13 pounds to Saul's, after a couple whacks he quickly ran away from the lightweight rival and won under a heavy restraint. He picked up 8 rating points which puts him at 100 which will allow him to race again at Class 2.

Past watch list runners running tonight:
None

Key Plays:
Race 1 Saul's Special (5-1)

Longshot:
Race 6 Arcada (12-1)
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Old 09-18-2019, 01:05 AM   #74
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Cool HONG KONG – HAPPY VALLEY - WED - 9/18/19

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I’m posting my pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 8 races at Happy Valley all to be run on Turf:
(from top Class to bottom) – (1)-Class-2, (3)-Class-3, (5)-Class-4

Post Time Race #1 – 7:15 AM WED EST

I’ve taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these and any others I might have missed.
The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined odds values of the selected entries add up to decent return.

Good Luck if you’re playing!

R#1- 1000M C2 (5F)T…..…...8-9-7 W/ 1-5-3……….7:15 AM

R#2- 1650M C4 (8.25F)T…...7-1-4 W/ 2…………..…7:45 AM

R#3- 1650M C4 (8.25F)T…...1-4-3 W/ 7-6………....8:15 AM

R#4- 1200M C4 (6F)T………...3-6-7 W/ 8-11-9……..8:45 AM

R#5- 1200M C4 (6F)T…….....6-8-1 W/ 3-5-7……..…9:15 AM

R#6- 1800M C3 (9F)T …...….8-6-12 W/ 1-7-3……...9:45 AM

R#7– 1200M C3 (6F)T …..…..2-6-4 W/ 1-8-7……….10:15 AM

R#8- 1200M C3 (6F)T……..….7-11-6 W/ 5-1-12 …..10:50 AM
.
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Old 09-18-2019, 06:34 AM   #75
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Today's racing cancelled due to fears of political unrest:

https://www.cnn.com/2019/09/18/busin...led/index.html


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