Let's handicap 05/16/14 Pim Race 11

[whodoyoulike]

Pimlico Race 11

STAKES. 6 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $100,000. Miss Preakness S.. FOR FILLIES, THREE-YEARS-OLD. By free subscription. $500 to pass the entry box, $500 additional to start, with $100,000 Guaranteed of which 60% to the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 6% to fourth, 3% to fifth and 1% to sixth. Supplemental nominations of $1,000 each will be accepted by the usual time of entry with all other fees due as noted. Weight: 122 lbs. Non-winners of $60,000 twice allowed, 2 lbs.; a race of $60,000, 4 lbs.; a race of $50,000, 6 lbs. (Maiden, Claiming and Starter races not considered in estimating allowances). Trophy to the owner of the winner. Nominations closed Tuesday May 6, 2014 with 38 nominations. Adena Springs will donate a season to Ghostzapper to the winning owner. Filly or mare must be approved by Adena Springs.prings will donate a season to Ghostzapper to the winning owner. Filly or mare must be approved by Adena Springs. (05:21 PM) (10)

FREE BRIS PP

http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_vi...param3=1772320

Vote for the horse you think will win and use the thread to discuss how you would bet the race.

Horses in the POLL are in PP order not Program order.

[BlueChip@DRF]

Raging Smoke - never worst than 2nd in all starts.
New Zone is the bomb play.

[whodoyoulike]

Pim $100 f 3yo 6f

My projected times:

Averages 71.68 23.35 22.74

Name Finish half 1/4 pole
stormy novel 72.10 22.80 22.69

raging smoke 71.74 23.79 22.62

inspired say eye 72.29 23.22 22.95

miss behaviour 71.45 22.97 23.13

tea time 72.39 23.44 23.39

tepin 70.73 23.31 22.62

sweetmarys success 71.97 23.09 21.84

jojo warrior 69.90 22.73 21.95

our lesmis 70.28 23.81 22.84

new zone 73.97 24.30 23.39

I think the race will be run 69.5 +/-.

Contenders Tepin (9/2), Jojo Warrior (5/2) and Our lesmis (5/1)

could wire the race but I think she will be challenged to the half by , and .

My selection is TEPIN to win depending on odds and how she looks warming up.

[dansan]

[TMQ]

I will take the Tepin, there is a ton of speed in this race. She has shown the ability to sit and wait for her move. Not many Quality sprinters around who close.

[BIG HIT]

#4 is my pick to win if spd dual has advantage if choose two.Won G2 in forum
#4 key on top with ex with #5 and#6 and#8 chaos race so could be way off or right on which think i am

[GaryG]

MISS BEHAVIOUR - that turf race sets her up to run big, this one is a solid play for me

[whodoyoulike]

Originally Posted by TMQ

I will take the Tepin, there is a ton of speed in this race. She has shown the ability to sit and wait for her move. Not many Quality sprinters around who close.

We're thinking alike. I don't know about her being a closer type. She just needs to run her race. Did you check out her Nov. race? She likes to win. But, it bothers me she's been off since. Hoping for good odds.

[Redboard]

#9 Our Lesmis

Has the highest last-out beyer, which was in the slop at the same track. 100% chance of heavy rain tomorrow. Outside position will help her rate with mucho speed inside.

[letswastemoney]

The only three fillies with a chance are Stormy Novel (15/1), Miss Behaviour (8/1) and Tea Time (5/2).

Miss Behaviour and Tea Time have the best numbers.

Stormy Novel will be helped by an off track.

[BettinBilly]

The Horse for me. This Filly is set up for this race. I'll also be setting her up with an Exotic with and . and and

[biggestal99]

4 couldn't beat 5 last time they meet and that was longer.

5 holds the speed card here and plays it

Catch her if you can.

Allan

[SandyW]

I think we should be thinking about a very sloppy track for Friday 5/16.

[TMQ]

Originally Posted by whodoyoulike

We're thinking alike. I don't know about her being a closer type. She just needs to run her race. Did you check out her Nov. race? She likes to win. But, it bothers me she's been off since. Hoping for good odds.

Casse is a trainer I really like,he can produce some nice winners coming off a layoff. if she is healthy and ready to fire I really like her chances.

[rstp354]

Tepin - off the layoff