Let's Handicap 10/26 Belmont Race 9? - Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com

whodoyoulike · 10-26-2013, 12:54 AM

Who do you like?

Race 9 - 8.5f gr3 $200k handicap f/m 3up

I've included a Poll to select who you think will win. The discussion is for how you will bet the race.

Free Bris PP can be located under Trainer Todd Pletcher

The Poll is in PP order not PROGRAM order.

Boca Poppy · 10-26-2013, 09:09 AM

I think this race sets up for

Centring. Rosario gets back on board after giving her a nice ride in the Ogden Phipps. I think there's going to be a pretty good struggle between 1, 2, 3 & 8 for the lead/pace and it could set up nice for

fasteddied · 10-26-2013, 09:15 AM

Who do you like? Read the book Tip on a dead crab and I am sure you will love it, horses, women, the track in the 80s and a great writer William Murray.

shouldacoulda · 10-26-2013, 12:42 PM

Think there will be 5 horses knocking heads early for lead.

Should leave the door open for

Like the works on the

would not leave it out of a tri or super Think it would make a nice place play depending on the odds.

has been running GR1 last 4 starts and 2nd back gained 10 lengths from the 2nd call. I think it will be

finish depending on who gets stuck behind tiring rivals.
I would go with a

/

exacta

/

tri but probably won't play the race. Too much of a crapshoot and probably at low odds. Will see after scratches.

RunForTheRoses · 10-26-2013, 01:00 PM

Hate to pick chalk again but I think if she gets a good trip the 6 is easy winner. 1 or 2 complete the exacta, may be able to get Shireffs horse into the Tri. Race 8 2 unit DD 6-6, 1 unit 45/6.

Ocala Mike · 10-26-2013, 01:14 PM

I boxed

in the exacta, and played the

W/P. Light in the numbers, but as the OP pointed out, the race shape favors him.

BIG HIT · 10-26-2013, 01:59 PM

0.10 super think they have one

Key#1 with 2-6-7

whodoyoulike · 10-26-2013, 04:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fasteddied

Who do you like? Read the book Tip on a dead crab and I am sure you will love it, horses, women, the track in the 80s and a great writer William Murray.

Thanks, I'll try and remember that title. I've never read any of his books but recall good write-ups of his works.

whodoyoulike · 10-26-2013, 04:39 PM

Although this a Gr3 race, I show all of them with slow times except for

Stanwyck. I've looked at her PP and I see her also running slow (I don't get it).

I'm going with

Fantasy of Flight (M/L 9/2) to win. She may be regressing in form.

CincyHorseplayer · 10-26-2013, 05:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ocala Mike

I boxed

in the exacta, and played the

W/P. Light in the numbers, but as the OP pointed out, the race shape favors him.

Hey hey hey!

Congrats to you and others who had the exacta also.21-1 and you just needed a little faith in the race shape.Nice bet.

shouldacoulda · 10-26-2013, 05:17 PM

Well I played it. Against my better judgement. Played W+P on

exacta box

and

/

tri.

Makes up for the butt kicking and stupid mistakes I made today and then some. Let a 52.00 FTS slip through my hands at GP. Played exacta and not individually. Fav ran 3rd.

Ocala Mike · 10-26-2013, 05:22 PM

Got out for the day with that one. Ironically, I had a splitzacta earlier with a Shirreffs firster sneaking into the place at huge odds. It was duly noted for later reference.

Anyway, sometimes race shape prevails over numbers; keeps the game interesting.

shouldacoulda · 10-26-2013, 05:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ocala Mike

Got out for the day with that one. Ironically, I had a splitzacta earlier with a Shirreffs firster sneaking into the place at huge odds. It was duly noted for later reference.

Anyway, sometimes race shape prevails over numbers; keeps the game interesting.

JustRalph · 10-26-2013, 05:27 PM

nice picking!

whodoyoulike · 10-26-2013, 06:07 PM

#4 Stanwyck (21.40) .................................................. 44.80 9.80 5.10
#6 Centring (1.15) .................................................. ................ 3.10 2.60
#1 Fantasy of flight (4.00) .................................................. ............. 3.90
#7 Royal lahaina (11.10)

$2.00 exacta 158.50 (4 - 6)
$2.00 trifecta 684.00 (4 - 6 - 1)

Per chart:

STANWYCK settled inside in mid pack, came under encouragement nearing the quarter pole, swung just off the inside into the stretch, rallied to seize command narrowly a furlong out, got confronted by CENTRING nearing the sixteenth marker, dug in gamely under a near sided stick guided out nearing the wire in a good race riding effort to intimidate and repulse that foe on the line. CENTRING three wide towards the rear, came under light coaxing at the three-eighths pole, commenced a five wide run from the five-sixteenths, rallied into contention a furlong out, dug in steadily gaining through the to the wire but was ultimately repulsed in a good effort. FANTASY OF FLIGHT rated on the pace along the inside, came under coaxing at the five-sixteenths, cut the corner into the stretch set down for the drive, got headed at the eighth pole and kept on well for the show honors. ROYAL LAHAINA just off the inside towards the rear, came under urging at the five-sixteenths, attempted to angle out three wide into upper stretch and lacked the clearance to make the move, shifted back to the inside straightened for home and offered up a mild kick for the last major share.

2 out of 10 voters selected a very nice winner and no scratches.