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03-18-2011, 02:01 PM
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#16
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Solana Beach ,CA
Posts: 414
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Bob Baffert used a new type bit on the Factor his last race. He was fighting this bit down the back-stretch. He goes back to the old bit in the Rebel.....interesting note to make. I have like Sway Away since I saw his first race last summer at the fair in Pleasanton......... A interesting horse that is under the radar in the Rebel might just be Picko's Pride.......should love the pace!
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03-18-2011, 05:51 PM
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#17
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,272
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour
Glint and Dreaminofthewin are supposedly not running and Elite Alex may go in the La Dby instead.
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They are out.
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
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03-18-2011, 07:13 PM
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#18
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Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 1,946
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by surfdog89
Bob Baffert used a new type bit on the Factor his last race. He was fighting this bit down the back-stretch. He goes back to the old bit in the Rebel.....interesting note to make. I have like Sway Away since I saw his first race last summer at the fair in Pleasanton......... A interesting horse that is under the radar in the Rebel might just be Picko's Pride.......should love the pace!
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It seems that the big question in this race is if THE FACTOR will rate. Not much in the way of speed in here so he should have an uncontested lead.
http://backstretchtalks.blogspot.com/
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03-18-2011, 07:26 PM
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#19
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Solana Beach ,CA
Posts: 414
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That's the big question of The Factor......can he slow down the pace. I think he is bred for the distance. He is the most talented horse in the field. But making a bet with short odds might not be my bet.
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03-18-2011, 08:13 PM
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#20
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 88
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I'd play The Factor over JP's Gusto & Sway Away in the exacta.The Factor is the speed & JP Gusto has apparently been training very well in company.
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03-18-2011, 08:59 PM
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#21
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Veteran
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 678
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Caleb's Posse
I'm taking a big swing with Caleb's Posse.
As someone whom I respect likes to say, "this horse is dirtied up".
At 20-1, I'm taking my chances.
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03-18-2011, 11:05 PM
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#22
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Kansas City
Posts: 270
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by surfdog89
n......... A interesting horse that is under the radar in the Rebel might just be Picko's Pride.......should love the pace!
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Shhhhh.......
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03-19-2011, 12:38 AM
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#23
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 546
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The recent work of Elite Alex tells me he's ready. I love him if he goes. I also think the big fillies in the previous race might be vulnerable. I'll use them but most likely be heavy on Tidal Pool. A Grade 3? Very nice!
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03-19-2011, 11:27 AM
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#24
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,272
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour
Glint and Dreaminofthewin are supposedly not running and Elite Alex may go in the La Dby instead.
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Now Elite Alex is out as well and will go in the La Derby
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
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03-19-2011, 11:38 AM
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#25
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Wyoming, near Yellowstone Park...born/raised in Brooklyn,NY
Posts: 7,557
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Kinda bummed about Elite Alex, but I think a smart move by Ritchie...and as of today, the LA Derby has just 5 entries...
it also made me change my picks order...so...
The Factor
Sway Away
Archarcharch
Alternation
Can't wait to see if Blind Luck and Harve de Grace can finish 1,2 again...I have Blind Luck to win.
__________________
joanied
"All we have to do is decide what to do with the time that is given to us"
Gandalf the Grey
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03-19-2011, 01:05 PM
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#26
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 2
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My short prediction: Sway Away wins a thriller over The Factor in a budding new rivalry, Alternation finishes a strong 3rd and JP's Gusto up for 4th.
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03-19-2011, 02:15 PM
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#27
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: Bossier City, Louisiana
Posts: 756
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by FlyinLate
Alternation looks to be a nice up-and-coming horse. He defeated Elite Alex in an allowance race. On Southwest day, he returned to romp home 5 clear in another allowance and Elite Alex ran second in the Southwest (double flatterings of his first allowance win).
The Cali shippers are likely to take tons of cash. If the Factor can stretch out, he'll be outrageously tough (my guess is he can't). I think every horse player saw Sway Away closing at SA, and IMO will go off favored over The Factor.
With all the big names drawn in here, Alternation should offer tremendous value and will likely be my play come Saturday.
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I put a little WP money on him and keyed him with 1-6-9 in the gimmicks. Like you, I like his chances with his odds.
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03-19-2011, 02:26 PM
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#28
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Alta Loma, California
Posts: 709
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If you notice the last 2 6f works for The Factor,
Baffert got him to slow down from 110.3 to 112.1.
Perhaps he's figured out how to tame that speed.
We'll see this afternoon, Good Luck to All.
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03-19-2011, 05:48 PM
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#29
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 600
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are the 12 and 13 a coupled entry in the Rebel?
Quote:
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Originally Posted by dogkatcher
If you notice the last 2 6f works for The Factor,
Baffert got him to slow down from 110.3 to 112.1.
Perhaps he's figured out how to tame that speed.
We'll see this afternoon, Good Luck to All.
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does anyone know if the 12 and 13 are coupled entries or separate wagering interests in the Rebel?
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03-19-2011, 06:10 PM
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#30
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,272
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They are coupled
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