*Handicapping Methods-Spot Play Testing-Software Etc

[Winger]

Current Bankroll: $233.90 (+$33.90 - 48 Races)
Wager = $6 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: 2/1 minimum odds at 0 MTP

Today's Selections:
MVR-1 Players Lil Girl (6/1)
PRX-3 Big Momma (4/1)
TUP-1 Fullshot (10/1)
TUP-7 Congregationalist (5/2)

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by green80

How much money do you think the owner lost on that horse $100,000+, more? A rule of thumb at an average track, if you are not making $2000 per start, you are not making any money.

Yeah....those horses are someone's pet, really. They're always the "owner-trainer"..in a 1 horse stable--because no one would hire them as a trainer, anyway. Has to be the case with HH's 0-32 maiden.

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by Winger

The Quarter Horse paid off.
LAD-5 MCM No Accent (6/1) 1st... 6.80
TUP-2 Wild Fibs (4/5) Wager Failed... as expected

And Wild Fibs went unclaimed--no one willing to put up 3K, hell the winner's check for this race was 4.4K....claim it--run it right back--pick up a sweet 4K and get your 3K back on the claim.

knuckleheads

[Winger]

Originally Posted by Winger

These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.
All require min odds of 2/1

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
MVR-7 Dont Waste My Time (3/1)

1st or 2nd with new trainer, with recent activity and a recent strong speed figure.
SUN-2 Silver Candy (5/2)
SUN-3 RoseWhiteNBlue (3/1)
SUN-7 Giant Prospector (3/1)
SUN-9 Chocolatier (6/1)
TUP-1 Cora Di Avali (6/5) ExBox with selection from method testing

MVR-7 Dont Waste My Time (3/1) Scratched
SUN-3 RoseWhiteNBlue (3/1) 1st... 8.20
SUN-7 Giant Prospector (3/1) Wager Failed
TUP-1 Cora Di Avali (6/5) Wager Failed

[Winger]

Originally Posted by Winger

Current Bankroll: $233.90 (+$33.90 - 48 Races)
Wager = $6 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: 2/1 minimum odds at 0 MTP

Today's Selections:
MVR-1 Players Lil Girl (6/1)
PRX-3 Big Momma (4/1)
TUP-1 Fullshot (10/1)
TUP-7 Congregationalist (5/2)

PRX-3 Big Momma (4/1) 1st... 5.40
TUP-7 Congregationalist (5/2) Wager Failed

[Winger]

Current Bankroll: $232.10 (+$32.10 - 51 Races)
Wager = $6 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: 2/1 minimum odds at 0 MTP

Today's Selections:
DED-9 It's Time To B (9/5)
MVR-5 Designator (6/1)
MVR-6 Dancing Rico (7/2)
MVR-8 Mighty Hutch (10/1)
PEN-6 Forest Breeze (5/2)
TAM-3 Rockin Rosie (6/1)


==================================================
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.
All require min odds of 2/1

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
CTX-7 Queen of the Hill (4/1)
MVR-8 Tacky Angel (5/2) ExBox with

1st or 2nd with new trainer, with recent activity and a recent strong speed figure.
CTX-4 Flashy Bargirl (6/1)
CTX-7 WellSeeAboutThat (1/1) ExBox with from above
CTX-8 I'll Play My hand (5/2)
GPX-3 Galatasaray (12/1)
GPX-6 Starship Brooklyn (2/1)
TAM-7 Aribelle (7/2)

[NorCalGreg]

So you have 3 methods testing, concurrently?
Like..........at the same time?

I can barely keep track of 1 at a time. Good luck with that--those are interesting angles you're testing, Winger.

Especially that "New Trainer" idea--the TIPS program has a tip for that "CL2". Also, in the pp's you see that all the time "previously trained by___" and the horse wins 1st or 2nd out---A LOT.
So it'll be interesting to see how you do with that method .

[NorCalGreg]

These are all Good to Go--TODAY


**ON THE ZIP
-Culp/Rodriguez
Activity Date 3-09-2016
Race number 8
Post Position 6
Penn National 3-1ML

**CANAL STREET
-Salvaggio/Ramirez
Activity date 03-09-2016
Race number 4
Post position 9
Penn National ~ 6-1ML

**GIVE ME LOVE
-Clouston/Ramirez
Activity date 03-09-2016
Race number 4
Post position 1
Charlestown ~ 3-1 ML

**FOOLISH FLOWER
-Runco/Roman
Activity date 03-09-2016
Race number 7
Post position 1
Charlestown ~ 5/2 ML

**LIL ALLIE DANCER
-Breaux/Saenz
Activity date 03-09-2016
Race number 8
Post position 5
Delta Downs ~ 4-1 ML

**SPECTACULAR SPLASH
-Thomas/Saenz
Activity date 03-09-2016
Race number 10
Post position 7
Delta Downs ~ 5-1 ML


**WINNIE BAY GO
-Kielty/Vargas
Activity date 03-09-2016
Race number 7
Post position 5
Tampa ~ 20-1 ML

✨NCG

[NorCalGreg]

First of all, I wanted to let you'all know about an app you can add to your browser--I use Chrome ..that is so cool. It's free, and it helps you write better. I like the spell-checker feature...it not only underlines the misspelled word--it automatically suggests the proper spelling--you just click and it corrects--I love it. Check it out:
https://chrome.google.com/webstore/d...bkghlhen?hl=en

I missed posting a super $1 lotto play yesterday (I fell asleep) --so not to upset the KARMA & SERENDIPITY of the earth's magnetic resonance--and powers that govern horse racing and the strict laws of nature we must all abide by--there will be 2 SUPER $1 LOTTO PLAYS TODAY -tomorrow we'll be back in complete alignment.

***The lotto $1 straight superfecta:TURF PARADISE~Race-4 -->> 4-7-2-1

***The lotto $1 straight superfecta:TURF PARADISE~Race-6 -->> 1-4-3-5


These are horses I've found, all with some sort of PACE ANOMALY--either led early and had the highest late pace fig--or closed late and had the high E-1 figure...or similar situation.
Usually, horses that show this potentially powerful combination--are at short odds. The following are horses I've found that are 8-1 or better--with a possibly powerful pace-situation. All are back w/in in 30 days--Trainer Win Min 10%--unless an extreme pace situation calls for relaxing that requirement:

--CHARLESTOWN

2ND SOUPER FUNNY 10-1

6TH KILMORE BOUND 15-1

--DELTA DOWNS

2ND DIAMOND CHASER 20-1

5TH SNEAKY CHOICE 20-1

--MAHONING VALLEY

7TH I'M MR RIGHT 8-1

8TH MIGHTY HUTCH 10-1

--PENN NATIONAL

3RD ATHENA IN FLIGHT 8-1

--TURF PARADISE

4TH KOZANI 10-1

6TH MAKINGFUNINTHESUN 12-1

✨NCG RED STARS

[Winger]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

So you have 3 methods testing, concurrently?
Like..........at the same time?

I can barely keep track of 1 at a time. Good luck with that--those are interesting angles you're testing, Winger.

Especially that "New Trainer" idea--the TIPS program has a tip for that "CL2". Also, in the pp's you see that all the time "previously trained by___" and the horse wins 1st or 2nd out---A LOT.
So it'll be interesting to see how you do with that method .

I just record the results in a spreadsheet to keep track of them separate. I use a different tab for each method. The money tracking at the top is only for that particular method.

The new trainer angle can be off the claim, private sale, etc.

[NorCalGreg]

Noticed in error on the 4th race $1 straight super:

***The lotto $1 straight superfecta:TURF PARADISE~Race-4 -->> 4-7-2-1

should read 5 -7-2-1

I went ahead and played them both lol

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by Winger

I just record the results in a spreadsheet to keep track of them separate. I use a different tab for each method. The money tracking at the top is only for that particular method.

The new trainer angle can be off the claim, private sale, etc.

oh got ya.....I'm not a spreadsheet guy, so everything is paper and pencil, unfortunately.

Always seems like I have too much on my plate to take on learning something like spread-sheet data base--so this is my lot in life.

[Winger]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

oh got ya.....I'm not a spreadsheet guy, so everything is paper and pencil, unfortunately.

Always seems like I have too much on my plate to take on learning something like spread-sheet data base--so this is my lot in life.

I only use spreadsheets to track the money. I use Quick Horse and JCapper for software.

[ultracapper]

Originally Posted by Winger

Current Bankroll: $232.10 (+$32.10 - 51 Races)
Wager = $6 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: 2/1 minimum odds at 0 MTP

Today's Selections:
DED-9 It's Time To B (9/5)
MVR-5 Designator (6/1)
MVR-6 Dancing Rico (7/2)
MVR-8 Mighty Hutch (10/1)
PEN-6 Forest Breeze (5/2)
TAM-3 Rockin Rosie (6/1)


==================================================
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.
All require min odds of 2/1

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
CTX-7 Queen of the Hill (4/1)
MVR-8 Tacky Angel (5/2) ExBox with

1st or 2nd with new trainer, with recent activity and a recent strong speed figure.
CTX-4 Flashy Bargirl (6/1)
CTX-7 WellSeeAboutThat (1/1) ExBox with from above
CTX-8 I'll Play My hand (5/2)
GPX-3 Galatasaray (12/1)
GPX-6 Starship Brooklyn (2/1)
TAM-7 Aribelle (7/2)

Keep this one in the back of your mind. Before I kept records, and when I used to play any and all races, this was one I played almost every time I saw it. Seemed to win a lot, but again, I wasn't keeping records back then. It goes like this......... 2nd time new trainer, and beaten favorite in last race with previous trainer.........I watched for this for about the last 5 years Longacres was open. I'd noticed a number of favorites losing and getting claimed out of the race, then throwing a clunker for the new trainer, then 2nd start, winning for that new trainer. Now there were a lot of, what you might call, clever trainers at Longacres near the end. That first race for the new trainer may have been tossed to throw you off the scent, and then bang, next start there's just a little more juicy a price on the new acquisition.

Good Luck.

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by ultracapper

Keep this one in the back of your mind. Before I kept records, and when I used to play any and all races, this was one I played almost every time I saw it. Seemed to win a lot, but again, I wasn't keeping records back then. It goes like this......... 2nd time new trainer, and beaten favorite in last race with previous trainer.........I watched for this for about the last 5 years Longacres was open. I'd noticed a number of favorites losing and getting claimed out of the race, then throwing a clunker for the new trainer, then 2nd start, winning for that new trainer. Now there were a lot of, what you might call, clever trainers at Longacres near the end. That first race for the new trainer may have been tossed to throw you off the scent, and then bang, next start there's just a little more juicy a price on the new acquisition.

Good Luck.

That sounds like something worth looking into. Here's a variation on that
same theme:

-Horse is claimed

-Despite whatever distance, class, etc was successful in the past

-Horse is entered in completely wrong race, for the horse

-Next out back to winning dist, class level.

There are so many variations of this--but all basically the same idea--start with a sharp horse---ensure a poor performance--then a win at a price.

Sometimes, capper---I have to wonder if most bettors understand what's happening right in front of them--plain to see for any --even 1st year horseplayer.