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05-05-2023, 12:53 PM
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#31
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 1,725
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zico20
I guess I will go down in flames all by myself it looks like. I love Mage, if he breaks well and that is a big if, he should be sitting right behind the leaders and have five lengths on Forte instead of being five behind him.
with with 22. for third and fourth. Then put Forte in the third and fourth spots with those horses. That super should pay real well if it comes in.
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If Mage doesn't hit the board, I don't cash.
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05-05-2023, 03:46 PM
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#32
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Just another Facist
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Now in Houston
Posts: 52,877
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__________________
WE ARE THE DUMBEST COUNTRY ON THE PLANET!
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05-05-2023, 04:09 PM
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#33
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Long Island, NY
Posts: 753
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Still working on how to attack tomorrow. Have a live future bet on Candy Ride at 30/1. (Confidence Game & Hit Show) Which I'm glad I made back in November... Lord only knows how these horses are going to run.
Good Luck everyone
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05-05-2023, 07:01 PM
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#34
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 277
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It’s sorta hard to believe that there isn’t one horse over 50-1 right now in live betting.
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05-05-2023, 08:57 PM
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#35
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Location: st louis
Posts: 3,038
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zico20
I guess I will go down in flames all by myself it looks like. I love Mage, if he breaks well and that is a big if, he should be sitting right behind the leaders and have five lengths on Forte instead of being five behind him.
with with 22. for third and fourth. Then put Forte in the third and fourth spots with those horses. That super should pay real well if it comes in.
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With Skinner out I am throwing in the in his place.
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05-05-2023, 09:17 PM
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#36
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Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,748
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my picks+bets below with some analysis
main page.png
2nd 3rdpick.png
4thpick.png
Good luck tomorrow ladies and gentlemen! Going to be a GREAT one!
__________________
Handicapping the world year round'
-Conley
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05-05-2023, 09:31 PM
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#37
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 1,534
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dballard125
It’s sorta hard to believe that there isn’t one horse over 50-1 right now in live betting.
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it's funny to watch the casual bettors and rich strike do this to longshots. if you like any of the longshots exotics is the way to go. hard to believe the worst horses in this race will translate into worst win values
as well.
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05-05-2023, 09:50 PM
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#38
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 565
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$5 W on
$2 W on
$2 WPS on 22 (Where is the icon for 22, lol?)
$2 Ex: / /22 w/ / / /22
$1 Tri: / w/ / / /22 w/ / / / / /22
Total Bets: $55
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05-05-2023, 10:33 PM
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#39
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 14,582
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Here we go.....
10 units WIN - 14 units SHOW (24 units)
1 unit EX Box
#22 (12 units)
1 unit TRI
in 1st and 2nd
with #22 (24 units)
60 units wagered (it's a big race, right?)
Regardless of whether your bet unit is $1 or $100.
Good luck, everyone!!!
__________________
Want to know what's wrong with this country?
Here it is, in a nutshell: Millions of people are
pinning their hopes on a man who has every
chance of returning to the WH, assuming that
he can manage to stay out of prison. Think about it.
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05-05-2023, 10:39 PM
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#40
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 565
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Quote:
Originally Posted by horses4courses
10 units WIN - 14 units SHOW (24 units)
1 unit EX Box
#22 (12 units)
1 unit TRI
in 1st and 2nd
with #22 (24 units)
60 units wagered (it's a big race, right?)
Regardless of whether your bet unit is $1 or $100.
Good luck, everyone!!!
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I like that someone else is interested in Disarm. I like that his speed figures are steadily improving and that he always moves up in position over the course of his races.
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05-05-2023, 10:40 PM
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#41
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 277
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Last edited by dballard125; 05-05-2023 at 10:46 PM.
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05-05-2023, 11:45 PM
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#42
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 19,119
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My Derby selections (in case you missed it) are located in Post #10 on
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...d.php?t=175990
I’ll be using my preferred top selections in Vertical Exotics like the Triple and Super. At the moment, my top 4 look like great Keys to work with, and I’ll base my final permutations on using them in many of the top 4 slots. I believe that if every entry can run to its demonstrated capabilities that I’ll have decent shot at cashing.
The unknowns of course in large fields like this involve troubled trips. I believe that horses that have shown a tendency to have racing difficulties will continue to do so, but I also believe that high quality/classy animals can very often overcome adversity. That’s why I’m a bit skeptical about the inherent Class of those beyond my top 6 selections.
GL
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05-05-2023, 11:51 PM
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#43
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 14,582
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Quote:
Originally Posted by keithw84
I like that someone else is interested in Disarm. I like that his speed figures are steadily improving and that he always moves up in position over the course of his races.
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Disarm
Trouble in each of his last two outings.
With clear sailing this time, who knows?
Obviously, not my top win candidate.
Has a fair chance to hit the board.
__________________
Want to know what's wrong with this country?
Here it is, in a nutshell: Millions of people are
pinning their hopes on a man who has every
chance of returning to the WH, assuming that
he can manage to stay out of prison. Think about it.
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05-05-2023, 11:53 PM
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#44
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Just another Facist
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Now in Houston
Posts: 52,877
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JustRalph
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I actually sneaked/snuck out to SHRP and placed some bets on the horses above. I had 3 bucks left in the voucher and dropped that on the nose of kingbarns.big spender huh?
I’m spread in the exacta w above horses on exacta and super boxes. Also
25 win on
20 to win on
20 to win on
Skipped the win bet on the …….
First time I’ve bet the Derby in a while. $150 bucks all in.
Btw, I didnt know SHRP Had live racing going on. Pretty decent crowd for as late as it was
__________________
WE ARE THE DUMBEST COUNTRY ON THE PLANET!
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05-06-2023, 01:28 AM
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#45
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 79
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Not really. All horses odds get watered down in the Derby. What should be 60-1 shots are 30-1
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