Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Handicapping Discussion


Closed Thread
 
Thread Tools Rating: Thread Rating: 23 votes, 3.30 average.
Old 01-27-2017, 01:59 PM   #1651
PhantomOnTour
C'est Tout
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,291
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnhannibalsmith
You mean with the entered? Or just as an interesting angle on that horse?

With the eleven being an AE, I'd bet he was named on both with first call to the AE if he drew in. If you meant the former.
The former...always take note when a top jock gets on a non contending plodder. Funny, as i was typing the post Matty on TVG was making a similar remark, shoulda known it would go down like that. He is having a good day at Aqu so far though (had the winner in R3 and R4)
Ran 4th or 5th
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
PhantomOnTour is offline  
Old 01-27-2017, 02:01 PM   #1652
johnhannibalsmith
Registered User
 
johnhannibalsmith's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 12,402
I missed it live somehow but did I see that right on replay? I crushed the backwards exacta with my two mighty mentions there?
__________________
"You make me feel like I am fun again."

-Robert James Smith, 1989
johnhannibalsmith is offline  
Old 01-27-2017, 03:21 PM   #1653
EMD4ME
NoPoints4ME
 
EMD4ME's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 9,854
Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos
I can't speak for Randall...but I wouldn't bet this race with money that I found on the street.
It's been pretty slim pickings lately, I agree
EMD4ME is offline  
Old 01-27-2017, 03:22 PM   #1654
EMD4ME
NoPoints4ME
 
EMD4ME's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 9,854
Better late then never, TLG picks for Friday

Race 1 4 - 3 - 1 - 5
Race 2 1 - 2 - 4 - 6
Race 3 4 - 6 - 2 - 1
Race 4 10 - 7 - 8 - 4
Race 5 6 - 7 - 2 - 3
Race 6 3 - 1 - 4 - 9
Race 7 5 - 4 - 6 - 3
Race 8 9 - 2 - 1 - 7
Race 9 4 - 5 - 6 - 7
EMD4ME is offline  
Old 01-27-2017, 03:26 PM   #1655
Maximillion
Registered User
 
Maximillion's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 1,118
In the 8th Three Eighty Eight looks interesting....poor start first dirt and worked her way thru the field pretty easily,so the thinking is she could be quite a bit better than that.As for the stretch out it, would be more or less a guess on my part, but at anywhere near the ML id be willing to take that chance as i think she will handle it just fine.
Maximillion is offline  
Old 01-27-2017, 04:20 PM   #1656
EMD4ME
NoPoints4ME
 
EMD4ME's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 9,854
I am liking this 6 to wire this last race. In the only other race she was able to get the semblance of a comfortable lead, she held solidly in the lane.

It's an unofficial pick but Wire to Wire bust
EMD4ME is offline  
Old 01-27-2017, 04:31 PM   #1657
EMD4ME
NoPoints4ME
 
EMD4ME's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 9,854
Quote:
Originally Posted by EMD4ME
My picks went 1/6 today. Wagered $12, Return of $7.70

Meet totals after 1/26/17 18/82 Wagered $164 Return of $124.50
My picks went 1/2 today. Wagered $4 and return of $6.80

Meet totals after 1/27/17 19/84 Wagered $168 Return of $131.30
EMD4ME is offline  
Old 01-27-2017, 04:34 PM   #1658
EMD4ME
NoPoints4ME
 
EMD4ME's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 9,854
Quote:
Originally Posted by EMD4ME
TLG made a very good pick in race 8. 14/1 just got nailed at wire.

0/9 $18 wagered and $0 returned

Meet totals after 1/26/17

40/180 Wagered $360 Return of $266.00
TLG 1/9 today, with another good pick 2nd at 8/1. Wagered $18 Return of $5.10

Meet totals after 1/27/17

41/189 Wagered $378 Return of $271.10
EMD4ME is offline  
Old 01-27-2017, 04:35 PM   #1659
EMD4ME
NoPoints4ME
 
EMD4ME's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 9,854
TLG PICKS FOR AQU 1/27/17

Race 1 4 - 1 - 3 - 6
Race 2 2 - 6 - 4 - 5
Race 3 4 - 5 - 2 - 1
Race 4 7 - 3 - 8 - 1A
Race 5 1 - 5 - 4 - 6
Race 6 9 - 8 - 12 - 11
Race 7 3 - 7 - 2 - 4
Race 8 9 - 11 - 3 - 4
Race 9 10 - 5 - 11 - 9
EMD4ME is offline  
Old 01-27-2017, 06:58 PM   #1660
no breathalyzer
Veteran
 
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 2,053
Quote:
Originally Posted by EMD4ME
Only 2 plays for me for Friday:

Race 2: The Promise Me a Tiz on the cough cough positive rider change.

Race 8: # 7 right back, Wire to Wire.

Good luck PA nation

didn't get that upgrade today is why i passed...
no breathalyzer is offline  
Old 01-28-2017, 01:56 AM   #1661
EMD4ME
NoPoints4ME
 
EMD4ME's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 9,854
Quote:
Originally Posted by no breathalyzer
didn't get that upgrade today is why i passed...
Horse was putrid going 5 1/2F. Barely got 2nd in a weak race.

I wasn't referring to a more talented jock. I was referring to the horse's last ride.
EMD4ME is offline  
Old 01-28-2017, 10:41 AM   #1662
EMD4ME
NoPoints4ME
 
EMD4ME's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 9,854
Think we caught the flu or at least a cold as I overselpt this morning and I'm burning up.

Last second official picks (maybe we'll cap better under the weather )

Race 9: Going to select a horse that had an "interesting ride" according to many in his last, Giant Ride. Graduate today or end up at FL in the spring.

Race 3: Bavaro, wire to wire.

Race 5: Fleet Irish, needed for a ton in last, not in love with pace scenario. 1 more shot despite NO pace in race.
EMD4ME is offline  
Old 01-28-2017, 11:06 AM   #1663
johnhannibalsmith
Registered User
 
johnhannibalsmith's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 12,402
Quote:
Originally Posted by EMD4ME
.... 1 more shot despite NO pace in race.
What about Drew Mollica assuming he doesn't fall to his ears again?
__________________
"You make me feel like I am fun again."

-Robert James Smith, 1989
johnhannibalsmith is offline  
Old 01-28-2017, 11:16 AM   #1664
EMD4ME
NoPoints4ME
 
EMD4ME's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 9,854
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnhannibalsmith
What about Drew Mollica assuming he doesn't fall to his ears again?

Can wire easily. However, I just couldn't get myself to bet a horse who will be the fav and has some chinks in the armor. Yes, had trouble at gate in last BUT was outbroken 1 length plus before HIS bobble. 2 back, the 2nd finisher ran like COMPLETE garbage in his next start.

I am a fan of the Caretaker but the Caretaker just couldn't properly run the 4th quarter in his 1st route start. Could improve as the Caretaker was green, even in victory in his 2nd start.

I had a ton on Fleet Irish in his last. Had a perfect trip (despite a gold rail bias) until the lane when he angled really wide.

Who has your ears pricked in that one JHS?

Last edited by EMD4ME; 01-28-2017 at 11:19 AM.
EMD4ME is offline  
Old 01-28-2017, 11:26 AM   #1665
johnhannibalsmith
Registered User
 
johnhannibalsmith's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 12,402
Quote:
Originally Posted by EMD4ME
...

Who has your ears pricked in that one JHS?
I found the race pretty impossible to love someone. Mollica I like, but feel the same way that you do about playing him. In fact, almost every horse I wind up with a pro/con list that doesn't seem to favor any one runner. Probably the one thing that ears my prick in the race is Chad Brown going back to dirt in the second for the barn. Mixed messages, but I like it when a barn runs them once, doesn't run great, then they back off and train a little and run back presumably when they figure they've got a better line on the horse. Only really like him because he might be just about the best price on a horse with a realistic chance.


...and Serling just came with my Madame Barbarian in the second... welp....
__________________
"You make me feel like I am fun again."

-Robert James Smith, 1989
johnhannibalsmith is offline  
Closed Thread





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Which horse do you like most
Dornoch - 67.74%
42 Votes
Track Phantom - 32.26%
20 Votes
Total Votes: 62
This poll is closed.
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:56 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.