Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Off Topic > Off Topic - Sports


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 08-27-2013, 02:27 PM   #1
hugh
Registered User
 
hugh's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Bay Area, CA
Posts: 359
NCAA Football Plays.. Against the Public

Same deal as the NFL. Going against the big public favorites. Always will get a few points betting ATP which over the long run makes for a profitable season. Will post my plays and results each week. r.
Last year I went on a tear in the beginning, but ended up going 26-19.
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...ghlight=public
I love this time of year... I'm probably just going to target the big games.. usually taking the dog that no one likes plus the points.
Cheers.
hugh is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-27-2013, 02:31 PM   #2
hugh
Registered User
 
hugh's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Bay Area, CA
Posts: 359
Week One NCAA Pigskin

I always like doing these against the public picks on nationally televised games.
We have one opening day when NC takes on SC.
No one is giving North Carolina a chance.. only 26% of the betting public is taking NC and the points..
media is obsessed with Clowney.. I see this being a close game.
Tar Heels +12 (maybe 12.5 or 13 on game day)
Let's Rooooooll.
hugh is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-27-2013, 02:31 PM   #3
wiffleball whizz
Dead money
 
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Baltimore
Posts: 3,838
Quote:
Originally Posted by hugh
Same deal as the NFL. Going against the big public favorites. Always will get a few points betting ATP which over the long run makes for a profitable season. Will post my plays and results each week. r.
Last year I went on a tear in the beginning, but ended up going 26-19.
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...ghlight=public
I love this time of year... I'm probably just going to target the big games.. usually taking the dog that no one likes plus the points.
Cheers.
There's a system I've never tried
wiffleball whizz is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-27-2013, 02:36 PM   #4
wiffleball whizz
Dead money
 
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Baltimore
Posts: 3,838
Merry Xmas

SMU +6.5
Washington ml prob around -140

Georgia Clemson total is 72....that line stinks and is way to high I guess I'm banging a over

Also taking the Ice cream money and pounding a Minnesota Fresno st money line like milk fed veal

Don't know who ole miss is to be laying 3.5 on the highway
wiffleball whizz is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-30-2013, 06:45 PM   #5
hugh
Registered User
 
hugh's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Bay Area, CA
Posts: 359
Week One ATP Football Selections

I hate Already being 0-1 after the heels don't score with first down at the 2 (with 1 minute to play).. I mean come on! ...
"No one is giving North Carolina a chance.. only 26% of the betting public is taking NC and the points..
media is obsessed with Clowney.. I see this being a close game.
Tar Heels +12 (maybe 12.5 or 13 on game day)"
I still think it was a good play, but a loss is a loss.. moving on...
I like to target the big games.. aka nationally televised contests where the sports books really cash in when the heavily backed public faves lose.
These are my first Saturday of college football plays:
1) Buffalo +35 against the Buckeyes.... the morning game on ESPN 2... expecting monster action on Ohio State tomorrow morning. We should be able to get 36-36.5 points before game time. only 22% giving Buffalo a chance.
2) Miss State +12.5 .. Only 18-22% going against the Cowboys. ABC game... Rankings don't mean that much this early in the season.. but ranked teams get all the public money.
3)California +6 ... Always love the night game for against the public plays.. People down during the day go on tilt and back any fave. In this case that's Northwestern. Only 20-30% Cal at this moment. I'm one of them.
4) A small play on TCU. They can get it done against the Tigers. Less than 25% giving TCU a chance.

Last edited by hugh; 08-30-2013 at 06:47 PM.
hugh is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-30-2013, 08:17 PM   #6
wiffleball whizz
Dead money
 
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Baltimore
Posts: 3,838
Locks for tmrw......U-dub........tcu

I'm still cashing tix from last night.......risky money line Parker that was in the sweatbox till 3am


Now in this smu game I made a play on smu ml and +4 this qb was was the one who came in when colt McCoy went down in the bama game on Texas
wiffleball whizz is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-30-2013, 09:41 PM   #7
sammy the sage
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: central fla.
Posts: 4,874
Toledo +24...get it quickly....
__________________
got handed a lemon...make lemonade....add sugar or brown sugar or stevia or my personal favorite....miracle fruit....google it...thank me later...
sammy the sage is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-30-2013, 09:58 PM   #8
wiffleball whizz
Dead money
 
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Baltimore
Posts: 3,838
This Methodist qb is tits on a bull.....how can your first game be against bama in championship then u can't carve up a horrific TT squad.....dont see how I can get either side home on this game.......FML.....
wiffleball whizz is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-31-2013, 10:12 AM   #9
tucker6
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 9,958
Quote:
Originally Posted by hugh
I hate Already being 0-1 after the heels don't score with first down at the 2 (with 1 minute to play).. I mean come on! ...
"No one is giving North Carolina a chance.. only 26% of the betting public is taking NC and the points..
media is obsessed with Clowney.. I see this being a close game.
Tar Heels +12 (maybe 12.5 or 13 on game day)"
I still think it was a good play, but a loss is a loss.. moving on...
I like to target the big games.. aka nationally televised contests where the sports books really cash in when the heavily backed public faves lose.
These are my first Saturday of college football plays:
1) Buffalo +35 against the Buckeyes.... the morning game on ESPN 2... expecting monster action on Ohio State tomorrow morning. We should be able to get 36-36.5 points before game time. only 22% giving Buffalo a chance.
2) Miss State +12.5 .. Only 18-22% going against the Cowboys. ABC game... Rankings don't mean that much this early in the season.. but ranked teams get all the public money.
3)California +6 ... Always love the night game for against the public plays.. People down during the day go on tilt and back any fave. In this case that's Northwestern. Only 20-30% Cal at this moment. I'm one of them.
4) A small play on TCU. They can get it done against the Tigers. Less than 25% giving TCU a chance.
I use a system similar to you, however I don't consider 26% to be close to mortal lock territory. I really only bet on teams that are getting less than 15% of the take. High percentage of wins when taking these teams.
tucker6 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-31-2013, 10:20 AM   #10
wiffleball whizz
Dead money
 
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Baltimore
Posts: 3,838
4 team money line parlay....

Nc st
Washington
Penn st
Pokes
wiffleball whizz is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-31-2013, 12:07 PM   #11
Marshall Bennett
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Houston , Tx.
Posts: 9,564
A&M -28

OSU -11

Arkansas -10

Pitt +10.5
Marshall Bennett is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-31-2013, 12:21 PM   #12
wiffleball whizz
Dead money
 
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Baltimore
Posts: 3,838
Quote:
Originally Posted by Marshall Bennett
A&M -28

OSU -11

Arkansas -10

Pitt +10.5
Do u see A&M with Johnny football playing the 2nd half good for 35 points in the 2h?

I'm burying TCU......line stinks
wiffleball whizz is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-04-2013, 02:59 PM   #13
hugh
Registered User
 
hugh's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Bay Area, CA
Posts: 359
Week One ATP plays go 1-4

The season is a grind. Last year started out amazing.. this year not so much. But I'm sticking with the system. We're only getting started.
Going to target the big games on TV (where the books make their real money)
Week Two Against the Public.... Two smart money plays this week.

Illinois +8.5... 21% of the money... Love going ATP on the early game. Smart money is all over this one.. (this is seen in a low public bet percentage with the line going the other way.. line went from +10 to plus 8 )
Virginia +22.5.. 10%!!!... Smart money play.. only 10% on the Cavs and the line is going the other way from +23.5 to around +21.5-->+23
SD State... +28 ... 23% .. No team attracts public $ like the Buckeyes
BYU +7.5 ... 13%... TRAP CITY .. Long Horns getting over hyped against a quality BYU squad.
West Virginia +21 .... 12%
Irish +3.5 ... 30% ... I'm rolling my winnings into the night game. Notre Dame baby.
hugh is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-04-2013, 06:32 PM   #14
wiffleball whizz
Dead money
 
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Baltimore
Posts: 3,838
Ok st USTA over for my life
wiffleball whizz is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-04-2013, 07:03 PM   #15
speed
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 1,019
Quote:
Originally Posted by wiffleball whizz
Ok st USTA over for my life
The old joke......
There's a $2 minimum.
speed is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply




Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:21 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.