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Old 06-10-2011, 02:57 PM   #31
duncan04
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Originally Posted by thew92
1. I guess I need to stick to the min bet for know. As I am a losing horse player for now.

3. I have done that search before and it always takes me to the off-shore sites which after what happened in the poker world I am not willing to go there. But I do agree one thing I have learned in poker is that never bet more than you can afford to lose by chasing promotions.

5. Will do looks like great advise.

8. I think tomorrow I am going to stick to Churchill, Belmont and Woodbine.

9. Right now I am using twinspears and love their interface so I guess I will stay there for a while.
And with twinspires you get free pp for the track you make a wager on. Saves spending additional money for the pp's
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Old 06-10-2011, 05:12 PM   #32
Learned Hand35
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Hello Everyone I am new to Horseracing handicapping and need to know where to start. Forgive me if I am asking some dumb question.

I was a online poker player and if you haven’t heard the US DoJ shut down the major sites. So now I am going to try to get into Horseracing handicapping. There are a few comparisons I am going to try and make with this.

1. Bankroll management: I was a limit hold’em player and there you should aways have at least 350 Big Bet for the limits you play as to withstand the swings in the game. Is there a rule of thumb about how much you should bet on a race as far as your Bank-Roll goes?

2. Rake/Takeout: What is the avg. takeout pure race? Or where do I go to see how much is taken out?

3. Rakeback/Rebate: In poker some sites gave you rack back if you knew where to get it and other had a VIP system that was equal to rake back. Do any of the American ran sites offer any kind of rebate system or a VIP equivalent? (I am not interested in betting in offshore sites after what has happen to the online poker industry.)

4. Coaching Sites – In poker there are coaching sites out there that teach you how to play poker and so on. Like Card Runners and Deuces Cracked. They also had one on one coaching available. Is there anything similar in the horseracing world?

5. Software – In poker I had PT3 and HEM to work with I see all kind of software avilible for horseracing and some of them seem a little pricey to me.

6. Books – What books would you recommend reading for a beginner?

7. Sucker Bets – Any time there is gambling a casino will offer beginners sucker bet are there any in horseracing that you would recommend I stay away from?

8. When betting on horses I see about 20 tracks running races every day what track are the most popular and have the best horse and simulcast? I really like the way Churchill Downs does their simulcast.

9. Who are all the American ran online sites out there and should I open an account with all of them just to chase the sign-up bonus?
I have played some poker over the years. I enjoy it, but it is nothing like my love of (or addiction to ?) the game. Beware. If the game truly grabs you, you may never get rid of it. I know I can't.

I am a newbie (3 years in the game) compared to most on this site. As others have said, this is the best site about the game on the web. I continue to learn things that hone my skill. My opinions as someone who was where you are a few short years ago:

1. Bankroll management: In my opinion the most important aspect. I have success with certain plays. However, I make too many action bets and though unit wise my action bets are small they add up quickly. Unlike poker where you can fold and another hand is coming in just a few minutes, if you sit on your hands you are waiting for at least another 20 minutes before your next opportunity for action occurs unless you are playing multiple tracks. Even then, you can only properly handicap and play so many tracks at a time. (Some of the advanced handicapping software that some use will really cut down on handicapping time, but there still is only so many hours in the day.) To stop making a short story long: Discipline. Discipline. Discipline.

2. Takeout: As others have said, depends on the track and type of bet. As stated elsewhere the HANA site is the place to go.

3. Rebates: A must. Look around PA. There are authorized ADW (U.S. licensed) advertisers that will get you a much better rate. The difference between the rate I get with my favorite smaller ADW and a large corporate one (that shall not be named), really shocked me at first. Guess who gets the vast majority of my action?

4. Coaching sites: I consider PA my coaching site. Some threads can get heated, but I have never seen anyone trying to learn not receive good advice or denigrated for asking a "newbie" question. Plus not all advice happens on the Board. I have had skilled posters be quite helpful and kind via pm exchanges.

5. Software: The portion of PA on software is very informative. I have yet to make a foray into software, though it is next on my list. Some of the software does seem a bit pricey, hence why I am still just dipping my toes in. Some posters swear by certain software. (Check out the contest sections.) Also, some posters have created their own software apps and posted them for free.

6. Books: Pretty well covered by others. Personally, I think I got the most from Davidowitz's Betting T'Breds. To this day, if I am leaving the house and need pleasure reading material, I will often take it with me. I don't know how many times I have read it, but it often jogs my thoughts with new ideas.

7. Sucker bets: In my opinion, I think one person's suckerbet is another's bread and butter if they find something that gives them an edge.

a. For someone new, I would agree that show betting would be a sucker bet unless it is a bridgejumping situation where you perceive the favorite to be false. Someone new should not be betting large units at first anyway, and the difference in ROI between Win (or even Place) and Show is significant.

b. More complicated exotics Pick 6, Pick 5, higher minimum Pick 4, Supers, etc.). Some say exotics are sucker bets even for the advanced and properly bankrolled player due to the high takeout. Either way, a newbie should not be betting the amount need to properly play exotics. Jumping into the exotics with its longer losing droughts are a quick way to the poor house.

Personally, if you want to play exotics from the get go, I would look to those tracks with .50 tris and Pick 3's. The payouts can be severely depressed depending on the pool and take, but they can be a lot of fun on the cheap and can help you learn to construct your vertical tickets properly.

8. Tracks: Obviously, the "classier" or larger tracks are going to be more popular. No doubt those track's pools are larger giving you the chance at higher payouts. However, it depends on where you find your edge. The great thing about the game is that with all the different tracks, race conditions, types of bets, there are so many more angles or potential for an edge. (Much more opportunity for an as of yet undiscovered edge than poker, in my opinion.) Personally my better triumphs have come at tracks that are considered "bush league."

9. Signing up to collect the bonus: Depends on your personality. Is that extra $50 or $100 worth it to you? I have never opened an account simply for a sign-up bonus. Though I have never had a problem with the three US based/licensed ADWs I have or have had an account with, giving out my SSN number to a third party for what amounts to peanuts is not my style.

My best advice:

Use PA as your bible (or other applicable holy book) for the game. Check the site every day. Search the threads. (Even ten year old threads contain wisdom and insight.) Ask questions.

Welcome to the game!

Last edited by Learned Hand35; 06-10-2011 at 05:14 PM. Reason: grammar
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Old 06-10-2011, 10:00 PM   #33
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Wink basics,real basic

First,learn how to read the racing form.
Second,learn how to disect the info from each running line.
Be able to reconstruct races from those lines.
Learn how to read charts of races.

Dont fall in love with Beyer figs,realize they try to summarize a race with one number,its ridiculous.

Dont worry about takeout,worry about the odds.of the horses you choose.

Walk before you fly,pick a method of choosing winners,see if you make money.

You should start seeing how races set up and how the winners style of running can vary.

Dont try to use things such as breeding,trainer intent or anything subjective as a main reason to bet a horse.It can be used to buttress your opinion, but not the reason to pick a horse.

Read everything about racing,but realize handicapping each race is its own event,just like poker doing the same thing doesnt always make the money.
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Old 06-11-2011, 12:50 AM   #34
thew92
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Originally Posted by superfecta
First,learn how to read the racing form.
Yeah I am still a little confused with the PPs. Anyone have a good resource for reading these for begginers.
I am using the Ultimate PPs with Comments from Bris.
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Old 06-11-2011, 02:10 AM   #35
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Try this, its the DRF, but the layout and style is mostly the same.

http://www1.drf.com/flash/drf_pp_tutorial.html
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Old 06-11-2011, 10:00 AM   #36
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Those are a lot of questions and that is what to do.. keep asking questions of people who know the game. There are some great insight and knowledge in this forum like they said read the post and take alot of notes. Sucker bets I feel are people who get caught up in trying to hit a big ticket and do no research just betting on the big odds. They do that at a local track I go to and bet down horses that have a hard time finishing the race..lol
Good luck!
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Old 06-15-2011, 03:53 PM   #37
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Im in the UK and i find the Beyer figs very very helpful,others will differ in there opinions and thats what makes this game so interesting.

I also believe USA racing is straighter than the muck we have in the Uk,although i would say the hurdle and steeplechase racing is fairly straight.

Some of our flat racing has prize money of less than £2,000!!!!

Sorry going off subject,some fantastic posts here and advice,most of all enjoy it as a hobby and the wins you might be lucky enough to get.
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Old 06-15-2011, 08:36 PM   #38
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Anyone who bashes speed figures just simply don't understand them, go to the thread about the Belmont Beyer where both Valuist and myself agreed that the figure is useless for the future.
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Old 06-15-2011, 09:33 PM   #39
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Originally Posted by Some_One
Anyone who bashes speed figures just simply don't understand them, go to the thread about the Belmont Beyer where both Valuist and myself agreed that the figure is useless for the future.
I don't understand the point you are trying to make.

Who are those people who are bashing the speed figures?

I, myself, have been critical of speed figures in the past...but only because they cannot be relied upon - on their own - to give us an accurate estimate of the quality of a horse's performance in a race.

Is this "bashing" them?

Even Andy Beyer himself has been vocal in pointing out the limitations of the speed figures in a variety of situations, and he has repeatedly stated that HOW the race was run is easily as important as HOW FAST it was run.

IMO...speed figures cannot be thoroughly understood, unless they are accompanied by accurate PACE figures.
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Last edited by thaskalos; 06-15-2011 at 09:35 PM.
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Old 06-15-2011, 09:39 PM   #40
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You'll find many different style. I'll give you mine:

1. Money management-- I personally make consistent flat bets on the nose to win. My bets range from $100-$300.

3.Software. This game is different from poker. Poker is structured-- you know the odds of a hand. Horse racing has many unknowns. Therefore, horse racing lends itself to hocus and pocus. You need to study an individual track and take note. Do not generalize. The most important software is for note keeping. I use excell.

4. I need a big enough pool. Therefore, it takes a larger crowd. I play all tracks on the West Coast, and I'm currently playing Delaware Park. I infrequently play Finger Lakes.

5. I'm a resident of California. Xpressbet.com has the license. I get nothing back except reimbursement on Equibase.

My advice: Don't read anything. Go out watch the races for several month. Keep records. And come up with your own methods. Every track has its own idiosyncrasies and exclusive club of owner, trainers, and jockeys. Learn why a horse runs?
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Old 06-15-2011, 09:53 PM   #41
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos
I don't understand the point you are trying to make.

Who are those people who are bashing the speed figures?

I, myself, have been critical of speed figures in the past...but only because they cannot be relied upon - on their own - to give us an accurate estimate of the quality of a horse's performance in a race.

Is this "bashing" them?

Even Andy Beyer himself has been vocal in pointing out the limitations of the speed figures in a variety of situations, and he has repeatedly stated that HOW the race was run is easily as important as HOW FAST it was run.

IMO...speed figures cannot be thoroughly understood, unless they are accompanied by accurate PACE figures.
I think your statement is ok, I don't think I can disagree with anything youve stated. The bashing I'm thinking about is mostly done by the left coast folks whenever one of theirs get a low fig for winning a big race there.
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Old 06-16-2011, 12:53 AM   #42
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Some_One
Anyone who bashes speed figures just simply don't understand them, go to the thread about the Belmont Beyer where both Valuist and myself agreed that the figure is useless for the future.
IMO... beyers figures are a low priority for a beginner.

I would rather see a beginner study the conditions of a race, and spend a few months observing drops in class, and what happens when a hot horse jumps in class. Does a horse off a maiden win repeat? All of these things happen at specific conditions. You just need to understand them and bet them. These are thing I would suggest a beginner observe.
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Old 06-16-2011, 01:10 AM   #43
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Originally Posted by thew92
I have been to lone star park a few time and loved it. But sometimes its hard for me to get out there.

Also David are you a Mean Green fan just noticed your location I went to school there from 1998-2001.

I graduated from UNT. I was one of the ones who absolutely did not want that Southlake Carroll high school coach to come here! I think I was right, but they didn't listen to me!

I am a Mean Green fan, but it's been tough lately! Basketball is ok though! I still live in the area.
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Old 06-16-2011, 03:07 PM   #44
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Being from Scotland...i dont have a clue about exotic bets and are very limited on uk betting sites ,i tend to bet 2 against the field $25-$50 bets.
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Old 06-16-2011, 03:19 PM   #45
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thew92
Yeah I am still a little confused with the PPs. Anyone have a good resource for reading these for begginers.
I am using the Ultimate PPs with Comments from Bris.


You may want to review these web links.

http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/static.cgi?page=library

http://www.drf.com/

See LEARN and VIDEO (Race of the Day)

http://www.equibase.com/stats/View.c...trainer&page=1

http://www.horse-races.net/library/l...ances.htm#free

Good luck and have fun.
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