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05-09-2015, 05:24 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 1,501
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are u ready for the 8 dolla preakness exacta
now u are...
yup....from 70 to 8 in two short weeks..
only question is if AP goes off 2-5 or 1-2
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05-09-2015, 07:21 PM
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#2
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 25,607
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Im not betting a 2-5 shot who was whipped 32 times in the lane, you can have him at that price.
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05-09-2015, 08:09 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 1,501
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Stillriledup
Im not betting a 2-5 shot who was whipped 32 times in the lane, you can have him at that price.
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05-09-2015, 09:01 PM
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#4
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,861
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If you had the money to bet enough to make any serious money on a 2-5 shot, you wouldn't need to make the bet in the first place.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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05-09-2015, 11:53 PM
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#5
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broken-down horseplayer
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Portland, OR area
Posts: 2,090
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Stillriledup
Im not betting a 2-5 shot who was whipped 32 times in the lane, you can have him at that price.
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I'm guessing that the coverage of AP being whipped 32 times in the Derby leads to a better price than 2-5. Maybe 4-5.
I'm not trying to overreact to it, but I don't ever recall a major race like the Derby having the number of whips mentioned.
The Preakness is not the Triple Crown race to make hay in anyway, unless you love the Maryland based longshot to run second or third. It's the Belmont I'm licking my chops over.....
__________________
Playing SRU Downs - home of the "no sweat" inquiries...
Defying the "laws" of statistics with every wager.
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05-10-2015, 01:27 AM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 1,501
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never a smart move to bet 2-5 shots to win. seems like the same top horses will be in the race. it's pretty hard to envision anybody else crashing into the number.
AP and FL can both be better than last week..so that puts them even further ahead of the rest
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05-10-2015, 02:10 AM
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#7
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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What happened to the AP/Dortmund hammer-fest?
Is it now the AP/FL hammer?
What will it be 3 weeks after the Preakness?
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05-10-2015, 06:31 AM
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#8
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 25,607
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Hoofless_Wonder
I'm guessing that the coverage of AP being whipped 32 times in the Derby leads to a better price than 2-5. Maybe 4-5.
I'm not trying to overreact to it, but I don't ever recall a major race like the Derby having the number of whips mentioned.
The Preakness is not the Triple Crown race to make hay in anyway, unless you love the Maryland based longshot to run second or third. It's the Belmont I'm licking my chops over.....
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I guess it depends on the field size and the post. AP may be over 1-1 just because the pools are so big.
I'm PRAYING he wins easily, that way, i can bet everything i own against him in the Belmont.
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05-10-2015, 09:04 AM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: NJ
Posts: 3,822
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Stillriledup
I guess it depends on the field size and the post. AP may be over 1-1 just because the pools are so big.
I'm PRAYING he wins easily, that way, i can bet everything i own against him in the Belmont.
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So, $2?
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05-10-2015, 10:25 AM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,553
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Stillriledup
I guess it depends on the field size and the post. AP may be over 1-1 just because the pools are so big.
I'm PRAYING he wins easily, that way, i can bet everything i own against him in the Belmont.
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In this country, it isn't just a matter of betting against the heavy chalk. You must also come up with the winner.
__________________
"Theory is knowledge that doesn't work. Practice is when everything works and you don't know why."
-- Hermann Hesse
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05-10-2015, 11:25 AM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,647
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Stillriledup
I guess it depends on the field size and the post. AP may be over 1-1 just because the pools are so big.
I'm PRAYING he wins easily, that way, i can bet everything i own against him in the Belmont.
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I would be surprised if AP closed less than even money
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05-10-2015, 11:31 AM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 1,501
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
What happened to the AP/Dortmund hammer-fest?
Is it now the AP/FL hammer?
What will it be 3 weeks after the Preakness?
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the AP/dorts hammerfest was media driven due to baffert. FL was an equal to dorts before the derby, and now after it he's ahead of him.
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05-10-2015, 05:10 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 10
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$100 exacta problem solved
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05-10-2015, 06:00 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 1,501
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Wise Dan
$100 exacta problem solved
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the only 100 exactas you'll find w/ AP will be with horses that can't possibly finish 2nd. getting the impression there won't even be a full field as well.
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05-10-2015, 07:25 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 166
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He meant bet it, not get it. If you want to bet a $2 exacta with AP, what's the point? If you had some dying conviction that the only Firing Line could finish 2nd and you were willing to lay down a Benjamin, you'll be getting more than eight bucks back.....if that's how they finish 
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