Improbable is the most likely Derby winner at this point, and maybe another Triple Crown winner.
Bob Baffert is extremely lucky in that he has yet another once-in-a-generation athlete.
I know 'horse years' are different, but AP/Arrogate/Justify(may have missed a couple)/Improbable ... seems like even in horse years those are quick 'generations'
He's a class act and a hall of famer.
I don't like much that isn't obvious here.
to crush.
Hollendorfer can grab some points with the
. Bris calls him an 'E8', but those were all slow paces. He surely can be a stalker/presser if given a real pace. No need to do anything other than cruise and out-class the others today. Pratt is a fairly reliable dude, and Hollendorfer has a strong grasp of the game. I think there's a fairly high probability that they understand this.
The only non-obvious thing I can say is that I like that the
takes blinkers back off. That is a good sign for someone looking to kick in the back door. Nice to see the first-call landing here as well.