Quote:
Originally Posted by biggestal99
I don’t think justify or magnum Moon will win.
Prolly a bomber from the clouds off a fast pace.
How many horse want the lead in the derby?
Allan
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I kind of agree with this with exception that we don't know the track conditions yet. A wet track may help the front end, it sure did last year. I liked Always Dreaming last year but in hindsight the conditions really helped his cause.
I don't really believe in curses or jinxes but this race has favored horses with a strong foundation and i don't really like the races Justify and Magnum Moon come out of. Justify pretty much dictated in a match race and Magnum Moon took a right turn late. Horses I think lurking at a strong price with a good chance are Good Magic and Audible. Good Magic comes from Danzig and Hard Spun on the mothers side with Smart Strike and Curlin on the Fathers side. Bred to run all day, hot trainer, raced at 2, lightly raced and closed from an outside post to win. Audible is not bred as well but he has the experience and also the late lick to move forward. This horse also comes from a great trainer and he seems to be hitting his best stride recently.
Hopefully, these two will get a little lost on the board. I'm pretty sure Good Magic will coming from the Blue Grass which is lightly regarded these days. On the other hand, the Florida Derby has been hot lately which gives Audible a brighter spot light. This race can't be chalky every year, I don't know if a bomb will get it but somethings gotta give. And it looks pretty open this year.