Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Racing Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 03-29-2018, 08:57 PM   #1
RunDustyRun
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 214
Luis Saez

Is he the best jockey out there? 7 wins today at gp after winning seven earlier in the meet...winning on dirt, grass, sprints, routes. 6250 claimers and stakes horses...ortiz brothers are there so it's not like there are no legit jocks in the colony...been impressed and especially like him on cheap speed
RunDustyRun is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 03-29-2018, 09:56 PM   #2
Mc990
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 293
Quote:
Originally Posted by RunDustyRun View Post
Is he the best jockey out there? 7 wins today at gp after winning seven earlier in the meet...winning on dirt, grass, sprints, routes. 6250 claimers and stakes horses...ortiz brothers are there so it's not like there are no legit jocks in the colony...been impressed and especially like him on cheap speed
No doubt a top jock but is there really any difference between say the top 20-30 guys in the sport? I actually think that number could be much higher... Seems there is certainly a built in bias where the jocks who find success get consistently rewarded with quality mounts. A vicious cycle where the horse deserves 99% of the credit on average but the jockey on it's back reaps the rewards and so on and so on

I guess my point is, he's one of a handful of guys who even gets the opportunity to tally 7 wins on a card.... not because of his talent level but because of something more random. Sorry to rant but I just never understood jockey hyping or bashing for that matter.
Mc990 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 03-30-2018, 04:54 PM   #3
cj
@TimeformUSfigs
 
cj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
He really impressed me riding the winner of a 5f turf sprint. He had the horse under a drive practically from the gate to the wire. That is not something most jockeys can do, incredible strength and stamina.

cj is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 03-30-2018, 05:38 PM   #4
Robert Fischer
clean money
 
Robert Fischer's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
Saez is the real deal.

If anything, he doesn't get the mounts that the very biggest names and first-call guys get, until the racing cards are competitive enough to go several contenders deep.

He's aggressive, and has strong handling. He's willing to race inside in dangerous spots that haven't yet opened up.

Looking back at my 'book' on Saez, and I'm reminded of another one of his strengths; He can get a horse to change leads, and/or win on the wrong lead.

Saturday his Florida Derby mount is Strike Power, a horse that hasn't changed leads in the afternoon. Kind of an interesting opportunity for him.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Robert Fischer is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 03-30-2018, 10:38 PM   #5
Mc990
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 293
4 out of the 7 wins were aboard the favorite and 2 out of the other 3 were 2nd choice, a tick off going favored...

Again, he obviously is a top jock.... to my point though, what is a top jock and how correlated is it to actual talent compared to the peers you're competing against?

when you ride 4 favs and 2 2nd choices in 7 wins (out of 8 total mounts) I would expect you to have days in your career where you win 7 even with marginal riding ability
Mc990 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 03-30-2018, 10:58 PM   #6
cj
@TimeformUSfigs
 
cj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mc990 View Post
4 out of the 7 wins were aboard the favorite and 2 out of the other 3 were 2nd choice, a tick off going favored...

Again, he obviously is a top jock.... to my point though, what is a top jock and how correlated is it to actual talent compared to the peers you're competing against?

when you ride 4 favs and 2 2nd choices in 7 wins (out of 8 total mounts) I would expect you to have days in your career where you win 7 even with marginal riding ability
Yeah, but him being on this horses is a big part of why they were favorites. Many top riders have the kind of slate before a card, few win that often. Obviously Gulfstream runs like 74 races a day so he gets a few more opportunities too.
cj is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 03-31-2018, 09:24 AM   #7
Tom
The Voice of Reason!
 
Tom's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,815
It seems like every 10 minutes a GP race is 15 minutes past post time! I hope Gabby and Katin area getting paid by the race, not the hour.

Saez is always a [plus on my form.
I like jocks who understand what he word "race" means.
Too many have no idea.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Tom is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 03-31-2018, 11:13 AM   #8
Frankie D
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 39
the creeping post times are probably a handle enhancement. Always thought that's why GP did that

GP is my favorite
Frankie D is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 03-31-2018, 10:05 PM   #9
Tom
The Voice of Reason!
 
Tom's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,815
GP want so make sure there is not a dollar left in the crowd before he load the gate.

They act like total jerks all yer long with the post time, then, today, with only them and Meydan running - in the whole freaking world - they ran over top of Meydan post times several times.

Old Frankie is total a-hole.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Tom is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:34 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.