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Old 02-02-2019, 05:58 AM   #451
Nitro
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UPDATE: R#10 - 1600M C2 (8F)T...... 11-7-3 W/ 1-6-8 - #4 dropped….….4:45 AM EST –
(May sub #1 into top 3 if live tote indicates)
6-11-1-4– Dutch Loss 21% Profit Margin-Passed / $18.90 Quinella & $392.60 Triple / ALL of that one!

It turned out to be a very tough card. The Dutch Win bets produced only a break-even margin return hitting 3 of 6 playable races. There were a few nice Verticals as well.
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Old 02-06-2019, 01:37 PM   #452
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Cool Special New Years Card - Sha Tin - Thurs 2-7-19

Happy Chinese New Year! (The year of the Pig)

The Lucky Numbers for this year are: 2 – 5 – 8.
So, with that in mind additional attention should paid to the perhaps inordinate betting on those entry numbers during the entire year.

They're holding a special race card this morning at Sha Tin.

Preliminary selections to follow.
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Old 02-06-2019, 02:04 PM   #453
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Originally Posted by Nitro View Post
Happy Chinese New Year! (The year of the Pig)

The Lucky Numbers for this year are: 2 – 5 – 8.
So, with that in mind additional attention should paid to the perhaps inordinate betting on those entry numbers during the entire year.

They're holding a special race card this morning at Sha Tin.

Preliminary selections to follow.
Are the lucky numbers in your opinion bet against or bet fors..?

Last edited by VigorsTheGrey; 02-06-2019 at 02:05 PM.
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Old 02-06-2019, 02:24 PM   #454
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Originally Posted by VigorsTheGrey View Post
Are the lucky numbers in your opinion bet against or bet fors..?
I only mentioned that because I know how superstitious some people are especially horse players.
If I see inordinate amount of betting on any of those numbers, they are suspect to being over bet based on those superstitions. That’s not to say that some people are just plain lucky when playing numbers, and occasionally make a hit.
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Old 02-06-2019, 09:53 PM   #455
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Hong Kong Jockey Club at Sha Tin. February 7, 2019… 44th race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 74 Degrees Partly Cloudy 10% of rain Wind: SSW 5 to 10mph.

Post time: 11.30pm ET, 8.30pm PT. Rail: Course “C+3”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
https://racing.hkjc.com/racing/conte...tarter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings



Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 11 Famous Warrior (7-2) Came back lame after his last race and looks to rather run second and third and Sanna is having a terrible year so far.

Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race 204 (Winners: 1st & 2nd, Second: 3rd, 5th, 10th & 13th)
Race 4 High Rev (2-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 4 Regency Darling (9-2)


Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 6 Beauty Energy (7-2)

Horses for courses running tonight:
Race 8 What Else But You (3-2)

Distance specialists running tonight:
None

Class specialists running tonight:
None

Last race watch list horses running tonight:
Race 4 Happy Alumni (3-1) First time starter for the Lui barn wasn’t thought of much going off at 63-1, and from the start of the race it looked like he was going to run to those odds breaking at least two lengths slow to the field. He quickly rushed himself back to the field and doing it while racing with his head held real high, this continued well into the stretch. When asked by Chadwick for run he was pinned in behind a wall of runners and at the 250 mark Matthew had to stop his run all together when Fabulous Eight came over into his path, even after that he fought his way thru to open ground and was full of run at the wire and galloped out past the entire field afterwards.

Race 5 Solar Wai Wai (4-5) First time starter for Lor with leading rider Zac Purton on for the trip and breaking from the 8 post with the short run to the turn in a 6 furlong Class 4 race at Sha Tin. Let’s Come Back who broke on his outside ducked in at the start and bumped our runner sideways, he soon recovered and with a little coaxing by Zac made his way to the front of the line, unfortunately he had company pestering him and was never allowed to relax in the turn. Started to tippy toe as Brett Davis likes to call it at the 200 metre mark and couldn’t hold off the perfect trip winner Speedy Dragon but did beat the third place runner Super Star by a length and a half. Zac let him gallop out past the wire very comfortably which usually isn’t the case with him on a losing steed.

Race 6 Splendour And Gold (5-1) First time starter for trainer Yip drew the 2 post going 6 furlongs at Sha Tin. Broke just a step slow which is very understandable with his lack of experience, took him a while to gather himself up and find a comfortable running rythum, then was in tight quarters entering the stretch stuck between two runners. Fought thru that without much exertion and continued to run strongly to the wire losing to the high weight betting favourite runner out of the John Moore barn by 1 Ό lengths, and quickly galloped out past the top two finishers after the wire.

Race 9 Prance Dragon () He was bet down as the 9-5 favourite after taking a couple months away from the track. When the gates opened, he was caught standing in the gate losing at least a couple lengths to the field all the while the two runners that broke around him came together not allowing him room to gain that positioning back. Down the backside he carried his head higher than normal and never really relaxed for Rispoli, then was herded by the eventual winner Star Of Joy by van Niekerk at the top of the stretch, and yet with all the trouble was only defeated by 1 ½ lengths.

Race 10 Fearless Fire (11-1) Made a dash to the wire in his last race just to miss out by a length with Schofield aboard, now had the services of leading rider Zac Purton for the Casper Fownes runner. Took a slightly stumble forwards at the start, settled in the back third while racing two wide in the early sections of the race. He refused to settle down as was fighting Zac for the bit heading into the backside, by the time they reached the hill Purton decided to allow him to race on his own and drifted out to the three path without any cover entering the final turn, while this was going on the eventual winner Bank On Red for the John Size barn with Moreira on was saving ground waiting for the leaders to come back to him. At the 100 metre mark it looked as if he was going to be victorious but the added distance eventually took its toll on him.

Race 11 Vincy (4-1) He had won 2 out of 3 in his homeland of Australia, but when he came to Hong Kong he was placed on the Vet’s List before he was allowed to run. In his local debut he ran into some traffic issues and finished a very good fourth beaten by 1 Ύ lengths. Settled in the back half of the field on the backside, raced 2 wide and moved the four path entering the stretch. Zac stayed after him the entire length of the stretch while trying to chase down the Size trained Nicconi Express winner, beat the third place Pakistan Friend by 2 ½ lengths.



Past watch list runners running tonight:
Race 4 High Rev (2-1)
Race 5 What A Legend (8-1)


Key Plays:
Race 5 Solar Wai Wai (4-5)
Race 10 Fearless Fire (11-1)
Race 11 Vincy (4-1)

Longshots:
Race 1 Sparkling Sword (25-1)
Race 2 Bonito (12-1)
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Old 02-06-2019, 11:36 PM   #456
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Cool HONG KONG - SHA TIN THURS- 2/7/19

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I’m posting my pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 11 races at Sha Tin with all to be run on Turf:
(from top Class to bottom) -
(1)-Class-1, (4)-Class-3, (4)-Class-4, (2)-Class-5


Post Time Race #1 – 11:30 PM THURS EST

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

Good Luck if you’re playing!

R#1 - 1800M C4 (9F)T…. 4-5-8 W/ 2-9-1 ….…11:30 PM EST –
(May sub #2 or #9 into top 3 if live tote dictates)

R#2 - 1600M C5 (8F)T…. 1-2-5 W/ 10-3-6 ……12:00 AM EST –
(May sub #3 or #10 into top 3 if live tote dictates)

R#3 – 1400M C5 (7F)T….. 2-4-1 W/ 3-10-8 ....12:30 AM EST -
(May sub #3 or #10 into top 3 if live tote dictates)

R#4 - 1200M C4 (6F)T…. 2-4-1 W/ 6-10-9 …....1:00 AM EST –
(May sub #6 into top 3 if live tote dictates)

R#5 - 1200M C4 (6F)T.... 2-11-3 W/ 6-12-5 …..1:35 AM EST –

R#6 - 1400M C4 (7F)T…... 1-3-14 W/ 4-8-7 …..2:05 AM EST –
(May sub #4, #7, or #8 into top 3 if live tote dictates)

R#7 – 1200M C3 (6F)T.... 7-12-5 W/ 10-1-8 ....2:35 AM EST –
(May sub #1, or #10 into top 3 if live tote dictates)

R#8 - 1400M C1 (7F)T..… 3-4-5 W/ 1-2---- …..…3:05 AM EST –
(May sub #6 into top 5 if live tote dictates)

R#9 - 1200M C3 (6F)T..…. 7-2-5 W/ 4-1-8 …....3:40 AM EST –
(May sub #1, #4 or #8 into top 3 if live tote dictates)

R#10 - 1400M C3 (7F)T... 3-2-14 W/ 7-8-6 …..4:15 AM EST –
(May sub #7 or #8 into top 3 if live tote indicates)

R#11 - 1600M C3 (8F)T... 1-4-9 W/ 14-5-12 ….4:50 AM EST
(May sub #14 or #5 into top 3 if live tote indicates)
.
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Old 02-07-2019, 12:30 AM   #457
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R1
965 with 814
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Old 02-07-2019, 12:45 AM   #458
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R#1 - 1800M C4 (9F)T…. 5-2-8 W/ 4-9-1 - #2 swap w/heavy betting & becoming favored ….…11:30 PM EST –
(May sub #2 or #9 into top 3 if live tote dictates)
2-8-6-9– Dutch Win 77% Profit Margin / $89.60 Quinella (Lucky Numbers run 1-2)
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Old 02-07-2019, 12:46 AM   #459
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Your lucky numbers came in... ...!
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Old 02-07-2019, 12:51 AM   #460
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Originally Posted by VigorsTheGrey View Post
Your lucky numbers came in... ...!
They're not my lucky numbers, but there's no harm in using some Chinese luck!
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Old 02-07-2019, 01:12 AM   #461
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R#2 - 1600M C5 (8F)T…. 1-2-5 W/ 10-3-6 ……12:00 AM EST –
(May sub #3 or #10 into top 3 if live tote dictates)
2-1-5-9– Dutch Win 24% Profit Margin-Passed / $16.40 Quinella & $113.60 Triple / ALL of that one! (Lucky Numbers finish 1st & 3rd )
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Old 02-07-2019, 01:40 AM   #462
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R#3 – 1400M C5 (7F)T….. 2-4-1 W/ 3-10-8 ....12:30 AM EST -
(May sub #3 or #10 into top 3 if live tote dictates)
3-6-2-10– Dutch Loss 74% Profit Margin-/ No action on the LS Placer #6
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Old 02-07-2019, 02:02 AM   #463
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R4
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Old 02-07-2019, 02:09 AM   #464
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R4
Broke second last, rushed up to enter contention, in tight and steadied a furlong out and got beat half a length for it all...
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Old 02-07-2019, 02:12 AM   #465
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R#4 - 1200M C4 (6F)T…. 2-4-1 W/ 6-10-9 …....1:00 AM EST –
(May sub #6 into top 3 if live tote dictates)
11-4-6-2– Dutch Loss 25% Profit Margin-Passed / No action on the LS Winner #11
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