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05-04-2017, 01:48 PM
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#3331
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ReplayRandall
3rd race #2 was a MTO, which shouldn't have been factored unless race came off the turf...
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Turf....Dirt...what's the difference? Some tracks the turf course is so bad--they have to paint the dirt green. 🌽
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05-04-2017, 01:52 PM
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#3332
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Buckle Up
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 10,614
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NorCalGreg
Turf....Dirt...what's the difference? Some tracks the turf course is so bad--they have to paint the dirt green.
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Yup, that's what all the pros say, down in Corncob County...
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05-04-2017, 07:39 PM
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#3333
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Anyhoo....at the risk of being accused of changing the rules again--or whatever I was accused of--I will show you ONE way of picking winners. I played 3 horses today @ SA. I never even looked at PP's or Trainers or Jockeys or Stewards or Replays or Mythical Bias'...or anything else--but these 4 PICK-ALL cards from EXOTIC BETS! There are 100 different ways to pick winners--this is just one. Later you'll see how hittable this pick-4 was. Keep in mind I'm in California--and bet @ 3AM Pacific....long before scratches.
I didn't show the 1st race because 'SCREAMER was more than obvious at too low a price.
Probably the worst bet on this card was DOGTOWN---look at his ML--then look at his rankings. They should all be #1's at that low price.
If you think I changed the rules..or am saying something else today---then I'm sorry-- my simple programs are not for you.
PS: I've showed this method several times previously
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05-04-2017, 08:02 PM
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#3334
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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My Santa Anita Pick-3 did not win today--
new bankroll $513
Fridays Play Late 3 @ Belmont = $27.00
- - / - - / - -
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05-05-2017, 03:12 AM
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#3335
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Veteran
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 729
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Top Late with PP1=1 has been doing well at several tracks. Prices are modest, but the win rate is good.
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05-05-2017, 05:30 AM
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#3336
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pensacola Pete
Top Late with PP1=1 has been doing well at several tracks. Prices are modest, but the win rate is good.
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That used to win a lot at TUP ....Conquest Sandman scored @ Belmont last week--I haven't been checking it much though.
There is a PLATINUM Top-4 Ability play today
4TH 2️⃣ FLY BY 15-1
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05-05-2017, 05:56 AM
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#3337
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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I had the Ability Top-4 Plays and ROI...I must have deleted it by mistake.
I know it's 4 for 9....and was a $30+ winner in there.
This is all the back data I have...so we'll just have to go with this:
UNDULATED XXX
QUINCY GIRL XXX
ROMAN APPROVAL $15.40
1 for 3--bet $6 returned $15.40
keep a separate bankroll--and DON'T skip any
...as I said there's one going today.
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05-05-2017, 06:39 AM
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#3338
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Something I started doing one day...just for the hell of it--was clicking 2.5 at whatever track I'm getting ready to handicap--and just start sorting every column---one by one.
You'll begin to notice some of the same horses are all over--and sometimes they are 6 to 1......8 to 1.....or even higher.
It kind of gives you a "feel" for the track and who's running, who's "important" and who could upset.
This is what Belmont looks like:
TOP POWER--KATHRYN THE WISE 4-1
TOP E-1- KATHRYN THE WISE
TOP E-2--BY THE MOON 3-1
TOP LATE-QUEZON 6-1
TOP T/J - KATHRYN THE WISE--OFF LIMITS
TOP QSP- BUSTIN IT 2-1
TOP BRIS-QUEZON
TOP PRIME POWER-BY THE MOON
TOP TURF BLAST--FLY BY 15-1
TOP SPEED BLAST--KATHRYN THE WISE
TOP EARLY POWER--QUEZON
TOP LATE POWER--QUEZON
TOP LAST 3 SPEEDS--QUEZON
TOP EPS%--CARRUMBA 8-1
TOP ABILITY--FLY BY
-Other horses near the top of more than one category:
VIGOR 5-1
GIOIA STELLA 5-2
JOUST 6-1
ANYDAYISMYDAY 30-1
Okay--to complete your handicapping...here is the TIP SHEET for Belmont today. Study it awhile...I think you'll find you have a much better "feel" for the races. This is one way PLATINUM & EXOTIC BETS are useful tools when used together.
You can now break out the pick-9 cards...and you'll be able to intelligently make win and exotic bets.
Good Luck
--NCG
Last edited by NorCalGreg; 05-05-2017 at 06:41 AM.
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05-05-2017, 08:53 AM
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#3339
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 125
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NorCalGreg
My Santa Anita Pick-3 did not win today--
new bankroll $513
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You didn't hit the p3, but did you see that you hit the triple box for a nice score in the 1st leg and a nice exacta in the 2nd leg?
Last edited by Cice; 05-05-2017 at 08:55 AM.
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05-05-2017, 09:15 AM
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#3340
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 8
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I just posted a thread on this as well.....
Does anyone know what happened to Thee Top Three software? I purchased it last year and there is no more website or support for it. I really enjoyed this being an amateur player.
Does anyone know of similar software as Thee Top Three?
Thanks!
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05-05-2017, 02:26 PM
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#3341
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Here's one called "Platinum" ...I don't believe folks are allowed to lie on the internet...so it MUST be good.
Only $199.00 too! Hopefully timtam will see this bargain and order it!
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05-05-2017, 02:50 PM
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#3342
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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CDX-This might be maybe the 2nd EASY WINNER @ 20-1 I've seen--ever
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05-05-2017, 03:01 PM
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#3343
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 2,956
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Let's not get carried away 7-1 winner If you check your email you'll see how I screwed up that race
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05-05-2017, 03:40 PM
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#3344
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 1,033
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When I did ponypickers that horse did not come up. I even did it again and still did not come up. It did have the winner of the 2nd and 7th under the 123 method, It just had the other 4 picks. did you put scratches in somehow.
Last edited by oughtoh; 05-05-2017 at 03:44 PM.
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05-05-2017, 03:48 PM
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#3345
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 2,956
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[quote=oughtoh;2162964]When I did ponypickers that horse did not come up. I even did it again and still did not come up. It did have the winner of the 2nd and 7th under the 123 method, It just had the other 4 picks. did you put scratches in somehow.[/quote
Are you using Bris single file? Did you account for scratches? I'm not near my laptop so I can't check it for you
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