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12-10-2019, 09:55 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2017
Posts: 24
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Longshot Track
In appriciation of your answers, I made a small donation to PACE ADVANTAGE...
Can you guys tell me (with data if possible) what is the LEAST form-full track? I mean which track has the largest standard deviation for winners. Please take into account field size which will always produce the largest payouts. So, I guess, assuming everybody has the same field size, which track has the most Longshots?
Thank you all, I really enjoy the banter.
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12-11-2019, 03:46 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 4,520
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Quote:
Originally Posted by redlandb
In appriciation of your answers, I made a small donation to PACE ADVANTAGE...
Can you guys tell me (with data if possible) what is the LEAST form-full track? I mean which track has the largest standard deviation for winners. Please take into account field size which will always produce the largest payouts. So, I guess, assuming everybody has the same field size, which track has the most Longshots?
Thank you all, I really enjoy the banter.
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Philly park or penn national.
Allan
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12-11-2019, 04:08 PM
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#3
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Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,733
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IF you’re looking for a longshot track, one that is coming off my head would be Remington Park. Avg win price is pretty good.
__________________
Handicapping the world year round'  
-Conley
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12-11-2019, 08:06 PM
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#4
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,830
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CheckMark
IF you’re looking for a longshot track, one that is coming off my head would be Remington Park. Avg win price is pretty good.
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Closes Sunday until August 2020.
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12-11-2019, 10:39 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,570
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Without any data to back up my opinion...my vote unquestionably goes to Oaklawn Park. I encounter more surprise winners there than at anyplace else. My runner-up choice is the Gulfstream Park turf course.
__________________
"Theory is knowledge that doesn't work. Practice is when everything works and you don't know why."
-- Hermann Hesse
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12-11-2019, 10:43 PM
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#6
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,830
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos
Without any data to back up my opinion...my vote unquestionably goes to Oaklawn Park. I encounter more surprise winners there than at anyplace else. My runner-up choice is the Gulfstream Park turf course.
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Turfway has to be up there too if you can stomach synthetic tracks. 
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12-12-2019, 03:04 AM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 3,601
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Tampa Bay Downs.......seems like every card has at least one monster bomb.
Woodbine.........as long as the turf courses are in use.
Turfway........if the fields are full,the boxcars roll.
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12-12-2019, 01:31 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2019
Posts: 518
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I'd recommend playing opening week on any circuit that doesn't run year round. Fairmount is always ridiculous when it opens
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12-12-2019, 02:09 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2017
Posts: 152
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Check out Brisnet “at a glance” reports.
It will give the average odds of the winners and percentage of favorites winning.
At December 9th Turfway park winners average 5.68 to 1.
Then you can compare to other tracks to determine “longshot” tracks.
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12-12-2019, 02:12 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,125
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In reality, they all are. Just finding them is the problem.
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12-12-2019, 02:47 PM
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#11
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Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,733
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
Closes Sunday until August 2020.
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WHAT! I must have been living under a rock to hear that. 
__________________
Handicapping the world year round'
-Conley
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12-12-2019, 03:42 PM
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#12
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,830
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CheckMark
WHAT! I must have been living under a rock to hear that. |
They always open in early August and close mid-December with the Springboard Mile card closing out the season. It is now a Derby points race. They run quarter horses during the spring, maybe into early summer but not much more if so.
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12-12-2019, 04:20 PM
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#13
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Just Deplorable
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Lebanon, Ohio
Posts: 8,072
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Quote:
Originally Posted by taxicab
Turfway........if the fields are full,the boxcars roll.
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Very full fields so far, AE's in almost all of them. A couple of $90 winners last night. 
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12-12-2019, 09:44 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Location: st louis
Posts: 2,996
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Turfway, and it is not even close!
__________________
You will never achieve 100% if 99% is okay!
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