Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 08-09-2020, 10:08 AM   #46
Tor Ekman
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,058
Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper View Post
Have we given up on Uncle Chuck yet or was it just too much too soon?
I'd say too much too soon, I wouldn't count him out just yet, physically very impressive. Shipping him east for The Travers was clearly not the right move although it might benefit his maturation process in the long run.
Tor Ekman is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-09-2020, 10:15 AM   #47
letswastemoney
Registered User
 
letswastemoney's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 3,208
Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper View Post
Have we given up on Uncle Chuck yet or was it just too much too soon?
I gave up. I moved Uncle Chuck into fourth on my rankings before the Travers, but I had doubts about the Los Alamitos race.

Yeah, I know I'm not a figuremaker. But he only beat Thousand Words by four lengths, and I have little respect for Thousand Words after watching his spring form. Okay, maybe Thousand Words improved. That is possible.

But Uncle Chuck also has a sprinter/miler pedigree as a half to Maclean's Music and Kentuckian. Sometimes pedigree isn't everything and he did win at nine furlongs already (eh...against Thousand Words though), so I included him in my tickets.

Now that I've seen Uncle Chuck at 1 1/4 miles, he will be happier as a sprinter or one-turn miler. He could win up to 1 1/8 against the right field.
letswastemoney is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-09-2020, 12:41 PM   #48
classhandicapper
Registered User
 
classhandicapper's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 20,606
Quote:
Originally Posted by letswastemoney View Post
But Uncle Chuck also has a sprinter/miler pedigree as a half to Maclean's Music and Kentuckian. Sometimes pedigree isn't everything and he did win at nine furlongs already (eh...against Thousand Words though), so I included him in my tickets.

Now that I've seen Uncle Chuck at 1 1/4 miles, he will be happier as a sprinter or one-turn miler. He could win up to 1 1/8 against the right field.
I'm not a pedigree guy at all, but I was suspicious of his pedigree to get 10F also. Then people whose opinion I generally respect starting pointing that he had a long stride and finished really well in his last race. They sounded like the stretch out was going to be favorable for him.

That's one reason I try not to listen to too many opinions before I handicap a race myself. Sometimes those opinions are worse than your own but their thinking creeps into your thinking and throws you off.

Supposedly he acted up in the in the paddock. Maybe that had something to do with his performance too.
__________________
"Unlearning is the highest form of learning"

Last edited by classhandicapper; 08-09-2020 at 12:42 PM.
classhandicapper is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-09-2020, 12:55 PM   #49
Robert Fischer
clean money
 
Robert Fischer's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper View Post
Have we given up on Uncle Chuck yet or was it just too much too soon?
you never know w/ Baffert.

In the Shared Belief, Uncle Chuck swapped back to the wrong lead mid-stretch.

And in hindsight, after watching him fail to change leads in the Travers(albeit under a very hard drive), there's more of a chance of it being a 'flaw' than 'greenness'.

He certainly did not run like Grade 1 horse, in the Travers.


But he is a great physical specimen, he does have talent, and he does have a top barn.

I've given up on him for now, but I'll keep an eye on him.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Robert Fischer is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-09-2020, 12:57 PM   #50
Robert Fischer
clean money
 
Robert Fischer's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
1. Tiz the Law
2. Honor A.P.
3. NY. Traffic
4. Thousand Words
5. Dr Post
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Robert Fischer is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-09-2020, 12:58 PM   #51
GMB@BP
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 5,870
Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper View Post
Have we given up on Uncle Chuck yet or was it just too much too soon?
Well, the Arrogate comparisons were a bit silly.
GMB@BP is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-10-2020, 05:36 AM   #52
groupie doll
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2018
Posts: 430
Quote:
Originally Posted by groupie doll View Post
1. Tiz the Law
2. Art Collector
3. Uncle Chuck
4. Honor AP
5. Max Player

HMs- King Guillermo, Caracaro, NY Traffic
updated-
1. Tiz the Law
2. Art Collector
3. Caracaro
4. Max Player
5. Honor AP

HMs- King Guillermo, NY Traffic


If TTL runs his race and has a clean trip the rest are running for second.
groupie doll is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-10-2020, 06:18 AM   #53
burnsy
self medicated
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: toga
Posts: 3,087
Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper View Post
Have we given up on Uncle Chuck yet or was it just too much too soon?
I don’t know that you give up on a horse like that. If you are talking the Derby.......yeah..... give up. He’s not going, if he does Tiz needs a target to mow down again. He done got cooked...... well done .
burnsy is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-10-2020, 08:37 AM   #54
groupie doll
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2018
Posts: 430
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tor Ekman View Post
I'd say too much too soon, I wouldn't count him out just yet, physically very impressive. Shipping him east for The Travers was clearly not the right move although it might benefit his maturation process in the long run.
This^


Uncle Chuck should be heard from again since he clearly has talent. He is also huge and very inexperienced. Once he gets more seasoning and foundation and also grown into his frame a bit more he might be more of a force. As it was he was seemed like a 15 year old boy on a hot summer day in the paddock, and with only 2 career starts, shipping him for this caliber did seem like a rush (maybe in hindsight). I wonder if Nadal and Charlatan were still around if he would have even been under consideration for the Derby at all...
groupie doll is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-10-2020, 10:10 AM   #55
Jayhawk6191
Having Fun
 
Jayhawk6191's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2019
Posts: 77
1. Authentic
2. Tiz the Law
3. The remaining pretenders
Jayhawk6191 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-10-2020, 10:44 AM   #56
f2tornado
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Bismarck, ND
Posts: 1,625
Quote:
Originally Posted by groupie doll View Post
Uncle Chuck should be heard from again since he clearly has talent.
One of my most profitable wagering angles is playing against a Baffert speed horse short on distance stamina going long in a stakes. I never understood the Derby hype on this horse. My guess if he was trained by anyone other than Baffert there would have been far less conversation. Brisnet and Equibase figures were fair but nothing to write home about. Questionable competition... beat four others in maiden and three in LosAl. Questionable breeding for a 10F challenge. While Nyquist was by Uncle Mo, the sire line has had far more success at 8.5F. The bottom side looks more speed oriented. I do think he will win his share of 8 1/2 F type events
f2tornado is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-10-2020, 12:07 PM   #57
letswastemoney
Registered User
 
letswastemoney's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 3,208
1) Tiz the Law
2) Art Collector
3) Honor A. P.
4) King Guillermo
5) Ny Traffic
letswastemoney is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2020, 12:36 AM   #58
boys at tosconova
Registered User
 
boys at tosconova's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 1,501
Quote:
Originally Posted by GMB@BP View Post
Well, the Arrogate comparisons were a bit silly.

boys at tosconova is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2020, 12:49 AM   #59
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,118
1. Honor A.P.
2. Tiz The Law
3. Art Collector
4. Sole Volante
5. King Guillermo
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2020, 02:49 PM   #60
jay68802
Registered User
 
jay68802's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,118
Max Player moved.

http://www.thoroughbreddailynews.com...asmussen-barn/
jay68802 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:06 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.