Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Off Topic > Off Topic - General


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rating: Thread Rating: 3 votes, 5.00 average.
Old 08-09-2020, 08:50 PM   #586
lamboguy
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,662
update

2020 US Presidential Election - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 AM
111 Republican wins Presidential Election +140
112 Democrat wins Presidential Election -160
113 Republican wins Presidential Election +141
114 Field wins Presidential Election -161
115 Democrat wins Presidential Election -159
116 Field wins Presidential Election +139
117 Libertarian wins Presidential Election +38000
118 Field wins Presidential Election -76000
119 Green wins Presidential Election +42500
120 Field wins Presidential Election -85000
121 Republican/Democrat wins Election -45000
122 Libertarian/Green wins Election +15000
2020 US Presidential Election - Propositions - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 AM
131 Joe Biden wins Popular Vote -450
132 Donald Trump wins Popular Vote +360
133 Biden wins Elections & Popular Vote -125
134 Any other result -115
135 Biden loses Elections & Popular Vote +250
136 Any other result -350
137 Biden wins Elections loses Popular Vote +1150
138 Any other result -2450
139 Biden loses Elections wins Popular Vote +310
140 Any other result -430
2020 US Election - House of Representatives - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 AM
351 House Seats won by DEMS less than 209 +875
352 Any other result -1790
351 House Seats won by DEMS 210-213 +2500
352 Any other result -7500
353 House Seats won by DEMS 214-217 +1600
354 Any other result -4800
355 House Seats won by DEMS 218-221 +1600
356 Any other result -4800
357 House Seats won by DEMS 222-225 +1300
358 Any other result -3000
359 House Seats won by DEMS 226-229 +1300
360 Any other result -3000
361 House Seats won by DEMS 230-233 +850
362 Any other result -1750
363 House Seats won by DEMS 234-237 +500
364 Any other result -900
365 House Seats won by DEMS 238-241 +475
366 Any other result -825
367 House Seats won by DEMS 242-245 +425
368 Any other result -675
369 House Seats won by DEMS 246 or more +160
370 Any other result -210
United States Congress - Majority Control of Senate - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 AM
401 Democratic Senators in 117th Congress -165
402 Republican Senators in 117th Congress +125
United States Congress - Majority Control of The House of Representatives - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 AM
403 DEM Representatives in 117th Congress -675
404 REP Representatives in 117th Congress +425
2020 US Presidential Election - Democratic Party Sweep - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 AM
405 DEMS win Election + Senate + Lower House +120
406 Any other balance of power on 01/21/21 -160
United States Congress - Control of Senate & House of Representatives - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 AM
411 DEM control House REP control Senate +230
412 Any other balance of power on 01/21/21 -310
413 Democrats control House & Senate -145
414 Any other balance of power on 01/21/21 +105
415 Republican control House & Senate +435
416 Any other balance of power on 01/21/21 -705
417 REP control House DEM control Senate +2000
418 Any other balance of power on 01/21/21 -6000
2020 US Presidential Election - Electoral Votes Winner - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 AM
501 Republican Nominee wins Alabama -2000
502 Democratic Nominee wins Alabama +1000
503 Republican Nominee wins Alaska -460
504 Democratic Nominee wins Alaska +320
505 Republican Nominee wins Arizona +115
506 Democratic Nominee wins Arizona -155
507 Republican Nominee wins Arkansas -900
508 Democratic Nominee wins Arkansas +500
509 Republican Nominee wins California +1050
510 Democratic Nominee wins California -2150
511 Republican Nominee wins Colorado +550
512 Democratic Nominee wins Colorado -1050
513 Republican Nominee wins Connecticut +600
514 Democratic Nominee wins Connecticut -1200
515 Republican Nominee wins Delaware +700
516 Democratic Nominee wins Delaware -1500
517 Republican Nominee wins Dist of Columbia +5500
518 Democratic Nominee wins Dist of Columbia -21500
519 Republican Nominee wins Florida -105
520 Democratic Nominee wins Florida -135
521 Republican Nominee wins Georgia -145
522 Democratic Nominee wins Georgia +105
523 Republican Nominee wins Hawaii +2400
524 Democratic Nominee wins Hawaii -7200
525 Republican Nominee wins Idaho -3000
526 Democratic Nominee wins Idaho +1300
527 Republican Nominee wins Illinois +800
528 Democratic Nominee wins Illinois -1700
529 Republican Nominee wins Indiana -825
530 Democratic Nominee wins Indiana +475
531 Republican Nominee wins Iowa -160
532 Democratic Nominee wins Iowa +120
533 Republican Nominee wins Kansas -1050
534 Democratic Nominee wins Kansas +550
535 Republican Nominee wins Kentucky -1050
536 Democratic Nominee wins Kentucky +550
537 Republican Nominee wins Louisiana -1200
538 Democratic Nominee wins Louisiana +600
539 Republican Nominee wins Maine +310
540 Democratic Nominee wins Maine -430
541 Republican Nominee wins Maryland +1200
542 Democratic Nominee wins Maryland -2600
543 Republican Nominee wins Massachusetts +1450
544 Democratic Nominee wins Massachusetts -4050
545 Republican Nominee wins Michigan +190
546 Democratic Nominee wins Michigan -270
547 Republican Nominee wins Minnesota +190
548 Democratic Nominee wins Minnesota -270
549 Republican Nominee wins Mississippi -1850
550 Democratic Nominee wins Mississippi +900
551 Republican Nominee wins Missouri -620
552 Democratic Nominee wins Missouri +410
553 Republican Nominee wins Montana -900
554 Democratic Nominee wins Montana +500
555 Republican Nominee wins Nebraska -2000
556 Democratic Nominee wins Nebraska +1000
557 Republican Nominee wins Nevada +340
558 Democratic Nominee wins Nevada -510
559 Republican Nominee wins New Hampshire +285
560 Democratic Nominee wins New Hampshire -405
561 Republican Nominee wins New Jersey +650
562 Democratic Nominee wins New Jersey -1350
563 Republican Nominee wins New Mexico +350
564 Democratic Nominee wins New Mexico -530
565 Republican Nominee wins New York +1100
566 Democratic Nominee wins New York -2300
567 Republican Nominee wins North Carolina -130
568 Democratic Nominee wins North Carolina -110
569 Republican Nominee wins North Dakota -2300
570 Democratic Nominee wins North Dakota +1100
571 Republican Nominee wins Ohio -150
572 Democratic Nominee wins Ohio +110
573 Republican Nominee wins Oklahoma -2000
574 Democratic Nominee wins Oklahoma +1000
575 Republican Nominee wins Oregon +800
576 Democratic Nominee wins Oregon -1700
577 Republican Nominee wins Pennsylvania +150
578 Democratic Nominee wins Pennsylvania -190
579 Republican Nominee wins Rhode Island +750
580 Democratic Nominee wins Rhode Island -1580
581 Republican Nominee wins South Carolina -555
582 Democratic Nominee wins South Carolina +365
583 Republican Nominee wins South Dakota -1750
584 Democratic Nominee wins South Dakota +850
585 Republican Nominee wins Tennessee -1750
586 Democratic Nominee wins Tennessee +850
587 Republican Nominee wins Texas -270
588 Democratic Nominee wins Texas +190
589 Republican Nominee wins Utah -650
590 Democratic Nominee wins Utah +420
591 Republican Nominee wins Vermont +1000
592 Democratic Nominee wins Vermont -2000
593 Republican Nominee wins Virginia +450
594 Democratic Nominee wins Virginia -750
595 Republican Nominee wins Washington +600
596 Democratic Nominee wins Washington -1200
597 Republican Nominee wins West Virginia -1500
598 Democratic Nominee wins West Virginia +700
599 Republican Nominee wins Wisconsin +130
600 Democratic Nominee wins Wisconsin -170
601 Republican Nominee wins Wyoming -2600
602 Democratic Nominee wins Wyoming +1200
2020 US Presidential Election - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
101 Joe Biden wins Presidential Election -160
102 Donald Trump wins Presidential Election +140
123 Kanye West wins Presidential Election +12750
124 Field wins Presidential Election -999999
2020 US Presidential Election - Electoral College Winning Margin - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
201 Trump wins by 280+ electoral votes +1200
202 Any other result -2600
203 Trump wins by 210-279 electoral votes +1000
204 Any other result -2000
205 Trump wins by 150-209 electoral votes +750
206 Any other result -1580
207 Trump wins by 100-149 electoral votes +1300
208 Any other result -3000
209 Trump wins by 60-99 electoral votes +1250
210 Any other result -2750
211 Trump wins by 30-59 electoral votes +1500
212 Any other result -4500
213 Trump wins by 10-29 electoral votes +1450
214 Any other result -4050
215 Trump wins by 1-9 electoral votes +1225
216 Any other result -2675
217 Electoral College tied 269-269 +4000
218 Electoral College not tied 269-269 -16000
219 J.Biden wins by 280+ electoral votes +340
220 Any other result -510
221 J.Biden wins by 210-279 electoral votes +450
222 Any other result -750
223 J.Biden wins by 150-209 electoral votes +800
224 Any other result -1700
225 J.Biden wins by 100-149 electoral votes +725
226 Any other result -1545
227 J.Biden wins by 60-99 electoral votes +1250
228 Any other result -2750
229 J.Biden wins by 30-59 electoral votes +1600
230 Any other result -4800
231 J.Biden wins by 10-29 electoral votes +2500
232 Any other result -7500
233 J.Biden wins by 1-9 electoral votes +3000
234 Any other result -11000
2020 US Presidential Election - Popular Vote Winning Margin - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
251 Trump wins popular vote by 10.5% or more +2500
252 Any other result -7500
253 Trump wins popular vote by 9% - 10.49% +2800
254 Any other result -9600
255 Trump wins popular vote by 7.5% - 8.99% +2300
256 Any other result -6900
257 Trump wins popular vote by 6% - 7.49% +2000
258 Any other result -6000
259 Trump wins popular vote by 4.5% - 5.99% +2200
260 Any other result -6600
261 Trump wins popular vote by 3% - 4.49% +1925
262 Any other result -5775
263 Trump wins popular vote by 1.5% - 2.99% +2200
264 Any other result -6600
265 Trump wins pop vote by less than 1.49% +1300
266 Any other result -3000
267 Biden wins popular vote by 10.5% or more +230
268 Any other result -310
269 Biden wins popular vote by 9% - 10.49% +615
270 Any other result -1245
271 Biden wins popular vote by 7.5% - 8.99% +600
272 Any other result -1200
273 Biden wins popular vote by 6.00% - 7.49% +625
274 Any other result -1275
275 Biden wins popular vote by 4.5% - 5.99% +725
276 Any other result -1545
277 Biden wins popular vote by 3% - 4.49% +825
278 Any other result -1725
279 Biden wins popular vote by 1.5% - 2.99% +1200
280 Any other result -2600
281 Biden wins pop vote by less than 1.49% +1400
282 Any other result -3600
2020 US Presidential Election - Propositions - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
901 Trump wins every state he won in 2016 +550
902 Trump loses a state he won in 2016 -1050
903 Trump loses every state he lost in 2016 -300
904 Trump wins a state he lost in 2016 +220
905 Winner of pop vote wins elect college -260
906 Winner of pop vote loses elect college +180
Live Lines v0.08.10.17.
lamboguy is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-10-2020, 03:57 AM   #587
lamboguy
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,662
China says that even though they support Biden, they have no intention of rigging the election for him. they claim Russia is still rigging election for Trump. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/...n-intelligence,

the only thing that i have been paying attention to is the steep drop in support on the lines for democrats since friday. Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin have dropped to under 2-1 for the favored democrats. looking back to the 2016 election, democrats were over 5-1 on this very day in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, from there Trump ate into those numbers steadily and won the election by close margins. the same thing is very likely to happen again this time.

i was watching the fOX News channel. they are saying that democrats were getting stronger in both Pennsylvania and Wisconsin in their polls. i am seeing the exact opposite in the lines.
lamboguy is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-10-2020, 02:34 PM   #588
Tor Ekman
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,058
This is an excellent wager:
Quote:
Trump wins a state he lost in 2016 +220
Tor Ekman is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-10-2020, 04:02 PM   #589
lamboguy
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,662
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tor Ekman View Post
This is an excellent wager:
not a bad bet at all, there are about 6 possible states that he can flip.

Biden is no star either.
lamboguy is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-10-2020, 04:17 PM   #590
biggestal99
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 4,520
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tor Ekman View Post
This is an excellent wager:
Which one? Minnesota?

Allan
biggestal99 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-10-2020, 04:21 PM   #591
biggestal99
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 4,520
Betfair next president market

Biden 1.71
Trump 2.60

Statistical anomaly or a trend.

Allan
biggestal99 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2020, 01:13 AM   #592
lamboguy
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,662
update

2020 US Presidential Election - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 AM
111 Republican wins Presidential Election +138
112 Democrat wins Presidential Election -158
lamboguy is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2020, 01:17 AM   #593
fast4522
Registered User
 
fast4522's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: New Hampshire
Posts: 14,400
Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy View Post
2020 US Presidential Election - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 AM
111 Republican wins Presidential Election +138
112 Democrat wins Presidential Election -158
None of that matters, every day city's in the news being torn apart non stop into November will have a chilling effect on who actually votes. I got news for you, it is not going to help Biden.
fast4522 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2020, 02:54 AM   #594
lamboguy
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,662
what do you want me to do, bet my money based on your expertise....I DON'T THINK I WILL PAY TO MUCH ATTENTION TO IT.

don't take it personal though, its a better reason than going by the vice president getting blown out in the debates.
lamboguy is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2020, 03:03 AM   #595
fast4522
Registered User
 
fast4522's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: New Hampshire
Posts: 14,400
Don't take it personal but Joseph Robinette Biden became a fish out of water when Ted Kennedy died. Your not going to bet on anybody.
fast4522 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2020, 07:21 AM   #596
Marshall Bennett
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Houston , Tx.
Posts: 9,564
If he picks a white women all hell will break loose. Must be a black woman. Its all about the black vote. Biden needs all the help he can get. A quality VP candidate isn't a condition of consideration...color is.
Marshall Bennett is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2020, 09:01 AM   #597
Tor Ekman
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,058
Quote:
Originally Posted by biggestal99 View Post
Which one? Minnesota?

Allan
Minnesota is a candidate, NH may be best bet, and also Virginia has a good chance of flipping back to a red state. Other possibilities are Maine and Colorado and I wouldn’t be shocked if the vast swaths of suburban voters in NJ have had enough to flip the state to GOP for first time since 1988 I think, and if Trump carries NJ then it’ll be an electoral landslide.
Tor Ekman is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2020, 09:32 AM   #598
davew
Registered User
 
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,462
Quote:
Originally Posted by Marshall Bennett View Post
If he picks a white women all hell will break loose. Must be a black woman. Its all about the black vote. Biden needs all the help he can get. A quality VP candidate isn't a condition of consideration...color is.
Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer has dark hair

https://www.latimes.com/politics/sto...en-vp-decision
davew is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2020, 10:49 AM   #599
horses4courses
Registered User
 
horses4courses's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 14,529
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tor Ekman View Post
Minnesota is a candidate, NH may be best bet, and also Virginia has a good chance of flipping back to a red state. Other possibilities are Maine and Colorado and I wouldn’t be shocked if the vast swaths of suburban voters in NJ have had enough to flip the state to GOP for first time since 1988 I think, and if Trump carries NJ then it’ll be an electoral landslide.
Dude.......don't bogart that crack pipe......
__________________
You're going to lose.
You know that, right?
horses4courses is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 08-11-2020, 11:33 AM   #600
Tor Ekman
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,058
Quote:
Originally Posted by horses4courses View Post
Dude.......don't bogart that crack pipe......
You disappoint me, Horsey . . . I'd expect a more erudite narcotic reference from our resident Shakespearean scholar than something so base as a crack pipe, maybe something like oxlips and the nodding violet . . . but then again, we all know you've never read much Shakespeare and your tastes and inclinations really do tend to the baser side of life, ergo the crack pipe reference.

But I digress. While I acknowledge that NJ is a long shot for Trump, having not voted GOP since 1998, do you really think Trump has no shot of flipping any of the states that he lost in 2016, patricularly New Hampshire???
Tor Ekman is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply




Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:10 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.