2020 US Presidential election odds

[Marshall Bennett]

Originally Posted by hcap

You Trumpites sure are paranoid.

RealClearPolitics is not one biased poll. It is a compilation of polls.
Rasmussen and Fox are included. Fox has him down, Rasmussen has him up.

There is no deep state at work. Just Trump self-destructing all by himself

Yeah, we're paranoid, but you're the one posting battle cries every 20 minutes.

[lamboguy]

if election gets resolved by supreme court, you will either be paying or collecting by the decision they make.

https://www.kitco.com/news/2020-09-2...oom-large.html

[lamboguy]

2020 US Presidential Election - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
101 Joe Biden wins Presidential Election -120
102 Donald Trump wins Presidential Election +100

the closer it gets to a new supreme court justice might make Trump a prohibitive favorite due to being able to contest election results and winning in court. if Biden wins the key states by less than 5%, there will be an automatic challenge. there is no way he even comes close to winning states like Arizona, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania or Wisconsin by 3% if he wins them at all. those will be automatic challenges and will get turned around in the Supreme court should Biden win the votes,

[biggestal99]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

2020 US Presidential Election - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
101 Joe Biden wins Presidential Election -120
102 Donald Trump wins Presidential Election +100

the closer it gets to a new supreme court justice might make Trump a prohibitive favorite due to being able to contest election results and winning in court. if Biden wins the key states by less than 5%, there will be an automatic challenge. there is no way he even comes close to winning states like Arizona, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania or Wisconsin by 3% if he wins them at all. those will be automatic challenges and will get turned around in the Supreme court should Biden win the votes,

What’s gonna be the federal question for SCOTUS that trump lawyers will pose.

Biden got more votes than me and I think it was fraudulent.

SCOTUS won’t mean a thing in this election

bTW

Betfair next president market

Biden 1.83
Trump 2.26

If you are a trump bettor you get a better Shake than the betting the books.

Allan

[biggestal99]

Betfair next president market

Biden 1.78
Trump 2.32

A little money shows for biden as trump drifts.

Allan

[lamboguy]

the rubber has met the road today... its time to press, change, or re-arrange your bets on this thing.....

2020 US Presidential Election - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
101 Joe Biden wins Presidential Election -125
102 Donald Trump wins Presidential Election +105
111 Republican wins Presidential Election +105
112 Democrat wins Presidential Election -125
113 Republican wins Presidential Election +105
114 Field wins Presidential Election -125
115 Democrat wins Presidential Election -121
116 Field wins Presidential Election +101
117 Libertarian wins Presidential Election +38000
118 Field wins Presidential Election -76000
119 Green wins Presidential Election +42500
120 Field wins Presidential Election -85000
121 Republican/Democrat wins Election -45000
122 Libertarian/Green wins Election +15000
123 Kanye West wins Presidential Election +20000
124 Field wins Presidential Election -999999
2020 US Presidential Election - Popular Vote Propositions - Third Place - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
151 Jo Jorgensen finishes in third place -900
152 Any other candidate in third place +500
153 Howie Hawkins finishes in third place +1100
154 Any other candidate in third place -2300
155 Kanye West finishes in third place +900
156 Any other candidate in third place -1850
157 Donald Trump finishes in third place +150000
158 Any other candidate in third place -750000
159 Joe Biden finishes in third place +150000
160 Any other candidate in third place -750000
2020 US Presidential Election - Popular Vote Propositions - Fourth Place - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
161 Howie Hawkins finishes in fourth place -720
162 Any other candidate in fourth place +440
163 Kanye West finishes in fourth place +620
164 Any other candidate in fourth place -1260
165 Jo Jorgensen finishes in fourth place +1200
166 Any other candidate in fourth place -2600
167 Donald Trump finishes in fourth place +250000
168 Any other candidate in fourth place -999999
169 Joe Biden finishes in fourth place +250000
170 Any other candidate in fourth place -999999
2020 US Presidential Election - Electoral College Winning Margin - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
201 Trump wins by 280+ electoral votes +1500
202 Any other result -4500
203 Trump wins by 210-279 electoral votes +1800
204 Any other result -5400
205 Trump wins by 150-209 electoral votes +800
206 Any other result -1700
207 Trump wins by 100-149 electoral votes +400
208 Any other result -600
209 Trump wins by 60-99 electoral votes +330
210 Any other result -490
211 Trump wins by 30-59 electoral votes +1300
212 Any other result -3000
213 Trump wins by 10-29 electoral votes +2500
214 Any other result -7500
215 Trump wins by 1-9 electoral votes +3000
216 Any other result -11000
217 Electoral College tied 269-269 +3500
218 Electoral College not tied 269-269 -13500
219 J.Biden wins by 280+ electoral votes +825
220 Any other result -1725
221 J.Biden wins by 210-279 electoral votes +750
222 Any other result -1580
223 J.Biden wins by 150-209 electoral votes +650
224 Any other result -1350
225 J.Biden wins by 100-149 electoral votes +550
226 Any other result -1050
227 J.Biden wins by 60-99 electoral votes +1050
228 Any other result -2150
229 J.Biden wins by 30-59 electoral votes +950
230 Any other result -1950
231 J.Biden wins by 10-29 electoral votes +1700
232 Any other result -5100
233 J.Biden wins by 1-9 electoral votes +1700
234 Any other result -5100
2020 US Presidential Election - Propositions - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
241 Joe Biden wins Popular Vote -550
242 Donald Trump wins Popular Vote +425
243 Biden wins Elections & Popular Vote -140
244 Any other result +100
245 Biden loses Elections & Popular Vote +500
246 Any other result -900
247 Biden wins Elections loses Popular Vote +1100
248 Any other result -2300
249 Biden loses Elections wins Popular Vote +140
250 Any other result -180
251 Winner of pop vote wins elect college -230
252 Winner of pop vote loses elect college +170
2020 US Presidential Election - Popular Vote Winning Margin - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
261 Trump wins popular vote by 10.5% or more +1800
262 Any other result -5400
263 Trump wins popular vote by 9% - 10.49% +3800
264 Any other result -14600
265 Trump wins popular vote by 7.5% - 8.99% +3800
266 Any other result -14600
267 Trump wins popular vote by 6% - 7.49% +3000
268 Any other result -11000
269 Trump wins popular vote by 4.5% - 5.99% +3000
270 Any other result -11000
271 Trump wins popular vote by 3% - 4.49% +2000
272 Any other result -6000
273 Trump wins popular vote by 1.5% - 2.99% +1800
274 Any other result -5400
275 Trump wins pop vote by less than 1.49% +1350
276 Any other result -3250
277 Biden wins popular vote by 10.5% or more +400
278 Any other result -600
279 Biden wins popular vote by 9% - 10.49% +600
280 Any other result -1200
281 Biden wins popular vote by 7.5% - 8.99% +525
282 Any other result -975
283 Biden wins popular vote by 6.00% - 7.49% +525
284 Any other result -975
285 Biden wins popular vote by 4.5% - 5.99% +650
286 Any other result -1350
287 Biden wins popular vote by 3% - 4.49% +680
288 Any other result -1440
289 Biden wins popular vote by 1.5% - 2.99% +700
290 Any other result -1500
291 Biden wins pop vote by less than 1.49% +900
292 Any other result -1850
2020 US Election - House of Representatives - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
351 House Seats won by DEMS less than 209 +700
352 Any other result -1500
353 House Seats won by DEMS 210-213 +1000
354 Any other result -2000
355 House Seats won by DEMS 214-217 +1100
356 Any other result -2300
357 House Seats won by DEMS 218-221 +1200
358 Any other result -2600
359 House Seats won by DEMS 222-225 +1300
360 Any other result -3000
361 House Seats won by DEMS 226-229 +1100
362 Any other result -2300
363 House Seats won by DEMS 230-233 +750
364 Any other result -1580
365 House Seats won by DEMS 234-237 +600
366 Any other result -1200
367 House Seats won by DEMS 238-241 +450
368 Any other result -750
369 House Seats won by DEMS 242-245 +600
370 Any other result -1200
371 House Seats won by DEMS 246 or more +280
372 Any other result -400
2020 US Presidential Election - Popular Vote - Smallest Margin Of Victory Percentage - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
801 Texas has smallest MOV % +900
802 Any other state has smallest MOV % -1850
803 North Carolina has smallest MOV % +600
804 Any other state has smallest MOV % -1200
805 Ohio has smallest MOV % +625
806 Any other state has smallest MOV % -1275
807 Georgia has smallest MOV % +775
808 Any other state has smallest MOV % -1625
809 Florida has smallest MOV % +685
810 Any other state has smallest MOV % -1455
811 Iowa has smallest MOV % +900
812 Any other state has smallest MOV % -1850
813 Wisconsin has smallest MOV % +950
814 Any other state has smallest MOV % -1950
815 Arizona has smallest MOV % +950
816 Any other state has smallest MOV % -1950
817 Pennsylvania has smallest MOV % +1300
818 Any other state has smallest MOV % -3000
819 Michigan has smallest MOV % +1300
820 Any other state has smallest MOV % -3000
821 New Hampshire has smallest MOV % +1000
822 Any other state has smallest MOV % -2000
823 Minnesota has smallest MOV % +700
824 Any other state has smallest MOV % -1500
825 Maine has smallest MOV % +1100
826 Any other state has smallest MOV % -2300
827 Nevada has smallest MOV % +2300
828 Any other state has smallest MOV % -6900
829 Nebraska has smallest MOV % +2800
830 Any other state has smallest MOV % -9600
831 Missouri has smallest MOV % +3800
832 Any other state has smallest MOV % -14600
833 Colorado has smallest MOV % +2500
834 Any other state has smallest MOV % -7500
835 Virginia has smallest MOV % +2500
836 Any other state has smallest MOV % -7500
2020 US Presidential Election - Popular Vote - Third Parties Votes Received - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
851 Vote % for 3rd parties less than 0.50 +2000
852 Any other result -6000
853 Vote % for 3rd parties from 0.50 to 0.99 +750
854 Any other result -1580
855 Vote % for 3rd parties from 1.00 to 1.49 +425
856 Any other result -675
857 Vote % for 3rd parties from 1.50 to 1.99 +350
858 Any other result -530
859 Vote % for 3rd parties from 2.00 to 2.49 +650
860 Any other result -1350
861 Vote % for 3rd parties from 2.50 to 2.99 +750
862 Any other result -1580
863 Vote % for 3rd parties from 3.00 to 3.49 +765
864 Any other result -1605
865 Vote % for 3rd parties from 3.50 to 3.99 +675
866 Any other result -1425
867 Vote % for 3rd parties from 4.00 to 4.49 +800
868 Any other result -1700
869 Vote % for 3rd parties from 4.50 to 4.99 +1300
870 Any other result -3000
871 Vote % for 3rd parties from 5.00 to 5.49 +1800
872 Any other result -5400
873 Vote % for 3rd parties from 5.50 to 5.99 +1800
874 Any other result -5400
875 Vote % for 3rd parties 6.00% or more +1200
876 Any other result -2600
2020 Presidential Election - Propositions - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
1301 Election result called on 11/03 +250
1302 Election result called on any other date -350
1303 Election result called on 11/04 +160
1304 Election result called on any other date -210
1305 Election result called on 11/05 +1100
1306 Election result called on any other date -2300
1307 Election result called on 11/06 - 11/07 +1500
1308 Election result called on any other date -4500
1309 Election result called on 11/08 - 11/09 +1800
1310 Election result called on any other date -5400
1311 Election result called on 11/10 - 11/16 +1300
1312 Election result called on any other date -3000
1313 Election result called on 11/17 - 11/23 +1800
1314 Election result called on any other date -5400
1315 Election result called on 11/24 - 11/30 +1800
1316 Election result called on any other date -5400
1317 Election result called on 12/01 - 12/14 +1150
1318 Election result called on any other date -2450
1319 Election result called on 12/15 or later +750
1320 Election result called on any other date -1580
2020 US Presidential Election - Propositions - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
1401 Trump wins every state he won in 2016 +550
1402 Trump loses a state he won in 2016 -1050
1403 Trump loses every state he lost in 2016 -170
1404 Trump wins a state he lost in 2016 +130
United States Congress - Majority Control of Senate - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
1451 Democratic Senators in 117th Congress -130
1452 Republican Senators in 117th Congress -110
United States Congress - Majority Control of The House of Representatives - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
1453 DEM Representatives in 117th Congress -600
1454 REP Representatives in 117th Congress +400
2020 US Presidential Election - Democratic Party Sweep - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
1455 DEMS win Election + Senate + Lower House +100
1456 Any other balance of power on 01/21/21 -140
United States Congress - Control of Senate & House of Representatives - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
1461 DEM control House REP control Senate -115
1462 Any other balance of power on 01/21/21 -125
1463 Democrats control House & Senate -115
1464 Any other balance of power on 01/21/21 -125
1465 Republican control House & Senate +345
1466 Any other balance of power on 01/21/21 -515
1467 REP control House DEM control Senate +17500
1468 Any other balance of power on 01/21/21 -87500
2020 US Presidential Election - Electoral Votes Winner - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
1501 Republican Nominee wins Alabama -2300
1502 Democratic Nominee wins Alabama +1100
1503 Republican Nominee wins Alaska -1350
1504 Democratic Nominee wins Alaska +650
1505 Republican Nominee wins Arizona +120
1506 Democratic Nominee wins Arizona -160
1507 Republican Nominee wins Arkansas -1050
1508 Democratic Nominee wins Arkansas +550
1509 Republican Nominee wins California +1250
1510 Democratic Nominee wins California -2750
1511 Republican Nominee wins Colorado +700
1512 Democratic Nominee wins Colorado -1500
1513 Republican Nominee wins Connecticut +1000
1514 Democratic Nominee wins Connecticut -2000
1515 Republican Nominee wins Delaware +1100
1516 Democratic Nominee wins Delaware -2300
1517 Republican Nominee wins Dist of Columbia +2500
1518 Democratic Nominee wins Dist of Columbia -7500
1519 Republican Nominee wins Florida -170
1520 Democratic Nominee wins Florida +130
1521 Republican Nominee wins Georgia -245
1522 Democratic Nominee wins Georgia +175
1523 Republican Nominee wins Hawaii +1200
1524 Democratic Nominee wins Hawaii -2600
1525 Republican Nominee wins Idaho -2750
1526 Democratic Nominee wins Idaho +1250
1527 Republican Nominee wins Illinois +1000
1528 Democratic Nominee wins Illinois -2000
1529 Republican Nominee wins Indiana -1200
1530 Democratic Nominee wins Indiana +600
1531 Republican Nominee wins Iowa -280
1532 Democratic Nominee wins Iowa +200
1533 Republican Nominee wins Kansas -1350
1534 Democratic Nominee wins Kansas +650
1535 Republican Nominee wins Kentucky -2600
1536 Democratic Nominee wins Kentucky +1200
1537 Republican Nominee wins Louisiana -1750
1538 Democratic Nominee wins Louisiana +850
1539 Republican Nominee wins Maine +400
1540 Democratic Nominee wins Maine -600
1541 Republican Nominee wins Maryland +1300
1542 Democratic Nominee wins Maryland -3000
1543 Republican Nominee wins Massachusetts +1100
1544 Democratic Nominee wins Massachusetts -2300
1545 Republican Nominee wins Michigan +210
1546 Democratic Nominee wins Michigan -290
1547 Republican Nominee wins Minnesota +300
1548 Democratic Nominee wins Minnesota -420
1549 Republican Nominee wins Mississippi -1750
1550 Democratic Nominee wins Mississippi +850
1551 Republican Nominee wins Missouri -1200
1552 Democratic Nominee wins Missouri +600
1553 Republican Nominee wins Montana -975
1554 Democratic Nominee wins Montana +525
1555 Republican Nominee wins Nebraska -2000
1556 Democratic Nominee wins Nebraska +1000
1557 Republican Nominee wins Nevada +220
1558 Democratic Nominee wins Nevada -300
1559 Republican Nominee wins New Hampshire +200
1560 Democratic Nominee wins New Hampshire -280
1561 Republican Nominee wins New Jersey +1000
1562 Democratic Nominee wins New Jersey -2000
1563 Republican Nominee wins New Mexico +500
1564 Democratic Nominee wins New Mexico -900
1565 Republican Nominee wins New York +1000
1566 Democratic Nominee wins New York -2000
1567 Republican Nominee wins North Carolina -135
1568 Democratic Nominee wins North Carolina -105
1569 Republican Nominee wins North Dakota -2000
1570 Democratic Nominee wins North Dakota +1000
1571 Republican Nominee wins Ohio -210
1572 Democratic Nominee wins Ohio +160
1573 Republican Nominee wins Oklahoma -2600
1574 Democratic Nominee wins Oklahoma +1200
1575 Republican Nominee wins Oregon +550
1576 Democratic Nominee wins Oregon -1050
1577 Republican Nominee wins Pennsylvania +140
1578 Democratic Nominee wins Pennsylvania -180
1579 Republican Nominee wins Rhode Island +800
1580 Democratic Nominee wins Rhode Island -1700
1581 Republican Nominee wins South Carolina -1200
1582 Democratic Nominee wins South Carolina +600
1583 Republican Nominee wins South Dakota -2300
1584 Democratic Nominee wins South Dakota +1100
1585 Republican Nominee wins Tennessee -1700
1586 Democratic Nominee wins Tennessee +800
1587 Republican Nominee wins Texas -475
1588 Democratic Nominee wins Texas +325
1589 Republican Nominee wins Utah -1200
1590 Democratic Nominee wins Utah +600
1591 Republican Nominee wins Vermont +1100
1592 Democratic Nominee wins Vermont -2300
1593 Republican Nominee wins Virginia +800
1594 Democratic Nominee wins Virginia -1700
1595 Republican Nominee wins Washington +850
1596 Democratic Nominee wins Washington -1750
1597 Republican Nominee wins West Virginia -2600
1598 Democratic Nominee wins West Virginia +1200
1599 Republican Nominee wins Wisconsin +150
1600 Democratic Nominee wins Wisconsin -190
1601 Republican Nominee wins Wyoming -3000
1602 Democratic Nominee wins Wyoming +1300
2020 & 2024 US Presidential Election - Winner - Tuesday, November 5, 2024 8:00 PM
1901 Joe Biden wins Pres Elect 2020 & 2024 +290
1902 Field wins either Presidential Election -350
2024 US Presidential Election - NEXT Election - Tuesday, November 5, 2024 8:00 PM
1903 Republican wins Presidential Elect 2024 -110
1904 Democrat wins Presidential Election 2024 -110
Live Lines v0.08.10.17. All rights reserv

[hcap]

From Drudge.3...

UNDERDOG TRUMP '21% CHANCE'
BETTING MARKETS GO JOE

[Marshall Bennett]

Originally Posted by hcap

From Drudge.3...

UNDERDOG TRUMP '21% CHANCE'
BETTING MARKETS GO JOE

Silent majority looms bigger than ever. Add to that the 3 debates that will surely chase off voters, and Joe is toast.
Don't think cheating is your trump card either, you're being carefully watched this time,

[hcap]

Originally Posted by Marshall Bennett

Silent majority looms bigger than ever. Add to that the 3 debates that will surely chase off voters, and Joe is toast.
Don't think cheating is your trump card either, you're being carefully watched this time,

Calm down. Rethugs might finally get it together in another 20 or 30 years. Before Donald did a hit job on the country, he first demolished the republican party.

We democrats thew him out before he did any serious damage.

[lamboguy]

election lines were off the boards prior to debate

[fast4522]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

election lines were off the boards prior to debate

Good to know, moving along.

[lamboguy]

2020 US Presidential Election - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
101 Joe Biden wins Presidential Election -145
102 Donald Trump wins Presidential Election +125


that was a pretty big initial jump towards Biden after the debate.

this line looks like its going to cost more and more money to bet on Biden.

[lamboguy]

2020 US Presidential Election - Tuesday, November 3, 2020 8:00 PM
101 Joe Biden wins Presidential Election -150
102 Donald Trump wins Presidential Election +130


if i was going to bet Trump, i would wait awhile, you will be getting a better price whether there is another debate or not....Biden doesn't need another debate to go up in price.

[biggestal99]

Betfair next president market

Biden 1.70
Trump 2.48

Bad performance at the debate by trump.

Allan

[biggestal99]

Betfair next president market

Biden 1.64
Trump 2.60

Nobody is betting trump on betfair.

Allan