Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
I simply thought she'd be overlooked as a legit contender. She had never really ran a bad race even amid some trouble. Always had her as a non-winner but Exotics horse.
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Thanks. I like the "nothing wrong with this horse" angle myself, tho am better at it with dirt races. And you mentioned that the DMR course makes it hard for horses off the pace to make up ground, is this a static character of the track or do you expect it to change as the meet goes on?
Like to add that I really enjoy your write ups and hope to see more, they've proven spot on, nice to read and really helpful.
I tossed the
tho they were a strong contender, just because I saw she ran more than four lengths behind the leader in the PPs. Not a bad call for a n00b. So I kept the
as she rated only about three lengths behind but maybe I was wrong to disagree with TFUS that she was a closer, I can't really tell. Was so sure that the
was an easy winner with how she had won at a hot paced mile and almost wired a 1 1/8 m race. I had/have no idea how to compare SA routes to Del Mar tho, maybe SA is just more friendly to front runners?
Only turf I've played is Woodbine this year and the long stretch makes for impossible results. That I could even pick horses to finish ITM on turf is a surprise to me, and really encouraging. I think Del Mar turf routes could prove almost-easy money with the way their races are constructed. It's almost predicatable as dirt. It's a lot easier to predict midpack runners to do well and leaders who could fade to 3 and 4 when you don't have to worry about closers passing them.
Advice from anyone else reading is welcome/appreciated. As I get to learn the came more there's lots of questions to ask.