New selection method

[orrug2k]

Hey, I started using a new method to predict pace and wondered if anyone would like to see my pics. Over 4 days its ahead $700 on win, $300 on place and $200 on show bets. Based on $20 bets. Whats Cool is it Won in each catagory every day. I am not going to spend a day doing this.. only track, race , horse, at the end of the day I will sum it all up in a fewnumbers...Would it be fair to add 5 percent rebate to the number. Seems like most could get that.

[andicap]

why not? show us what you've got

[judd]

[orrug2k]

Here you go. Lots to watch.. of course after doing so well it will get creamed today, then you can have me for lunch. NO CLUE ON SCRATCHES..
BEL 3-6
5-7
6-4
7-9
CBY
7-8
CNL
4-1
7-8
CRC
1-4
CT
6-10
7-6
9-1 BEST BET
MON
9-5
PEN
7-3 BB
8-1 BB
RD
3-1
SR
3-7
6-1
TDN
8-7
WO
1-7
ELP6-1
9-9
EMD 3-4
FL 2-5
FP 7-6 BB
LAD 2--7
7-2
9-5
10-9
LS 6-8
8-1
MTN 2-6
9-8

[spicytomato]

give it shot
see how it works

post a few days and see if it works for others

then you got a system for bettin ponies

thats worth talking about

when you got all the bugs out
maybe can share how you made your picks

just a thought

[rcknhrse]

i am the first one in my cadre of track chums to use pace as a handicapping tool.i have been doing this for several years.i would like to know your methods and what source of data that you use.i now use bris and take the e1 and e2 from the 2 most recent races and add up the total.i also look at the quirin speed points from the 2 most recent races.

[orrug2k]

OUT FRONT SO FAR......WELL SEE....UP TODAY AND OVER $700 FOR THE LAST 4 DAYS ON $20 BETS. ( CANT PROVE IT SO DONT ASK OR ACCUSE) I USE A SET OF DATA THAT IS CRUNCHED THEN MANIPULATED TO 4 LEVELS OF EXCLUSION , REMAPPED FOR POTENCY AT THE TRACK AND THEN REDUCED BY COMPUTER TO SPIT OUT A WINNER. A PSYCHOLOGICAL PROFILE IS USED TO DETECT WEAKNESSS IN THE BETTORS MIND AND THEN IT BECOMES A PLAYABLE RACE. FIGURES ARE USED THAT THE PUBLIC CANNOT SEE. THEY ARE FOCUSING ON THE WRONG DATA AND IGNORING THE OBVIOUS. .........hOW MANY TIMES HAVE YOU HEARD CRAP LIKE THAT. I JUST PICK BASED ON FIGS AND MY 30 YEARS OF WATCHING RACES. I DO KNOW THINGS THE PUBLIC DOESNT NOTICE. OFTEN I LOOK AT A RACE AND KNOW I HAVE SEEN THE SCENARIO 100 TIMES BEFORE. PERSONAL OPINION IS THAT ITS INFORMATION OVERLOAD.

[rcknhrse]

quite a few of those came in 1st or 2nd.
the only thing i can figure since you are being selective is that each play must have a 1 at the first call.in 1 of its last 3 most recent races.i could only find 1 free pp's that was from the colonial race 7.in that affair there appears to be only 2 horses who should go for the lead ,2 and 8,but the 7 has the highest pace fig using the method described above.the 8 has a 1 at the first call in its 3rd most recent start.

[rcknhrse]

i have no problem figuring who the 3 front runners are going to be,but being able to be selective in which races i can single just 1 of those has been my next goal.the #9 you picked in the bel 7th did not get the lead but did break 2nd and stalked the pace setter and ran a good race only to lose a photo to a longshot.it was a great super if you could have keyed the 9 1st and 2nd with all on top and the other 3 betting favorites 3rd and 4th

[orrug2k]

yep, like pace horses , toss in my secret factors, maybe perfect trip stalkers...lots of angles. Like I said experience counts. Think were still ahead without rebate...caught 30 dollar horse yesterday but was profitable on win end without it.

[BeatTheChalk]

Originally Posted by rcknhrse

i am the first one in my cadre of track chums to use pace as a handicapping tool.i have been doing this for several years.i would like to know your methods and what source of data that you use.i now use bris and take the e1 and e2 from the 2 most recent races and add up the total.i also look at the quirin speed points from the 2 most recent races.

10 - 4 question. If races are starting to be won .. from off the pace on
the Cushion Tracks ...how will your idea hold up ? I hope it holds just fine

[rcknhrse]

cnl race 7 played out as expected .the #2 jumped well as did the 8 and 9.the 2 opens up a 5 length lead ,while the 8 sits 3rd behind the9.into the far turn the 8 makes his move ,cutting the lead down to 3 at the top of the stretch then powers passed a leg weary 2 and wins by open lengths .#7 makes a powerful run to get 2nd while the 2 somehow holds on to 3rd by a narrow lip ,putting a little wood into the triple considering the $1 ex only paid $10.so your last post did hint at a perfect trip stalker.which is what the 8 was.he was also the ML fav ,post time co fav with the 7,had the 3rd best pace figs,and the highest speed fig most recent which was also the highest of any runners 4 most recent and had the only trainer with a %20 win ratio

[orrug2k]

HAPPY TO REPORT THINGS WENT WELL FOR 5 DAYS. SHOWED A PROFIT OF $228 ON A 20 WPS BET ADD A 5% REBATE IN AND WERE AT $259 FOR THE DAY AND $959 FOR THE WEEK. HOPE YOU GUYS GOT ON BOARD OR AT LEAST HAD A LITTLE FUN TRYING TO FIGURE OUT HOW I PICK.

[jakew]

anything for today

[orrug2k]

I will try to put some stuff up... kinda hungoverand had to work today. Hate capping when im off my game.