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04-30-2010, 11:57 PM
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#1
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Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,915
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Derby Picks as of Friday Night
Super Saver
Dublin
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04-30-2010, 11:59 PM
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#2
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PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,646
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Man...you're copying me! lol
I like Super Saver...also like Noble's Promise...Dublin, Conveyance and Line of David round out my top five...
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05-01-2010, 12:02 AM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 546
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage
Man...you're copying me! lol
I like Super Saver...also like Noble's Promise...Dublin, Conveyance and Line of David round out my top five...
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Close to mine. Take out Dublin and add Awesome Act for my top five.
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05-01-2010, 12:17 AM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Toronto
Posts: 4,962
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I work for two hours Wed night to the wee hours constructing tickets with Super Saver, thinking I am getting north of 15-1 (he was over that at Betfair) and today I talk to like 10 people and they all like this horse.
I feel like I am bidding on a cabbage patch kid, four years after they went hot. 
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05-01-2010, 12:56 AM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2003
Posts: 1,572
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As a breeder, I'm rooting for Dublin due to having a nice Afleet Alex colt standing next to his mama.
As a bettor, he won't be on a ticket.
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05-01-2010, 12:58 AM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 165
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American Lion
Awesome Act
Mission Impazible
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05-01-2010, 01:00 AM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2010
Location: Phoenix
Posts: 31
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Super Saver is actually the favorite in the race right now with advance wagering odds showing him at 7 to 1. We might have the highest favorite in derby history which will make for some big prices. I like Ice Box to rally and win in the mud with Lookin at Lucky, Mission Impazible and Awesome Act all with a shot
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05-01-2010, 01:02 AM
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#8
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Just another Facist
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Now in Houston
Posts: 52,814
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both on my exacta ticks....... along with 4-6 others............ 
__________________
WE ARE THE DUMBEST COUNTRY ON THE PLANET!
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05-01-2010, 01:04 AM
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#9
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Veteran
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 678
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Stately Victor.
He's my man in the big dance.
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05-01-2010, 01:09 AM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Toronto
Posts: 4,962
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by AZWrobel
Super Saver is actually the favorite in the race right now with advance wagering odds showing him at 7 to 1. We might have the highest favorite in derby history which will make for some big prices. I like Ice Box to rally and win in the mud with Lookin at Lucky, Mission Impazible and Awesome Act all with a shot
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At betfair, which should be a better indication of final odds, Lookin is 9-2, Sidney 8-1, Awesome Act 10-1, Ice Box 13-1 and Super Saver 14-1. That is with about a 5% takeout, which will close up closer to post time. If I had to guess right now I think Lookin at Lucky ends up at 7-2 on the board. Maybe 4-1 in the soup.
Last edited by DeanT; 05-01-2010 at 01:10 AM.
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05-01-2010, 01:38 AM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 1,692
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Super Saver
Ice Box
Lookin At Lucky
Line Of David
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05-01-2010, 01:57 AM
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#12
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Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,915
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Interesting that almost nobody has mentioned Lucky.
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05-01-2010, 02:05 AM
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#13
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Veteran
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 678
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage
Man...you're copying me! lol
I like Super Saver...also like Noble's Promise...Dublin, Conveyance and Line of David round out my top five...
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PA.....aren't Conveyance, Line of David, and many others (Super Saver among them) supposed to form the top flight?
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05-01-2010, 02:11 AM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 133
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Ice Box ....... rain or shine ....too many possibilities ... have to take a stand... have a 100.00 double with Blind Luck .... most wide open Derby
I have ever seen ....esp. with the slop. Best of luck to all
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05-01-2010, 02:15 AM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 1,042
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Right now the early money is all the casual bettors and lottery players, look at how all the 50-1 shots are bet down...good to see the betfair odds.
If Lookin at Lucky wins I'll feel like a fool, highest rated horse for me and I'm betting against. Will use on top as a saver though
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