Belmont Selections

[PhantomOnTour]

The question is whether this is too much too soon too far for Paynter, or will he get an easy pace trip and roll on home. He's certainly bred for 12f.
Unstoppable U has speed and can keep him company for about 6f, but he should fall away around then.
That's where My Adonis can come into the picture. If the 6f pace was too quick he is in position to move on Paynter first. He's kind of a grinder and may be able to tough out a nice placing.
I will also use Atigun at a price. Should handle the distance and not be too far back at the half way point...if that darned Leparoux gets him going, that is.
I will also use Union Rags and Dullahan in some capacity...

TRI:



WIN:


Wouldn't it be funny if one of the replaced jocks (Leparoux & Desormeaux on UR and Dullahan) were to win this?

[Dahoss2002]

ebx tbx spr 4-5-9-12

[Figaro]

Originally Posted by Figaro

Hopefully, I won't change my mind so here is my 3 horses exacta/trifecta boxes I'm using for Saturday.

I'll Have Another

Guyana Star Dweej

Union Rags

Still contemplating using a 4th. horse for my trifecta, but I want to keep it cheap as possible since I already lost in both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness.

With the scratch of IHA I will have to make some changes to trifecta box.

$1 trifecta box

Total $24

Still trying to figure my other bets for the day.

[Dahoss2002]

Originally Posted by Dahoss2002

ebx tbx spr 4-5-9-12

expanded superfecta 4-5-9-12/4-5-9-12/2-3-4-5-8-9-12/all
4-5-9-12/4-5-9-12/all/2-3-4-5-8-9-12 Good luck all. 20 wp on9 also

[Thomas Roulston]

LOL @ the horses whose ML odds went down from 50-1 to 30-1 when I'll Have Another was scratched.

And those three - Five Sixteen, Guyana Star Dweej, and Ravelo's Boy - are among five in here who have never even run a 90 BSF, at any distance or on any surface (Atigun and Unstoppable U are the other two); and worse yet, of the five only Guyana Star Dweej has any Solid or Professional chef-de-race representation in their Dosage Profile (although none has a DI above 4.00 - as Dullahan does).

I could see entering an obviously overmatched horse in the Belmont if there was some sort of hope that the distance could move the horse up enough to maybe give it some sort of chance (see Is Sveikatas back in 1995); but considering the pedigrees of all of the above except GSD, that doesn't seem even remotely possible.

[Dean Paul]

Watch for Atigun and My Adonis to outrun their odds. They both have the breeding and connections to at leats make the exotics at a price.

[burnsy]

dullahan, paynter, revelos boy. exacta box. dullahan is obvious. paynter looks like another baffert beast and hes fired every race even if hes short on experience.....the sleeper is revelos boy......probably can run all day and this trainer usually does not ship for nothing. the horse is working like he means it too.

[sovereign]

Originally Posted by sovereign

After the key scratch I doubt there is value on the main contenders.
So I will just stick with 10-cent supers.

Main box -
Belmont runners super -
Field super #1 - over over ALL over ALL
Field super #2 - over ALL over over ALL

Can't bet everyone!

The Belmont Runners super should be

[canleakid]

/ ex. box

/ / / to fill up the tri. & super slots

[KingChas]

Dullahan-By Default

Token Hunch Wager Exacta Box;
Street Life
Unstoppable U
Union Rags

Only three horses to run over Belmont Strip ,in which only two horses in the field have won on.
Edit********Make that four over the strip-missed the #8.*******

Longshot token bet;
Unstoppable U-throw out the figs-yet to lose-likes Belmont.

[Rwahi1]

Union Rags

Dullahan

After the scratch:

exacta box
wps

...assuming Paynter is going to be bet down; if somehow he goes off at 7/2 or better, then I may bet him more heavily.

[Aerocraft67]

Favorites look more or less legitimate here. Only longshot I could muster is , but looks like the shot won't be so long when they go off. I'm dutching and to win and keying them in the exacta and tri with the other chalk. Pretty much agree with the analysis of our host. Of the first and second tier horses, I guess I'm really only against and . So you might do well betting those.

[Shelby]

My mother-in-law "sees" the winning, so I'm putting $5 across on Unstoppable U for her.


As much as I hate to, I'm going to use Union Rags ONE more time and key him in some supers with Atigun, Dullahan, Paynter and My Adonis. Oh and I might slip Optimizer in there...just because I used him the last two times and I don't want to break his losing cycle lol.

Depending on how the day fares I also might do another super keying Dullahan with the others I listed above.

Oh and I'm sure I'll put $$ on Ravalo's Boy and Star Dweej (I gotta google and see what that name means)

HAPPY BELMONT DAY!!!!!

[lamboguy]

i know that BAFFERT reguarded PAYNTER as his best horse this year. the horse looks like he has plenty of talent and probably has the best pace number out of anyone in the Belmont Stakes. but the horse comes out of a 2 life allowance race in Baltimore. he may run away and hide this afternoon, but if he does he will do it without my money on him today.

the most logical contenders have plenty of knocks on them, but i see no way get to get around them.

my pick is going to be DULLAHAN, with UNION RAGS to follow.