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Old 06-08-2012, 12:21 PM   #31
canleakid
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Quote:
Originally Posted by canleakid
, , box ex. & tri.

, for the super

due to scr. of #11 got to rethink the race

think #5 or #9 will be the "weak" m/l fav. now
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:44 PM   #32
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Quote:
Originally Posted by canleakid
due to scr. of #11 got to rethink the race

think #5 or #9 will be the "weak" m/l fav. now
Well F' that. I feel so upset that I think I will pass the Belmont this year and just bet Los Al quarter horses instead.
On second thoughts, i might play the Brooklyn double with Redeemed, Birdrun and Paynter, Dullahan.
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Old 06-08-2012, 12:49 PM   #33
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Paynter to win at minimum 3-1

exacta box if lowest box pays > $16 and over pays > $50
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Old 06-08-2012, 01:28 PM   #34
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IHA scratching changes some of the dynamics moving Paynter up obviously but also My Adonis who should get the type trip that IHA was to get. Still think Dullahan is the winner though.
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Old 06-08-2012, 02:01 PM   #35
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"The Forgotten One"
This is bad. Union Rags could easily become the favorite. Union Rags has won at Belmont and it was a G1 (Champagne) to boot. Most notably Point Given and Birdstone have come from that race. I mean, the current favorite has never won on dirt.

6-1 was decent odds, but 5-2 seems very prohibitive.
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Old 06-08-2012, 04:25 PM   #36
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Keying 5 (Doolie) in first and second in a superfecta. It could pay good with IHA out.
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Old 06-08-2012, 05:24 PM   #37
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Keying 5 (Doolie) in first and second in a superfecta. It could pay good with IHA out.
is the favorite now at 8/5. How is having him on top going to pay good?
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Old 06-08-2012, 08:36 PM   #38
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BlueChip@DRF
"The Forgotten One"
Union Rags keeps letting me down, prob will again
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Old 06-08-2012, 08:43 PM   #39
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Wink

Bel 11th race

I'll Key the #5 over the 9 3 4 1 for tri and super
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Old 06-08-2012, 08:48 PM   #40
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I was going exacta box before the scratch, but I don't think there will be value there now. Probably looking more at doubles or P3s now, but I haven't studied the surrounding races well enough.
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Old 06-08-2012, 08:50 PM   #41
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Smarty Cide
Union Rags keeps letting me down, prob will again
I hope not . He looks great . His owner who has spent way two many years in
a wheelchair , who loves this game , is very deserving.
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Old 06-08-2012, 11:05 PM   #42
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WeirdWilly
Paynter to win at minimum 3-1

exacta box if lowest box pays > $16 and over pays > $50
I took Paynter at fixed odds of 4-1 on an offshore book.
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Old 06-08-2012, 11:13 PM   #43
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Originally Posted by sovereign
Lukas said before The Preakness that he was aiming for this race and to use The Preakness to get Nakatani accustomed to Optimizer.
I gave Optimizer a real good look.
The name rang a bell. And sure enough I dove back into my programs from last August and there it was. Optimizer broke his maiden at The Spa..On grass. They then ran him back in a G2 (T) in which he finished a strong second.
In fact, if I see this horse entered in a turf race it is my hope it's not noticed by the sharper bettors. I'm on him....
As far as Saturday, hmmm...Will be playing him in my exotics.
Lukas is as sly as they come. He still can prep them for the big races.
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Old 06-08-2012, 11:46 PM   #44
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Originally Posted by thespaah
I took Paynter at fixed odds of 4-1 on an offshore book.
He's 7-1 in the early betting. I'm a bit shocked myself, as I believed he posed the biggest threat to IHA.
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Old 06-09-2012, 01:46 AM   #45
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After the key scratch I doubt there is value on the main contenders.
So I will just stick with 10-cent supers.

Main box -
Belmont runners super -
Field super #1 - over over ALL over ALL
Field super #2 - over ALL over over ALL

Can't bet everyone!
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