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Old 02-05-2015, 06:30 AM   #1
NarrowRator
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2015 REAL KENTUCKY DERBY CONTENDERS TO WATCH

The entire list of 429 early Triple Crown nominees were processed and we narrow it down to 39 horses to watch with (BLOFLED AND OSTROLENKA) kinda inactive. This list will be further reduced (by defects etc) but THESE are the REAL DERBY CONTENDERS TO WATCH.

AVANTI BELLO
BARBADOS
BAYERD
BRAVO CHARLIE
COMBAT DIVER
CROSS THE LINE
DADTAUGHTMEWELL
DECISION DAY
DEKABRIST
DIRT MONSTER
DUKIN' WITH DALE
EAGLE
EH CUMPARI
EL KABEIR
FAR RIGHT
FRAMMENTO
FROSTED
G FIVE
GENERAL BELLAMY
GOLDEN YEARS
GOOD LUCK GUS
HASHTAG BOURBON
JUAN AND BINA
KILLINGIT
METABOSS
NASA
NO PROBLEM
OCHO OCHO OCHO
RUNAWAY BLING
STEEL
THE TRUTH OR ELSE
TO THE VICTOR
TRADESMAN
UNRIVALED
UPSTART
VERRACO
WAR STORY
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Old 02-05-2015, 07:11 AM   #2
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Dekabrist? Why?
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Old 02-05-2015, 08:19 AM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by letswastemoney
Dekabrist? Why?
He has the pedigree to get 1 mile 1/4. He wants to go further.

This list will be reduced after seeing how some of these get a 1 mile 1/8 but the derby winner is here.
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Old 02-05-2015, 09:58 AM   #4
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Barbados is injured and off the trail.
They are hoping to have him back for the summer sprint stakes like the Kings Bishop
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Old 02-05-2015, 10:00 AM   #5
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You are also missing Carpe Diem who was 2nd in the Breeders Cup and had a nice work in Florida on Saturday
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Old 02-05-2015, 10:38 AM   #6
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American Pharoah, Dortmund, Texas Red,
and the above mentioned Carpe Diem,
are all live contenders at this time.

You can add at least a dozen to that list, also.
No Ocean Knight? No Lord Nelson?
Hmmmm.....

It's one thing to have the pedigree.
You better be able to run, as well.

Last edited by horses4courses; 02-05-2015 at 10:39 AM.
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Old 02-05-2015, 05:51 PM   #7
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If you so believe the Derby winner is in your list, you can make a strong futures wager as only 5 of these are listed in the upcoming pool. El Kabair, Far Right, Frosted, Ocho Ocho, and Upstart.
I have Eagle and Frosted from the first pool and think that Carpe Diem, Frosted, Khozan, Lord Nelson and The Great War are all bred to run all day long. Khozan being unraced at 2 would be a preliminary toss for me but the others are live in my eyes and I will be following them as we get closer to the first Saturday in May.
I respect Upstart but think Far Right and OchoOcho are both a little short on breeding for my taste and El Kabeir is on the hedge. Just my opinion. I wish you luck though and I am sure others, besides myself, will be following your updates and adding their thoughts.
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Old 02-07-2015, 08:46 AM   #8
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buck X in KY Derby Pool 2

Buckpasser in the X passing position is a positive for the Ky Derby. Here are the horses in Pool 2 that carry Buck in the X:

Itsaknockout
J S Bach
Khozan
Lord Nelson
Ocean Knight
Upstart
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Old 02-07-2015, 10:40 AM   #9
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What has happened to Blofeld? I haven't heard his name in a while.
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Old 02-10-2015, 04:42 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GatetoWire
Barbados is injured and off the trail.
They are hoping to have him back for the summer sprint stakes like the Kings Bishop
Thanks for the update.
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Old 02-10-2015, 04:45 PM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GatetoWire
You are also missing Carpe Diem who was 2nd in the Breeders Cup and had a nice work in Florida on Saturday
Not sure Carpe Diem has what it takes to win the Derby. Maybe, he will prove me wrong but its my opinion. I'm not saying you should not include him in your list of contenders either.
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Old 02-10-2015, 04:46 PM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by horses4courses
American Pharoah, Dortmund, Texas Red,
and the above mentioned Carpe Diem,
are all live contenders at this time.

You can add at least a dozen to that list, also.
No Ocean Knight? No Lord Nelson?
Hmmmm.....

It's one thing to have the pedigree.
You better be able to run, as well.
Maybe, they will prove me wrong but its my opinion. I'm not saying you should not include him in your list of contenders either.
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Old 02-10-2015, 04:49 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bennie
If you so believe the Derby winner is in your list, you can make a strong futures wager as only 5 of these are listed in the upcoming pool. El Kabair, Far Right, Frosted, Ocho Ocho, and Upstart.
I have Eagle and Frosted from the first pool and think that Carpe Diem, Frosted, Khozan, Lord Nelson and The Great War are all bred to run all day long. Khozan being unraced at 2 would be a preliminary toss for me but the others are live in my eyes and I will be following them as we get closer to the first Saturday in May.
I respect Upstart but think Far Right and OchoOcho are both a little short on breeding for my taste and El Kabeir is on the hedge. Just my opinion. I wish you luck though and I am sure others, besides myself, will be following your updates and adding their thoughts.
Maybe, they will prove me wrong but its my opinion. I'm not saying you should not include him in your list of contenders either.

Jamaicans are not allowed to bet the future wagers. I'm not sure why so many people took offense to my post. Can't i share my own thoughts?
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Old 02-10-2015, 05:18 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PizzaCat
What has happened to Blofeld? I haven't heard his name in a while.
He hasn't worked out for sometime now and is a longshot to make the derby gate.
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Old 02-10-2015, 05:41 PM   #15
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NarrowRator - I don't think anyone took "offense" to your posting I am just adding my opinion to the thread as I believe so are the others. We all have our own little niches we look for in a Derby winner and as we all know, we can't all be right. The one who are do get the right to brag a little come May 2nd. Could very well be you this year.
Sorry to hear you can't bet the futures in Jamaica. Not even with an offshore account? I used to have one near the Bay when I had a Maryland address but had to close it when my wife and I decided to stay in Jersey.
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