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Old 10-06-2018, 08:43 AM   #1
Lemon Drop Husker
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10/6/18: R10 Keeneland G1 Shadwell Turf Mile

Second day of the Keeneland fall meet, and they are cranking out a pretty solid card of 11 races with 117 entrants (115 to hopefully run with 2 AEs) and 5 graded stakes races. The 5 graded stakes races have a P5 in which there are at least 10 entered in each leg and 3 of the races on turf.
The highlight of the day is the 10th with the G1 Shadwell Turf Mile with 16 entrants into a 14 horse field.


Next Shares: A solid 5YO in the prime of his career seems to be a bit short of a number of others. They have definitely tried him at a mile on turf and he is a mere 1 for 8 in that venture. A definite consideration for exotics, but very difficult to see him beating everybody in this one.


Divisidero: A solid stakes level horse that has pocketed over $1.3 million in his 21 race career. He beat Synchrony 3 back, and ran a very nice 4th in this very race last year. He may only be 2 for 12 in the last 2 years, but always has to be considered a contender.



Great Wide Open: Connections are taking a shot here after his nice 2nd last out in the Tourister Mile at Kentucky Downs. Looks to be in over his head as his previous races in graded stakes company aren't anything to write home about. Tough to see.



Imperative: Little doubt his form is on serious decline, and he is now being pointed back to turf. Very hard to make a case for this guy in here among some of the very best American turf horses.


Heart to Heart: His name says it all, and he brings it just about every time. His Fourstar Dave wasn't real impressive, but this guy is undoubtedly one of the very serious contenders in this field. He has 7 career wins at a mile on turf, including the G1 Makers Mile on this very course back in April. He is 5 for 6 in the Exacta at Keeneland, and nobody will be shocked if he makes it 6 for 7.



Synchrony: Very much in his prime, and his last race at Monmouth may well have been his career best. He has hit the board in 9 straight races including wins in 4 of his last 6. However, this will arguably be the toughest field he has ever faced. Definitely deserving of a chance, and we'll see how he fits among these today. A must consideration in exotics at the very least.


Qurbaan: That was a pretty impressive race last out coming off a near year layoff, hitting the gate at the start, and rallying to get the win over a solid field at Saratoga. In his 2nd career race in the states he'll look to take on an even better overall field while getting the HOFer in Mike Smith on his back. Would be no surprise if this guy crosses the finish line first.


Multiplier: The turf 'experiment' continues, and the connections aren't backing down from competition. While he is running decent enough, he hasn't been much of a threat to win in any of his last 4 turf races. Can't see him getting the lead and wiring this field with other quality front end legit G1 turf horses in here, and even harder seeing him passing a number of these to even hit the board.



Analyze It: The lone 3YO in the race has an extremely solid foundation under him, and has never finished out of the exacta in his 6 career starts. However, this will be his first crack at elders, so we'll see what he really has today against this bunch. May well be the post time favorite, and is deserving of respect.



Voodoo Song: Little doubt that he'll look to get to the front and wall everybody off. The 8.5 furlongs has proven to be just too much for him and he is now at his most comfortable turf mile which he is 3 for 4 lifetime. Major contender that has the ability to wire this field.


Almanaar: Chad Brown/Javier Castellano. Not sure I need to go much further for a top end turf horse in the states. Legit contender looking for his 2nd G1 turf score in his last 4 races.


Mr. Misunderstood: he has ran against a number of others in here in some big races, and always seems to come up a bit short. Now he gets them on his terms of a mile on the green stuff in which he sports a 5 for 7 career record. Will the distance be his calling card to turn the tables on a number of rivals today? Geroux on board, who is arguably the best turf rider on this course could also be a factor. Very interesting horse at some likely odds.


Big Score: He has piled up a lot of 2nds and 3rds over the past two years in this type of company. Always an excuse, always a bridesmaid. He'll need a fast pace up front, and there is some front-running speed signed on here. He'll be a massive number, and should be considered for exotics. If the pieces fall right in a big field, he could be the bomber to light up the tote board.



Bound for Nowhere: Lightly raced 4YO has done a lot of travelling while also being 2 for 2 at this very venue. 5 for 8 lifetime, and he has beat and ran against some very good horses. Post is a bit troublesome as there isn't much ground for him into the 1st turn to get out in front of a large number of others. Tough call, as he could be out of the race 150 yards in.



AEs: Of then entries, Zulu Alpha looks to have the better chance. Could be an interesting exotic add. Holiday Stone looks to be up against it among these.
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Old 10-06-2018, 12:20 PM   #2
jimmyb
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2,6,10,13 tri box

#10,#13 exacta box

#13, win and place

#10, win
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Old 10-06-2018, 12:34 PM   #3
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Looks like a lot of speed for a turf race, including the 3, 5, 9 and 10. . We’ll have to see how the earlier races play out. If so, I love the late-kicking Qurbann. You just don’t win a G2 at the SPA, just off the boat. Probably be the PT favorite, when it’s all said and done.

W: ,
EX: , , / ,
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Old 10-06-2018, 03:07 PM   #4
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Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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Old 10-06-2018, 03:16 PM   #5
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Old 10-06-2018, 04:01 PM   #6
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for me. GL
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Old 10-06-2018, 04:10 PM   #7
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Old 10-06-2018, 04:18 PM   #8
Lemon Drop Husker
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Been some great racing thus far at Keeneland today.



This is great stuff.
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Old 10-06-2018, 05:21 PM   #9
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70/1 just rolled home in the last.



This will be really interesting.
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Old 10-06-2018, 05:40 PM   #10
jay68802
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Shadwell Mile


Heart to Heart

Voodoo Song
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Old 10-06-2018, 05:41 PM   #11
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$5 Exacta


, / , , , , = $40
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Old 10-06-2018, 05:41 PM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802 View Post
Shadwell Mile


Heart to Heart

Voodoo Song
If Heart to Heart doesn’t make the lead, she doesn’t win...and Voodoo Song makes the lead...

Last edited by VigorsTheGrey; 10-06-2018 at 05:43 PM.
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Old 10-06-2018, 05:45 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VigorsTheGrey View Post
If Heart to Heart doesn’t make the lead, she doesn’t win...and Voodoo Song makes the lead...
He.
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Old 10-06-2018, 05:47 PM   #14
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W:
EX:
Tri: //All
Super: //All/All
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Old 10-06-2018, 05:49 PM   #15
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exacta box, more with ,w/p
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