View Poll Results: Is Barefoot Angel a Legit Favorite or a Vulnerable Favorite??
|
Barefoot Angel is 'Legit'!
|
|
5 |
20.00% |
Barefoot Angel is 'Vulnerable'!
|
|
11 |
44.00% |
Barefoot Angel has been a money-burner, but this is a weak field
|
|
4 |
16.00% |
I don't know. Tough call.
|
|
5 |
20.00% |
|
|
07-03-2018, 06:08 PM
|
#16
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 5,594
|
This being a maiden claimer I would focus more on the lightly raced horses, , , , and maybe .
I prefer the . The seems more solid than the so I will say
Win and .
|
|
|
07-03-2018, 08:47 PM
|
#17
|
The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,461
|
Well, it was nice that they could find such a good quality race for a holiday card!
I see four contenders - and I use that word lightly. The likely fav is aprven losers, but he's in a filed of losers and question marks. None of them will win, the others will lose.
If I were at the track, this would be my beer break. Races like this are why we have simulcasting.
But since I'm home making a mind bet, all I can lose is my mind, so here is my line...
5-2
3-1
6-1
6-1
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
|
|
|
07-03-2018, 09:02 PM
|
#18
|
Registered User
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 1,492
|
pass
Its probably a pass race no odds small field
|
|
|
07-03-2018, 11:46 PM
|
#19
|
Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 1,011
|
I had already handicapped the 2nd , 3rd and 5th races for tomorrow and was going to wait till morning to look at the 4th in regards to the early pick-4 but this post prompted me to look sooner. Upon my initial viewing I plan to use the Burkie and the Barefoot Angel both based on second race since blinkers off. There is not a lot of value in the race if Barefoot wins but if I can catch a couple of decent prices in the races before and after the pick-4 should be okay. If I was forced to bet this race it would probably be a flat bet on the at 5-1 or better and key the on top with the second and third in my tri's and supers.
|
|
|
07-04-2018, 12:44 AM
|
#20
|
Registered User
Join Date: May 2018
Posts: 105
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
|
B.A is too fast for this bunch,but I think there are 2 legitimate threats though
#3 BURKIE is litelly raced and improving and #7 didn’t have the best of starts last time and I think he gets loose and gets very brave in this race
My bet will be to box #3w 6-7 in exactas. And then bet 3-7w/3-6-7-4
Last edited by Profesor; 07-04-2018 at 12:48 AM.
|
|
|
07-04-2018, 12:46 AM
|
#21
|
Registered User
Join Date: May 2018
Posts: 105
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nutz and Boltz
You're not going to get 10-1 on Carmines Honor , fergetaboutit ! It will be second choice when the gates open.
|
Carmine’s honor was a vet scratch June 24 I hope he gets bet down
|
|
|
07-04-2018, 01:38 AM
|
#22
|
Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 5,870
|
I say Legit, this field is horrid and she lays over the field, not that I would ever bet her or this race. Lot more + than - for her chances.
|
|
|
07-04-2018, 10:34 AM
|
#23
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2016
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 1,047
|
Burkie at 6-1 or better. I'm with the above poster that the and are the two I would use in horizontals.
|
|
|
07-04-2018, 11:19 AM
|
#24
|
clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,512
|
Wow. NYRAs Andy Serling went .
Could be some big prices if that plays out.
Don't miss Talking Horses coming up soon this afternoon for his insights.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
|
|
|
07-04-2018, 02:58 PM
|
#25
|
C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,253
|
3 Burkie opened at 3-1 off an 8-1 ML
Value isn't there...likely a pass for me
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
|
|
|
07-04-2018, 03:05 PM
|
#26
|
Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 3,207
|
Ugly race. I'll pick Merger of Banks for fun, but I'm not really going to touch it with money.
|
|
|
07-04-2018, 03:26 PM
|
#27
|
clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,512
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmyb
Barefoot angel doesn't seem to want to win. Suffers from seconditis at this level.
I'm going with Carmines honor. Dropping down, gets Irad, great works in the morning, looks like a great spot.
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by MadVindication
Agree that Carmine's Honor is the best value at 10-1 with the drop in distance, early running style, reasonable class drop and jockey change to Irad Ortiz. But was scratched June 24, I don't know why. Barefoot Angel and Merger are too chalky for me.
That #4 The I Man is 4-1 where Burkie, who finished behind the fave BA, is 8-1, is a flag to me. I surmise that The I Man is an improving horse figured to at least hit the board.
If I play I would consider #5 Mr. Skittles as a 20-1 exotics bomber. Though has poor speed figs is dropping in distance and back to dirt, good enough for a long shot. But not sure if a tri or super would be worth it here.
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by PressThePace
I'm in the same camp as the others. I think Carmine's Honor offers the most value in this spot. Burkie has every right to improve as well, a 3 YO who showed more gate speed last out running w/o the hood.
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by biggestal99
Most likely will finish 3rd.
Allan
|
correctamundo
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
|
|
|
07-04-2018, 03:49 PM
|
#28
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 5,594
|
Good picks guys. I guess we agree the fav was vulnerable.
|
|
|
07-04-2018, 04:50 PM
|
#29
|
The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,461
|
So the winner foes of at less than half his morning line.
Bet the underlays - overlays offer no value.
After looking at that race, I decide to pass the whole card.
No regrets.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
|
|
|
07-04-2018, 06:45 PM
|
#30
|
Registered User
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 1,492
|
chalk
You best pass the whole afternoon, evening races might have better value I hate chalk!
|
|
|
|
|
Thread Tools |
|
Rate This Thread |
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
|
|