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Old 11-27-2021, 09:17 PM   #1
Michael
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Derby Future Wager - Pool #1

I can't be the only one that loves to handicap these pools as we move towards the derby.
There's no chance I bet into this pool, but I still enjoy running the hypothetical - what if - situations.
If anyone wants to chime in on Sire picks I'd be interested in hearing opinions.

My pool #1 pick would be Giant Game who's currently sitting at 44/1
All other 3 year old males is currently 3/5

let the games begin

pps
https://www.kentuckyderby.com/wager/future-wager
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Old 11-28-2021, 06:34 PM   #2
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I only play the sires pool this early. I look at sires that have certain breeding and also look for value. While its not always like this but a friend of mine wanted to play Jack Christopher in the pool but I pointed out to him that Jack is sitting at 9-1 and the sire Munnings is sitting at 17-1. I look for these types of differences in odds that my include a horse I like going forward. I don't like Jack Christopher myself but if I did my money would be on the sire at twice the odds with the added benefit of having any other horse by that sire that might show up down the road. I spent $6 and boxed the 4,5 and 24 in the sire pool exacta. That is my play for pool #1.
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Old 11-29-2021, 09:40 AM   #3
rastajenk
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The 'all other 3yo fillies' is a new thing this year, isn't it?
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Old 11-29-2021, 11:28 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bennie View Post
I only play the sires pool this early. I look at sires that have certain breeding and also look for value. While its not always like this but a friend of mine wanted to play Jack Christopher in the pool but I pointed out to him that Jack is sitting at 9-1 and the sire Munnings is sitting at 17-1. I look for these types of differences in odds that my include a horse I like going forward. .
Looks like the "Why didn't you bet the sire pool?" horses from Pool 1 are:

Command Performance: 31-1
Union Rags: 29-1

Classic Cause: 44-1
Giant Game: 37-1
Giant's Causeway: 24-1 (of course you may LIKE only one)

Jack Christopher (as noted): 10-1
Munnings: 18-1

Smile Happy: 8-1
Runhappy: 7-1
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Old 11-29-2021, 02:17 PM   #5
Michael
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rastajenk View Post
The 'all other 3yo fillies' is a new thing this year, isn't it?
I don't recall ever seeing all 3yo fillies in any previous years and I always cap these wagers.

Looks like 122K was put on All 3 year old C&Gs and closed at 3/5. I think this just screams free money if you want to lock in 3/5 on a race that might not even be run in 2022. Obv, modern times for modern games.
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Old 12-01-2021, 07:06 PM   #6
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The fillies were offered last year also. Closed at 56-1. I did use Giants Causeway in my exacta.
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Old 01-23-2022, 04:44 PM   #7
Michael
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Free PP's for pool #2
http://www.brisnet.com/wp-content/up...y22Future2.pdf

I didn't bet into pool one and I'm not betting into pool two. That said, after the lecomte I would think my original pick of Giant Game should be higher than 37/1 (pool 1 closing odds). Currently sitting around 27 to 1 in pool two.

Jack Christopher likely the only horse other horse i would want to see run.
Good chance the derby winner hasn't been seen yet.
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