HONG KONG / SHA TIN -SUN 12/11

[Nitro]

Good evening and soon to be morning to everyone that’s interested in the best racing product on the planet!

It looks like another value packed day at Sha Tin with nice sized fields in ALL 10 races on the Turf. This is special race card with lots of International entries in many of the races.

Post Time Race #1 – 12:25 AM SUN. EST

TVG is offering live video for at least 7 races.
There’s also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

For those of who can appreciate the value of the live tote action it’s available here:
(Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...gRedirect=true
Early selections to follow

[Nitro]

I won’t be posting any Live or early selections off the static tote analysis for Hong Kong this morning. Only because there are so many imported entries and I believe the early tote info may be a bit skewed. There are a few early standouts in the following races, but the live tote action should reveal a lot more.

R#1 - 1200M (6F) Turf…...4-2-6-11 ......12:25 AM EST

R#2 - 1800M (9F) Turf.......4-12-5-7 ….12:55 AM EST

R#3 - 1400M (7F) Turf.......3-5-11-1.......1:30 AM EST

R#4 - 2400M (12F) Turf........1-9-5-3…...2:00 AM EST
(#1 – Highland Reel – Big BC Turf Winner)

R#5 - 1200M (6F) Turf ...2-1-3-5-6-14....2:40 AM EST

R#6 - 1400M (7F) Turf.......2-5-10-4 ……3:15 AM EST

R#7 - 1600M (8F) Turf….....1-3-2-5..........3:50 AM EST

R#8 - 2000M (10F) Turf......1-2-3-4 ….....4:30 AM EST

R#9 - 1200M (6F) Turf.........1-9-3-2…...5:10 AM EST

R#10 - 1600M (8F) Turf.....5-8-4-13.......5:50 AM EST
(#5 – Pakistan Star)


GL if you’re playing!

[Nitro]

1) In case anyone is wondering how to structure a Quinella bet with 2 Key entries and 4 others (K1-K2 W/ A-B-C-D ) do the following:
K1/K2, K1/A, K1/B, K1/C, K1/D & K2/A, K2/B, K2/C, K2/D =
(9) Bets ($2 denominations or higher)

2) Because many of the Quinellas offer really good value it’s sometime even worthwhile (when the overall odds of the selected entries are reasonably high) to simply play all of the Quinella combinations for all 6 picks: A-B-C-D-E-F
A w/B-C-D-E-F…. B w/C-D-E-F….C w/D-E-F….D w/E-F…..E w/F =
(15) Bets ($2 denominations or higher)

Either of these same structures above can be used with the Quinella/Place bet which means:
1a) If either Key finishes 1st , 2nd , or 3rd and any of others finish in-the-money with them you can potentially win 1 or all 3 Q/P bets or,
2a) If any of the (15) Quinellas chosen are used in the Quinella/Place bet you can also potentially win 1 or all 3 Q/P bets.

3) Structuring a Triple is a bit more expensive, but if the value is there then try the following with (K1-K2 W/ A-B-C-D ):
K1 / K2-A-B-C-D / K2-A-B-C-D = 20 Bets w/K1 as the Winner
K2-A-B-C-D / K1 / K2-A-B-C-D = 20 Bets w/K1 as the Placer
K2-A-B-C-D / K2-A-B-C-D / K1 = 20 Bets w/K1 in for Show (use only if value is there)
If you repeat this structure with K2 for Win & Place with the others it’ll be 80 Bets, but there’s potential to hit the Triple 2X if both are in the money

[Nitro]

Live Tote Results: R#1 – 2-14-4-12.........2nd choice $43.20 - $254.80 Quin & $1,304.60 Tri

That’s the way we like to kick thinks off!

GL the rest of the way!

[AltonKelsey]

Was able to figure out the live tote just from your early tote. Thanks! Nice Tri!

[soonboomer]

New here......if I used your picks 4-2-6-11, how could I have hit the quinella or trifecta if the 14 ran 2nd?

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by soonboomer

New here......if I used your picks 4-2-6-11, how could I have hit the quinella or trifecta if the 14 ran 2nd?

You couldn't! The results I posted are those from my live tote analysis.

Please read the paragraph before the selections. I'm not posting my live selections, only the live results.

GL

[Nitro]

Live Tote Results: R#2 – 4-1-8-13........Top choice $11.00 - $104.30 Quin

[soonboomer]

Originally Posted by Nitro

You couldn't! The results I posted are those from my live tote analysis.

Please read the paragraph before the selections. I'm not posting my live selections, only the live results.

GL

I see.....what is the relevance of the horses posted in the OP?

[rsetup]

I'll say this much: what a ****in' first rate operation. The photo finish line is actually STRAIGHT. And, you know, a few seconds after the finish, with repeated slow motion replays, whether your horse won the photo or not.

This is infectious racing.

Inquiry: very minor herding. See what happens. That's not even looked at in the states.

[AltonKelsey]

Originally Posted by soonboomer

I see.....what is the relevance of the horses posted in the OP?

It's like the lottery, where if the scratch off doesn't win there's a second chance entry.

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by soonboomer

I see.....what is the relevance of the horses posted in the OP?

If you don't feel they're of any "relevance", just ignore them! I feel they might have some significance, but who am I to tell anyone what to do?

Why not visit Formula's thread? He posts selections about a minute to post. That should be plenty of time to get a bet in!

[Nitro]

Live Tote Results: R#3 – 3-11-5-8......Top choice $9.90 - $9.90 Quin & $130.40 Tri

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by rsetup

I'll say this much: what a ****in' first rate operation. The photo finish line is actually STRAIGHT. And, you know, a few seconds after the finish, with repeated slow motion replays, whether your horse won the photo or not.

This is infectious racing.

Inquiry: very minor herding. See what happens. That's not even looked at in the states.

That's what I've been preaching for years around here.

[AltonKelsey]

Live Tote must have had the 4.

Off three mediocre efforts , the Japanese runner ran YUGE to collar an otherwise easy winner. Magic Joe strikes again.