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10-19-2015, 10:43 AM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2014
Posts: 177
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Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf: Finding Value
I am going to look at the four juvenile races at this year's Breeders' Cup at Keenland, and see where there is value to be found. In all Breeders' Cup races, you have the best and brightest competing, so you will never find better odds for some of these horses. With 2-year-olds, you never know which one will step up and win their race, because their body of work is so light. That is why I'm always looking for value in these races. I'm not saying to always bet against the favorites, but if you see something in a longer odds horse that says "why not?", don't be afraid to pull the trigger, because the favorites are often times vulnerable.
http://regalbloodlines.com/2015/10/1...ng-good-value/
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10-19-2015, 10:59 AM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: donkeys ride from ASD
Posts: 13,002
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Always a great read Bob. 
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10-20-2015, 06:48 AM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 4,520
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Waterloo bridge. 
Allan
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10-20-2015, 08:22 AM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2014
Posts: 177
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Thank you for your kind words Woodtoo. Waterloo Bridge is a strong entrant; a son of Zoffany, who produced some wonderful two-year-olds this year overseas. Also won at Royal Ascot earlier this summer and Aidan O'Brien has said he's improved since.
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10-30-2015, 02:54 PM
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#5
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NoPoints4ME
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 9,854
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Taking a shot for some value in exotics up and down with number 5 HIGHLAND SKY.
Price will be there.
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10-30-2015, 02:56 PM
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#6
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by EMD4ME
Taking a shot for some value in exotics up and down with number 5 HIGHLAND SKY.
Price will be there.
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Everybody seems to be latching on to his trip in the last. He clearly had a tough journey, but it isn't a secret. No way I think he is near the 30-1 ML.
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10-30-2015, 03:20 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,058
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10-30-2015, 03:32 PM
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#8
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,269
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Small play on  Sky Marshal, who also had a bit of trouble in his last.
Expect him a little closer to the pace today...and who knows? Maybe I catch a break and get this guy on the board.
Big spread in 50 cent tris with him 2nd and 3rd with small win bet and Double with the 1-5 in the Dirt Mile
Good luck y'all
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
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10-30-2015, 03:38 PM
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#9
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,269
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour
Small play on Sky Marshal, who also had a bit of trouble in his last.
Expect him a little closer to the pace today...and who knows? Maybe I catch a break and get this guy on the board.
Big spread in 50 cent tris with him 2nd and 3rd with small win bet and Double with the 1-5 in the Dirt Mile
Good luck y'all |
I think he ran last...WAY LAST 
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
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10-30-2015, 03:43 PM
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#10
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,819
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Winner first time lasix.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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10-30-2015, 03:44 PM
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#11
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Tom
Winner first time lasix.
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Of course
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10-30-2015, 03:49 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 8,429
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That horse was my strongest opinion of both days. His two races overseas were so visually impressive.
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10-30-2015, 03:53 PM
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#13
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,819
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Jeff Siegel had him on top in his XpressBet update this morning.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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10-30-2015, 03:59 PM
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#14
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Tom
Jeff Siegel had him on top in his XpressBet update this morning.
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He was the top pick of both our American handicapper (Justin Finch) and our Timeform partner Jamie Lynch in the TimeformUS BC Package.
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