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Old 05-24-2020, 04:15 AM   #661
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Race 7

Nitro

Where do you have the 11 in race 7 at post time?

Thank you
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Old 05-24-2020, 04:15 AM   #662
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R#8- 2400M GR1 (12F)T…..…1-7-2 W/ 3-4……@3mins to Post
1-5-2-7– Dutch WIN -5% Profit Margin – PASSED/ LS Placer #5 took a bit of late action
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Old 05-24-2020, 04:18 AM   #663
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Nitro

Where do you have the 11 in race 7 at post time?

Thank you
8th position of the 13 entries off PAR after the late scr of #7
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Old 05-24-2020, 04:38 AM   #664
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R#9- 1800M C3 (9F)T….……..1-7-4 W/ 8-9-10…@3mins to Post
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Old 05-24-2020, 04:54 AM   #665
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R#9- 1800M C3 (9F)T….……..1-7-4 W/ 8-9-10…@3mins to Post
10-8-7-2– Dutch LOSS 161% Profit Margin - PLAYED / $31.60 Quinella & $889.80 Triple BX/ Lots of late action on the top 2 finishers – too late to post a change here
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Old 05-24-2020, 05:12 AM   #666
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R#10-1400M C3 (7F)T…..…3-2-12 W/ 10-5-4….@3mins to Post
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Old 05-24-2020, 05:26 AM   #667
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R#10-1400M C3 (7F)T…..…3-2-12 W/ 10-5-4….@3mins to Post
12-9-13-1– Dutch WIN 91% Profit Margin – PLAY / Actually #2 won the race without its rider who was thrown at the gate – No action on the next 3 LS finishers

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Old 05-24-2020, 05:47 AM   #668
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R#11-1400M C2 (7F)T…..…2-6-14 W/ 3-1-8….@3mins to Post

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Old 05-24-2020, 06:03 AM   #669
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R#11-1400M C2 (7F)T…..…2-6-14 W/ 3-1-8….@3mins to Post
5-2-3-10– Dutch LOSS 48% Profit Margin – PASSED / Both the winner #5 and #8 took late action- I originally posted the #5 and then went to the #8 – error on my part
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Old 05-24-2020, 06:09 AM   #670
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It turned out to be another great race card with some nice results. The Dutch Win bets produced a decent 55% O.A. Profit margin hitting 4 of 5 races. There were also some nice Verticals as well: Hitting 6 Quinellas, 4 Triples (and even 2 Quartets) with some decent value!
The TOTE analysis was once again on target with that BIG money!
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Old 05-24-2020, 10:55 AM   #671
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profit margin

Hi Nitro,how do you come up with profit margins with Dutching??
Can you use Race 2 Dutch Win 54% profit Margin.
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Old 05-24-2020, 10:54 PM   #672
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Hi Nitro,how do you come up with profit margins with Dutching??
Can you use Race 2 Dutch Win 54% profit Margin.
Sha Tin Race #2 – Top 3 Selections as posted for Win Dutch
#3 – 7.1 / #2 – 3/1 / #6 – 2.6 (U.S.$ ODDS)

Dutch Calculator

Code:

 	LOW	MID	HI	TOT	TOT	PRF %
 	2.6	3.0	7.1	BET	PRF	 
 	$7	$8	$16	 	 	 
 	$16	$15	$7	$38	$20	54%
 	$58	$58	$58	 	 	 
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Old 05-25-2020, 07:35 AM   #673
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now I got it,thank you
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Old 05-30-2020, 11:41 PM   #674
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Cool HONG KONG - SHA TIN SUN - 5/31/20

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!

I’m won’t be posting my pre-race selections for this very competitive race card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 11 races at Sha Tin with all races on Turf:

Post Time Race #1 – 12:15 AM SUN EST

I’ve taken a look at the M/L’s in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with my preliminary picks for each race. However, I’ll be only posting live selections this morning because the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these entries and any others I might have missed.

The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores. A few of the races this morning look wide open!

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

For those of you that have the resources to bet more than $2 per race you might want to consider the following in terms of betting:
1) Win Dutching 3 entries means betting each of the 3 entries so that no matter which one wins the return is the same. (Wait until 4 mins to post for final odds calculations).
2) For Quinellas there are many options:
a) Using all 3 of the top Keys with all the others = 12 bets
b) Boxing all 6 selections = 15 bets
3) Triples there also many options:
a) Using any Key in the top position w/All others = 20 bets
b) Using all 3 Keys in the top position w/All others = 60 bets
c) Using Top 4 selections in the top position w/All others = 80 bets
d) Boxing all 6 selections = 120 bets
(Warning: The odds of the selected entries @ 7 mins to post should determine playability by comparing the combined value of each group of 3 that may complete the triple with the amount to be bet).

Good Luck if you’re playing!
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Old 05-31-2020, 12:13 AM   #675
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R#1-1400M C5 (7F)T….….2-1-10 W/ 12-6-5 ……@3mins to Post
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