2023 NCAA March Madness

[ranchwest]

I'm at 99.6%, 610 points, after the 3/24 Sweet 16 games. Go Longhorns!

[dnlgfnk]

Originally Posted by ranchwest

I'm at 99.6%, 610 points, after the 3/24 Sweet 16 games. Go Longhorns!

In a massive pool with no opportunity to overtake others with the same champion, correct? If not, good luck the rest of the way.
The goal is to enter mid or small sized pools while choosing an unobvious, but capable champion.

[46zilzal]

Originally Posted by Bustin Stones

If this year's edition doesn't prove that one and done basketball tournaments prove nothing, I don't know what will.

No it is WHO IS GOOD LATE in the year

[ranchwest]

Originally Posted by dnlgfnk

In a massive pool with no opportunity to overtake others with the same champion, correct? If not, good luck the rest of the way.
The goal is to enter mid or small sized pools while choosing an unobvious, but capable champion.

I don't feel a need to beat everyone. 99.6% is good enough. There's still 7 games left. It could go any direction.

[Half Smoke]

.


yesterday reddit guy had creighton -9.5 up to -11
it fell on 11 and I'm calling that a win for him - I never saw it hit -11 - the highest I saw was -10.5


he's 6-2 since 3/17


potd:


Uconn -1.5 up to -4 over Gonzaga -


I currently see -2 and -2.5 on the books


he makes the point which I agree with - that with spreads like this you can take the money line and not sweat the points

I agree - vegasinsider.com shows right now 3 books offering -135 in which case you sacrifice about 22% of your profit by going this way

.

[Half Smoke]

Originally Posted by Half Smoke

.
potd:
Uconn -1.5 up to -4 over Gonzaga -
I currently see -2 and -2.5 on the books

vegasinsider.com shows BetRivers had -1 at 12:43 a.m. and BetMgm had -1.5 at 12:43 a.m. - several other books show -1.5 in the early a.m.

the early bird gets the worm

a great many times when betting the fave the bettor can get the best deal in the early a.m. when the lines open up - the lines so often move against the public's pick

.

[CheckMark]

Originally Posted by ranchwest

I'm at 99.6%, 610 points, after the 3/24 Sweet 16 games. Go Longhorns!

Nice work

my brackets went to sh*t last night with Houston losing which I had them winning the tournament on both of my entries

Bracket #1 was in the 90% and Bracket #2 which was hot for a while was in the 99% then 97% heading into last night

Now Bracket #1 is 82% and Bracket #2 is 91%

I was hoping this would have been the year to go all the way but as the saying goes "Hey there's always next year!"

[ranchwest]

Originally Posted by CheckMark

Nice work

my brackets went to sh*t last night with Houston losing which I had them winning the tournament on both of my entries

Bracket #1 was in the 90% and Bracket #2 which was hot for a while was in the 99% then 97% heading into last night

Now Bracket #1 is 82% and Bracket #2 is 91%

I was hoping this would have been the year to go all the way but as the saying goes "Hey there's always next year!"

I had Houston going to the Final Four, so I feel your pain. I have K St, Texas and Gonzaga remaining. It’s gonna be hard.

[Inner Dirt]

Originally Posted by Bustin Stones

If this year's edition doesn't prove that one and done basketball tournaments prove nothing, I don't know what will.

I have only been catching a game here and there, the last couple years I haven't been following much. Are you saying teams with rosters stacked with one and done players are not doing well in the tournament?

[Inner Dirt]

Originally Posted by ranchwest

I'm at 99.6%, 610 points, after the 3/24 Sweet 16 games. Go Longhorns!

Good work, hope you are in a pool with nice payouts.

[ranchwest]

Originally Posted by Inner Dirt

Good work, hope you are in a pool with nice payouts.

Nah, but I have already clinched the family contest. Priceless.

[46zilzal]

Both Miami and U Conn looked great last game out, and wasn't San Diego State ranked high in the seasonal polls for a long while?

The very few DEFENSIVE teams have been cleaning up. That is all the more reason UCLA slipped after the loss to Arizona in the Pac 12 championship game (losing Defensive player of the year Jalen Clark and later master shot blocker, Adem Noah)

[CheckMark]

Originally Posted by 46zilzal

Both Miami and U Conn looked great last game out, and wasn't San Diego State ranked high in the seasonal polls for a long while?

The very few DEFENSIVE teams have been cleaning up. That is all the more reason UCLA slipped after the loss to Arizona in the Pac 12 championship game (losing Defensive player of the year Jalen Clark and later master shot blocker, Adem Noah)

I always look back at the AP Top 25 for Week 1 on just to see how the rankings changed week to week

https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-col...ll-poll?week=1

Here is how SDSU was ranked from Week 1 to Week 19
Week Rank Points
W1: 19th (394)
W2: 17th +2 (524)
W3: 17th +0 (601)
W4: 24th -7 (189)
W5: 22nd +2 (265)
W6: 37th -15 (off the Top 25 list) (14)
W7: 36th +1 (off the Top 25 list) (16)
W8: 33rd +3 (off the Top 25 list) (39)
W9: 27th +6 (off the Top 25 list) (72)
W10: 23rd +4 (222)
W11: 31st -8 (off the Top 25 list) (44)
W12: 28th +3 (off the Top 25 list) (57)
W13: 22nd +6 (170)
W14: 25th -3 (96)
W15: 21st +4 (271)
W16: 22nd -1 (336)
W17: 18th +4 (552)
W18: 20th -2 (370)
W19: 18th +2 (550)

It's pretty fascinating to see 1 loss can drop a team in the NCAAB or NCAAF that much like when in Week 5 heading into Week 6 they lost to St mary's 61-68 after a 3-game-win streak and that dropped them 15 points from the 22nd to 37th

Sometimes I do wonder if the teams that NEVER move even with a loss are sleeping with the AP Pool ??

[Bustin Stones]

Originally Posted by Inner Dirt

I have only been catching a game here and there, the last couple years I haven't been following much. Are you saying teams with rosters stacked with one and done players are not doing well in the tournament?

Sorry to confuse. I'm saying that basketball tournaments that eliminate a team after only one loss are inherently meaningless. Because any team, even a true champion can either have one bad shooting game or run into a team that on that night can't miss. And this year's tournament has had a lot of that. And, no, there's no way to fix it without asking teams to play a lot more games.
Look at Purdue's 3 point shooting the night they lost. It was out of character. Not complaining, I just don't think much of the results of that tournament meaning much. What if the World Series was decided by playing one game? There are certain sports where one game means very little.

[ranchwest]

Generally, the coaching elite show their worth in the tournament.