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Old 12-22-2012, 02:51 PM   #1
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Turf Paradise > Penn National Saturday

Race 3: (4)TAPADERO is in the best form of his life and here Expresso Springs is going to put a red carpet to his turn of foot.

place/show

2nd ($7.00 - 3.80)

Last edited by The Spaniard; 12-22-2012 at 03:00 PM.
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Old 12-22-2012, 03:16 PM   #2
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Race 4: (2)EVENING ISLAND has recuperated his best figures over this turf course and class level, he had excuse 2 races back in a Stakes (7 wide). The problem is that this field is short of speed and she may get there too late to win.

place/show NP

if your horse is a hold up horse (23 runs/ 23 times closing) why do you put him up in front against his style of racing?

Last edited by The Spaniard; 12-22-2012 at 03:29 PM.
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Old 12-22-2012, 03:45 PM   #3
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Race 5: (4)TRIBAL DREAMS figures are impressive (77 > 80 > 93). It looks like finally he's found the right trainer. With one month since his last race the risk of a bounce is light. He may sign the fourth in a row with the race flow in his favor.

1st ($4.40 - 2.60 - 2.10)

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Old 12-22-2012, 04:17 PM   #4
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Race 6: Here there is speed inflation, too many speed horses. (8)PLEASANT GAL is a stalker/closer who comes here with the best last race Beyer (67). She's got one big win here with a 65 Beyer one year ago. She's rising in class but could profit from a pace melt down. (2)Mixed Intent looks like the best of the speed.

3rd ($5.60)

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Old 12-22-2012, 04:48 PM   #5
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Race 7: few truly dirt routers here. If (6)TOUCH OF THE SUN isn't bothered by some sprinter he'll be very dangerous. If not 2 for 3 dirt route winner ((5)HURRICANE LAKE may be the answer.

win & win

(6)TOUCH OF THE SUN 2nd ($ 6.80 - 4.40)
(5)HURRICANE LAKE NP

Last edited by The Spaniard; 12-22-2012 at 04:59 PM.
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Old 12-22-2012, 05:04 PM   #6
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PENN NATIONAL
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Old 12-22-2012, 05:57 PM   #7
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race 1: Yesterday to gallop in a stalking position was the best to win. Waiting for tonight track profile I'll follow yesterday's trend. The favorite has the risk of being chased by the other speedsters. Stalker/ closer (1)MISS AISLE BANd ran two huge races at the nickel level and then she went too high against allowance and 10.000 claimers. Back at her competitive level she could return to the winning path if not burned out by her last three races.

NP

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Old 12-22-2012, 06:22 PM   #8
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Race 2: (2)SORDID's got a fast improving Beyer pattern

12 > 21 > 37

and last time he closed strongly against a strong speed bias. Tonight, without that bias and moving from a 4% to a 17% trainer he looks a dangerous longshot.

win/place/show

NP

Last edited by The Spaniard; 12-22-2012 at 06:37 PM.
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Old 12-22-2012, 06:54 PM   #9
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Race 3. Tough heat. If (5)ARSONESS gets to the first call having cleared the field he'll get brave in front and may diplomate in this final restricted N4L level as she did in her 3 victories.
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Old 12-22-2012, 07:00 PM   #10
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racing canceled
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