*Handicapping Methods-Spot Play Testing-Software Etc

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by upthecreek

You do know RP is running Quarter horses right now??

Yes...now I do. Like they say in Vegas:

"Money Plays".

Bets have been counted.

[upthecreek]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Yes...now I do. Like they say in Vegas:

"Money Plays".

Bets have been counted.

There's another saying in Vegas 'A fool and his money are soon parted--usually before they run the 2nd half of the daily double'

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by upthecreek

There's another saying in Vegas 'A fool and his money are soon parted--usually before they run the 2nd half of the daily double'

How were you and your money parted?

[upthecreek]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

How were you and your money parted?

With a comb

[Bennie]

Just a quick look over yesterdays picks, I always follow what you are doing even if I don't "play" what you post, I see about 17 horses that closed at less than 2/1 and of those 13 lost. Being able to eliminate those would have reduced your plays but looks like the win % stays about the same, around 28/29 % but maybe the roi would have increased. I didn't go back and total that up. Just looking at a possible filter to increase you roi. Also, I believe that 12 were maiden races with 3 wins and a scratch but of those 12, 2 were strictly 3 year olds and were both losers. Another possible filter if this proves out over a longer period. Just some observations on my part. Anything I can do to help out a fellow Raider/Horse fan. Maybe others with your programs can check some of these out with past races or specific tracks. Good luck with your plays today and if you keep this up we will all have to look out for you next year in the Inner track contest.

[green80]

One can usually improve thier ROI by clicking that minimum odds box. The trick is to put the right (min odds) number in there.

[Pensacola Pete]

For mechanical all-included plays, the magic odds number is probably 6, although I know people who require 8.

[NorCalGreg]

I had to really reach for some of these plays--to make 100. I have an actual betting method---with real money---with a 6-1 min, and 4-1 for prime plays. Ya'll know I hate betting favorites...sticking to a 2-1 min sure doesn't eliminate many.

[NorCalGreg]

Well...dagnabit I missed my goal--both of 100 races, and a profit. Neither one happened. 45 selections today--8 scratched. My picks were no bargain either, hitting a paltry 6 for 37, with a huge loss.

Was up 10 units after yesterday--this should have been a piece of cake today. After today - down 6 units. 95 total wagers--22 wins.

Bet $190.00 Returned $177.70[/SIZE]

[NorCalGreg]

BEST NUMBER SPOT PLAY *NEW*

MNR
2ND REYORO 8-1
3RD AMELIA BAY 15-1
7TH DIANECANTRETIRE 9-2

PRX
1ST KWIK E 6-1
8TH DISCO ROSE 7/2
9TH JASON'S ANGEL 12-1

TDN
5TH PANAMANIAC 12-1
6TH CIRCUS PARK 10-1

TOP RANKED POWER
FLX
8TH WE WERE KINGS 3-1

LAD
6TH HARBOR PILOT 2-1

MNR
3RD BLAVASTKI 6/5

PRX
4TH DOUBLE WHAMMY 2-1

TDN
3RD REPLAY 7-2

WRD
10TH CHAPARELLA 8/5


Maiden spot plays for 5/15

LAD

3RD ZENS SECRET 9-2
5TH JONAS G. 3-1

MNR

6TH MALIBU BOB 2/5

PRX

5TH ELECTRIC STORM 8-1
6TH RUN FOR JAMES 5-1

WRD

3RD LONE ASSASSIN 4-1


CONSENSUS LONGSHOTS

LAD
4TH FIRE KAKE 10-1

PARX
1ST KWIK E 6-1
6TH MR HENRY LEE 8-1

[NorCalGreg]

I saw Coach or Teach played a series of rolling doubles @ Belmont--thought I would give it a try @ LAD.

If all horses go (which they wont) the ticket will cost $120.00

The problem I can forsee is the pools may be too small and payoffs too low.

We'll see...

[NorCalGreg]

$MONEYLINE$--MOUNTAINEER

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

I saw Coach or Teach played a series of rolling doubles @ Belmont--thought I would give it a try @ LAD.

If all horses go (which they wont) the ticket will cost $120.00

The problem I can forsee is the pools may be too small and payoffs too low.

We'll see...

That didn't go well. I'll try again on Wed for Belmont--NCG

[NorCalGreg]

BEST NUMBER SPOT PLAY *NEW*

MNR
2ND REYORO 8-1
3RD AMELIA BAY 15-1scratched
7TH DIANECANTRETIRE 9-2

PRX
1ST KWIK E 6-1
8TH DISCO ROSE 7/2
9TH JASON'S ANGEL 12-1

TDN
5TH PANAMANIAC 12-1
6TH CIRCUS PARK 10-1 ..........0 for 7? wow
-----------------------------------------------------------------
TOP RANKED POWER
FLX
8TH WE WERE KINGS 3-1 $5.60

LAD
6TH HARBOR PILOT 2-1

MNR
3RD BLAVASTKI 6/5 $3.80

PRX
4TH DOUBLE WHAMMY 2-1

TDN
3RD REPLAY 7-2

WRD
10TH CHAPARELLA 8/5 ...............2 FOR 6 bleh

------------------------------------------------------------------

Maiden spot plays for 5/15

LAD

3RD ZENS SECRET 9-2 SCRATCHED
5TH JONAS G. 3-1

MNR

6TH MALIBU BOB 2/5

PRX

5TH ELECTRIC STORM 8-1
6TH RUN FOR JAMES 5-1

WRD

3RD LONE ASSASSIN 4-1 $8.20

-------------------------------------------------------------------

$MONEYLINE$ LONGSHOTS

LAD
4TH FIRE LAKE 10-1 $12.20

PARX
1ST KWIK E 6-1
6TH MR HENRY LEE 8-1 2nd
__________________

[NorCalGreg]

Going to give the BEST NUMBER Spot Play another chance. It went 0 for 7 yesterday. I find it hard to believe it's not winning-it looks pretty good on paper.

INDY
1ST COLLEENS STORM 5-2
2ND SCORE BABE 4-1
4TH I SEE LONDON 7/5
5TH R LADY HANSEN 12-1
8TH CHARGINONBY 1-1

PRX
5TH AUNT ROSE 10-1
8TH ENTERPRISING LADY 5-1

WRD
2ND MACHI 5-1
3RD SMOKE OUT 4-1
7TH EMERALD POINT 5-2
10TH MATT U 8-1