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06-04-2022, 06:46 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 8,798
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what do y'all think Rich Strike is going to do?
I am making a separate thread for this because it is an interesting thread on its own. Was the Derby just a pace-aided fluke? Does he run last? Is he the real deal and a strong contender to win next Saturday? Is it somewhere in between? What do y'all think?
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06-05-2022, 09:04 AM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2021
Posts: 2,079
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He beat 19 other really good horses in the Kentucky Derby. It wasn't a bad time, and he ended up passing 18 of his rivals.
The pace setup was perfect, but he still had to mow them all down.
Mine That Bird and Giacomo were similar winners that came back to prove they weren't a fluke. I fully expect Rich Strike to show well in the Belmont.
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06-05-2022, 09:15 AM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 20,604
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When horses make that much of a forward move, they usually back off a bit next time. When you add in the favorable pace scenario that makes it more likely. The one thing that argues for him duplicating that effort is that he was already an improving 3yo.
__________________
"Unlearning is the highest form of learning"
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06-05-2022, 09:29 AM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Kentucky
Posts: 433
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I like the filly, Nest, if she runs.
I gave somebody $10 to bet on her, but dang if I can remember who.
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06-05-2022, 09:31 AM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 2,176
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I see the five weeks as a good sign the trainer knows his horse. I think he'll run well. It would be nice to know if he's gained any weight since the derby.
__________________
One of the downsides of the Internet is that it allows like-minded people to form communities, and sometimes those communities are stupid.
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06-05-2022, 10:13 AM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 184
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I was watching fox 2 day at the races and it was cool to see the groom loving rich strike in his stall
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06-05-2022, 11:16 AM
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#7
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,810
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fred Mertz
I like the filly, Nest, if she runs.
I gave somebody $10 to bet on her, but dang if I can remember who.
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Maybe she will remind you if you win!
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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06-05-2022, 11:23 AM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,735
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i think he's going to finish behind MO DONEGAL.
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06-05-2022, 07:08 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 733
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I thinking it will be some midpack finish.
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06-05-2022, 07:10 PM
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#10
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Resurrectionist
Join Date: Jan 2017
Location: Cheyenne, Wy
Posts: 3,615
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I am enjoying all those that are associated with him. Winning a KD is beyond imaginable for most owners, trainers and jockeys.
I give him a fair 6-1 chance but prefer others.
__________________
Battle is the most magnificent competition in which a human being can indulge. It brings out all that is best; it removes all that is base. All men are afraid in battle. The coward is the one who lets his fear overcome his sense of duty. Duty is the essence of manhood.
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06-05-2022, 08:42 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2021
Posts: 2,079
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jocko699
I am enjoying all those that are associated with him. Winning a KD is beyond imaginable for most owners, trainers and jockeys.
I give him a fair 6-1 chance but prefer others.
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It is as fun story. One we can all enjoy.
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06-05-2022, 11:13 PM
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#12
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,810
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His new rider will be Seymour Butts.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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06-05-2022, 11:22 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,118
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom
His new rider will be Seymour Butts.
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Nope. He blows as a bet in the Belmont.
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06-06-2022, 10:51 AM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 930
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I expect Rich to run big in the Belmont, he is working great for the race and looks tremendous on the track.
Never sell the Derby winner short.
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06-06-2022, 11:05 AM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Lehigh Valley, PA.
Posts: 7,464
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PalaceOfFortLarned
He beat 19 other really good horses in the Kentucky Derby. It wasn't a bad time, and he ended up passing 18 of his rivals.
The pace setup was perfect, but he still had to mow them all down.
Mine That Bird and Giacomo were similar winners that came back to prove they weren't a fluke. I fully expect Rich Strike to show well in the Belmont.
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I'm pretty sure that Giacomo and Mine That Bird never won another race. Orb was another closer that won the Derby and never won another race.
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