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Old 10-21-2013, 07:19 PM   #16
Quesmark
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-Reputa The Beautah,had a tough trip in last,a race where She's Fired Up got a perfect rail run and drew off,RTB has good spacing,is a consistent winner,has current form,can stalk early and get a jump on the closers...
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Old 10-21-2013, 07:30 PM   #17
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#5 Quantitativeasing

#5 Quantitativeasing,,,,,, best of the rest
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Old 10-21-2013, 07:31 PM   #18
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Win on ,
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Old 10-21-2013, 08:08 PM   #19
iceknight
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The and the seem like the value bets in this field.

Now that I look at it again, looks good stretching out slightly the looks like the classical MNR favorite who will suck money.

WP on 4
W on 1
I had copy pasted 10 by mistake earlier, corrected it to give the TDN shipper a chance at doing some closing fireworks

Last edited by iceknight; 10-21-2013 at 08:10 PM.
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Old 10-21-2013, 08:12 PM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iceknight
The and the seem like the value bets in this field.

Now that I look at it again, looks good. the looks like the classical MNR favorite who will suck money

WP on 4
W on 10
If the 8 beats me, so be it, she is "supposed" to win after all. I'm putting my money on logical horses who offer an acceptable profit on my super, should I hit it. A loss is just a loss, like any other.

Putting the 8 on the top of my ticket lowers my chance of hitting a sizable payout should I win. Low priced favorites at this track lead to low priced vertical exotic payouts, as everyone jumps on the low priced fav and covers the other rows well. So, if everybody jumps on the 8 and the 5 beats him my payout will be more like I expect, and demand. If the 8 wins I just lost to a favorite, no biggie.
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Last edited by raybo; 10-21-2013 at 08:15 PM.
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Old 10-21-2013, 08:30 PM   #21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by raybo
If the 8 beats me, so be it, she is "supposed" to win after all. I'm putting my money on logical horses who offer an acceptable profit on my super, should I hit it. A loss is just a loss, like any other.

Putting the 8 on the top of my ticket lowers my chance of hitting a sizable payout should I win. Low priced favorites at this track lead to low priced vertical exotic payouts, as everyone jumps on the low priced fav and covers the other rows well. So, if everybody jumps on the 8 and the 5 beats him my payout will be more like I expect, and demand. If the 8 wins I just lost to a favorite, no biggie.
But the will be a low priced horse too...
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Old 10-21-2013, 08:37 PM   #22
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I'll go with with exacta

and with with trifecta

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Old 10-21-2013, 08:37 PM   #23
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I'll be betting on Set Diamond.
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Old 10-21-2013, 08:40 PM   #24
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I have a sincere question, where is Mountaineer race track located? Thanks.
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Old 10-21-2013, 08:45 PM   #25
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iceknight
But the will be a low priced horse too...
The key is that those are win odds, and in superfectas it's the odds "rank" that matters, so as the 2nd ranked odds horse, the 5 on top will offer a much better payout than the 8 on top. And, I really think it's between the 5 and 8 for the win, so of those 2, the 5 offers more value for win, and the super.
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Old 10-21-2013, 08:45 PM   #26
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Originally Posted by whodoyoulike
I have a sincere question, where is Mountaineer race track located? Thanks.
W 80deg 39’14, N 40deg 35’01

Chester, WV
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Old 10-21-2013, 08:46 PM   #27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by whodoyoulike
I have a sincere question, where is Mountaineer race track located? Thanks.
Chester, Wv.

OOps, sorry about the redundancy.
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Old 10-21-2013, 08:52 PM   #28
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Thanks for responding. Another question, I'm unfamiliar with this racing circuit, what do race tracks Tdn, Pen and Del stand for and maybe where they are located? Thanks again in advance.
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Old 10-21-2013, 08:57 PM   #29
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Quote:
Originally Posted by whodoyoulike
Thanks for responding. Another question, I'm unfamiliar with this racing circuit, what do race tracks Tdn, Pen and Del stand for and maybe where they are located? Thanks again in advance.
TDN - Thistledowns - Ohio
PEN - Penn National - Pennsylvania
Del = Delaware Park - Delaware
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Old 10-21-2013, 08:59 PM   #30
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The first question is can the repeat that effort.
I will bet 2 scenarios,
1. he romps again
2. he doesn't lift a hoof
if he runs into the ticket i lose everything.
The interests me.
New trainer got 2 of his 3 lifetime wins out of him
in his 2nd and 3rd start for him. The 1st was on a off track.
Both wins were on the engine.His next 3 efforts showed
early speed, the last of which was a turn back.
His next race he showed a new dimension, a huge of the
pace effort. This race makes him competitive with everyone
in the race save the of his last.
The trainer wheels him right back in 7 days at a route. He rates
off the early speed, takes a run and flattens. The big fave put away
the speed and won by many, the other positions were filled by runners coming from way out of it.
The spacing of this race, 7 days, was not the way the trainer had
been running him. I think this was a good effort.
So, i believe i have a runner that has changed his style. A style that should
be beneficial to him tonight. A runner that is competitive with the whole
field. A runner that has had proper rest since his last run.
How do i use him?
He should be a very generous price. I will make a win bet on him.
I will play him under the in a larger ex.
I will then combine him with others in exactors that should be large.
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