is a puzzlement
Is a puzzlement!
There are times, perhaps in the range of 60% to 70 % of the time, my overlay exacta board does not produce a winning combination.
When those overlay combinations are excluded from my underlay exacta board, the underlay wins perhaps in the range of 60% to 70%. While the one winning singular combination is an underlay it returns a value that exceeds the probability of the entire underlay exacta board
HERE MY TWO EXACTA BOARDS, AN OVERLAY AND UNDERLAY EXACTA FOR TODAYS 3RD RACE AT SA VAAL
THE SHORT DESCRIPTION:
UNDERLAY EXACTA BOARD USED 88% OF THE EXACTA PROBABILITIES, REQUIRING A MIN $1 RETURN OF $1.14, THE 5/14 EXACTA RETURNED $1.63, WHILE A SINGULAR BET OF THE 5/14 PRODUCED A 67% UNDERLAY.
WHAT I AM NOTICING, A WIN BET ON THE FAVORITE USING THE SUM OF ITS LINE BETS MAY OUT PERFORM A STRAIGHT WIN BET ON THE FAVORITE
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
|