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05-22-2020, 04:26 PM
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#1
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Journeyman
Join Date: May 2020
Posts: 45
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My remaining matchup bets for the day
Up a couple units so far today
SANTA ANITA
4, Diva > Manresa, $100/140
4, Marci > New Year, $100/100
5, Kazan > King, $100/100
6, Papa Turf > Short of EZ, $110/100
7, Music > Mayan, $100/$135
8, El Huer > Kyle, $120/100
8, Nolo > Tiza, $100/$240
9, Rose > Warren, 135/100
CHURCHILL
9, Hard > Summering, 100/100
9, Silver > Malakeh, 100/190
GULFSTREAM
9, Roman > Wild, 100/200
9, NoGetting>Roman, 100/165
10, Bacano >Youshould, 100/155
MDCnorthlands
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05-22-2020, 06:44 PM
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#2
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Journeyman
Join Date: May 2020
Posts: 45
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Almost every single one of my wagers perfectly predicted how the market odds would stray from almost every place offering odds predictions.
Equibase, eponies, ML all worthless!
MDCnorthlands
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05-22-2020, 07:15 PM
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#3
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Muddy
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Mi.
Posts: 2,655
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MDCnorthlands
Equibase, eponies, ML all worthless
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I guess that comes down to how you use them
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05-22-2020, 07:21 PM
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#4
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Journeyman
Join Date: May 2020
Posts: 45
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Any advice?
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05-22-2020, 08:06 PM
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#5
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Journeyman
Join Date: May 2020
Posts: 45
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SANTA ANITA
4, Diva > Manresa, $100/140 +140
4, Marci > New Year, $100/100 -100
5, Kazan > King, $100/100 -100
6, Papa Turf > Short of EZ, $110/100 -110
7, Music > Mayan, $100/$135 -100
8, El Huer > Kyle, $120/100 +100
8, Nolo > Tiza, $100/$240 +240
9, Rose > Warren, 135/100 +100
CHURCHILL
9, Hard > Summering, 100/100 +100
9, Silver > Malakeh, 100/190 -100
GULFSTREAM
9, Roman > Wild, 100/200 -100
9, NoGetting>Roman, 100/165 -100
10, Bacano >Youshould, 100/155 -100
-130 on day, finished OK
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05-22-2020, 08:49 PM
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#6
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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My advice-if you are spending REAL money, don't rely on E-Ponies.
Good luck,
-NCG
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05-23-2020, 12:04 PM
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#7
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Journeyman
Join Date: May 2020
Posts: 45
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Who is more reliable then? If you had to make these matchup odds, whose odds would you use?
MDCnorthlands
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05-23-2020, 12:14 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,845
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some of these are terrible lines. which operation is accepting wagers on these?
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05-23-2020, 12:42 PM
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#9
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Journeyman
Join Date: May 2020
Posts: 45
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy
some of these are terrible lines. which operation is accepting wagers on these?
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My local bookie
How do you figure which lines are terrible?
MDCnorthlands
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05-23-2020, 01:09 PM
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#10
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 113,075
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MDCnorthlands
Any advice?
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Post in the "Selections" area?
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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05-23-2020, 01:26 PM
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#11
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Journeyman
Join Date: May 2020
Posts: 45
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Meanwhile the most popular thread in here is a daily "cap this race..." which is the same thing as asking for selections.
MDCnorthlands
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05-23-2020, 02:01 PM
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#12
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 113,075
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No, it isn't - it is asking for handicapping.
But hey, what do I know?
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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05-23-2020, 02:11 PM
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#13
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Journeyman
Join Date: May 2020
Posts: 45
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True
Let me know how that goes. I'm sure there will be a consensus and you'll beat the astronomical 20% hold. No wonder horse racing is dead.
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05-23-2020, 02:17 PM
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#14
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Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,751
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MDCnorthlands
True
Let me know how that goes. I'm sure there will be a consensus and you'll beat the astronomical 20% hold. No wonder horse racing is dead.
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Horse racing is not dead just because mikesal had a great idea for the race of the day and everyone who wants to would give who they like for that specific race and it's not like mike is nor anyone else is "asking for selections" This is a place of where people post their picks and have a good time! Everyone has their OWN opinion and that is what makes horse racing handicapping fun and not a consensus game
If your looking for consensus or bs picks they go to DRF and look at the selections in the newspaper or any tout that would sure give you his top plays of the day
This race can't get hear fast enough lol
__________________
Handicapping the world year round'
-Conley
Last edited by CheckMark; 05-23-2020 at 02:20 PM.
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05-23-2020, 02:25 PM
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#15
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Journeyman
Join Date: May 2020
Posts: 45
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CheckMark
Horse racing is not dead just because mikesal had a great idea for the race of the day and everyone who wants to would give who they like for that specific race and it's not like mike is nor anyone else is "asking for selections" This is a place of where people post their picks and have a good time! Everyone has their OWN opinion and that is what makes horse racing handicapping fun and not a consensus game
If your looking for consensus or bs picks they go to DRF and look at the selections in the newspaper or any tout that would sure give you his top plays of the day
This race can't get hear fast enough lol
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That's not what I'm looking for. I'm just looking for a source that predicts reasonably well the final market odds. Any such source will be wrong a lot but if they're right as often as they are wrong, that works for me.
So far in 80-90% of my matchup bets, the final market odds strongly disagree with TrueStats, e-ponies, and the morning line.
My bookie likely has some other source it's using to make their matchup lines and I'd like to know what it is. There is no way they have some in house savant handicapper that is making 50 sharp matchup odds a day at 3+ tracks.
CheckMark you, like me, look like someone who enjoys a race track burger, fries, and a side of gravy.
MDCnorthlands
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