NYRA- The Best Circuit to Play, Everyday

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by Dahoss9698

Let's just say your ridiculous premise is a good one and NYRA hires a meteorologist. The meteorologist says it's going to rain Saturday so they card all dirt races yesterday.

The card still would have been wiped out because the JOCKEYS, not NYRA decided to cancel.

Why do you insist on ignoring this fact? It's not an opinion of mine, it's a fact.

HEADLINES Jun 17, 2017
Heavy rains force cancellation of racing at Belmont Park

Pat Mckenna

​Following unexpectedly heavy rain in the New York City metro area, the New York Racing Association, Inc. (NYRA) was forced to cancel the final six races at Belmont Park following the third race on Saturday, June 17 to ensure the safety of all participants.


Doesn't say any jockeys canceled anything.

[PaceAdvantage]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Doesn't say any jockeys canceled anything.

Well, it does say NYRA was FORCED to cancel...forced usually implies acted upon by another party...

[Dahoss9698]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

HEADLINES Jun 17, 2017
Heavy rains force cancellation of racing at Belmont Park

Pat Mckenna

​Following unexpectedly heavy rain in the New York City metro area, the New York Racing Association, Inc. (NYRA) was forced to cancel the final six races at Belmont Park following the third race on Saturday, June 17 to ensure the safety of all participants.


Doesn't say any jockeys canceled anything.

Do you think I just make stuff up?

http://www.drf.com/news/rain-wipes-o...n-renee-stakes

One more time, does anyone think for a second that NYRA, or any racing entity wants to cancel on a Saturday?

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage

Well, it does say NYRA was FORCED to cancel...forced usually implies acted upon by another party...

Agreed....but wouldn't NYRA leap at the chance to blame some other entity if they could?

This is horse racing American-style.

It's over and moot now, anyway.

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Anyone happen to notice BATTERY make a big wide move on the far turn--then wasn't really coaxed further?

That horse had no business at that class level--watch for a steep drop --and a big effort next.

Yes....I watch a replay once every blue moon.



3 Battery Maragh R $19.40 $8.90 $6.60

[Robert Fischer]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Yes....I watch a replay once every blue moon.



3 Battery Maragh R $19.40 $8.90 $6.60

nice call

[PhantomOnTour]

Got the day off as everything in Cajunland is closed today in anticipation of a storm that hasn't arrived yet...

BEL Race 1:
giving the nod to the most consistent runner, the , who should get a better trip today....tough race as it's mostly a rematch among 4 of the 6 runners.

[PhantomOnTour]

Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour

Got the day off as everything in Cajunland is closed today in anticipation of a storm that hasn't arrived yet...

BEL Race 1:
giving the nod to the most consistent runner, the , who should get a better trip today....tough race as it's mostly a rematch among 4 of the 6 runners.

Ran 2nd at 5-1 to the solid 6-5 chalk...oh well

[PhantomOnTour]

BEL Race 4:

I'll take the suspected lone E runner in the

[Robert Fischer]

the 2nd race today is a great example of a field of decent horses who have faced one another, and have comparable form.

The horse who really shines here is the Cournoyer.
The superficial information indicates that Cournoyer is a non-contender, while a look beneath the rind, into the interior, points to Cournoyer as a win contender, and a big value.

The race may be as simple as watching the tote board, and betting Cournoyer, if the price is acceptable (≥ 9/2?).

Perhaps there is more to this race than I think?

The is superior to the , but some models suggest the gap is narrow. The morning line is a wide gap. ?
The has tactical speed and may prove more stubborn than it seems. ?
The appears to have problems, but his new trainer is a problem solver. His form interpretation can be stretched to make excuses. He has a top jock, and like the , he can hope to attend a favorable forward flow. ?

I wish my comprehension would extend to my apprehension. I can only set a margin-for-error with the , and be prepared that there may be more to this race than it seems.

[PhantomOnTour]

BEL Race 5

Field full of first time starting juvies.
I will try to beat Pletcher chalk ...always love playing against his runners who worked at Mth and shipped to NY to race. Get the feeling they're his 2nd string. Who knows, maybe this colt worked so well that he decided to run him at Bel...he is a NY bred after all, but I'll try to beat him, esp at 6-5.

Using the (it's Rudy) and the who sold for more than 15x his sire's stud fee, and way above his sire's avg at sale.

ex w
win

[PhantomOnTour]

Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour

BEL Race 5

Field full of first time starting juvies.
I will try to beat Pletcher chalk ...always love playing against his runners who worked at Mth and shipped to NY to race. Get the feeling they're his 2nd string. Who knows, maybe this colt worked so well that he decided to run him at Bel...he is a NY bred after all, but I'll try to beat him, esp at 6-5.

Using the (it's Rudy) and the who sold for more than 15x his sire's stud fee, and way above his sire's avg at sale.

ex w
win

Right idea, wrong horses....Pletcher finished out of the money at 4-5
Finished for a $2 ex payoff of $47.60

[Robert Fischer]

everyone betting Ortiz bros r6.... 1/4 = contrarian opinion?

[Robert Fischer]

Originally Posted by Robert Fischer

everyone betting Ortiz bros r6.... 1/4 = contrarian opinion?

nope not only a bad opinion, it wasn't the contrarian opinion. Late money wiped-out the exacta overlay, and while the 1 ran a solid race at a fair value, Irad Ortiz ran a winning race on the live 3 whose class questions ended up making her a better value than the 4.

[Tom]

Race 2

Best early and top fig makes 2nd start - looks good on paper.
Drops MSW to MC , 1st time lasix

Rest look like proven losers.

Bet the $10W and box the $5