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Old 02-28-2021, 10:30 PM   #16
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Code:
Los Alamitos QH* Race 5					
	 	 		 	 
 	7	6		7	6
 	un	un	 	ov	0v
7	0	100		0	100
6	100	0		100	0
1	0	0		0	0
3	0	0		0	0
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Old 02-28-2021, 10:58 PM   #17
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strategic betting was rewarded.
played col #2 and col #3 when there was no matrix board play.
there were three races cost $600, return $1180

none of the 6 matrix board plays won cost = $325

cost of all plays = $925, returns $1180 for a $1 return of $1.27

I'll present the excel sheet for todays play tomorrow


this strategy fit the best of the study
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Old 03-01-2021, 12:03 PM   #18
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RESULTS FOR POSTED RACES
per study, races fg race 9 and ok race 9 were not plays

that left 8 races

total bet was $1090, return $1482

Attached Images
File Type: png 03-01-2021 RESULTS.PNG (115.0 KB, 4 views)
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Old 03-01-2021, 01:23 PM   #19
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Code:
Parx Racing* Race 2						
	 	 		 	 	
 	4	6		4	6	
 	un	un	 	ov	0v	
4	0	71		0	71	
6	68	0		68	0	
2	32	29		32	29	 
3	0	0		0	0
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Old 03-01-2021, 01:51 PM   #20
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Code:
Parx Racing* Race 3						
	 	 		 	 	
 	7	5		7	5	
 	un	un	 	ov	0v	
7	0	100		0	100	
5	100	0		100	0	
2	0	0		0	0	 
6	0	0		0	0	
4	0	0		0	0	
1	0	0		0	0	
3	0	0		0	0
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Old 03-01-2021, 02:34 PM   #21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002 View Post
Code:
Parx Racing* Race 3						
	 	 		 	 	
 	7	5		7	5	
 	un	un	 	ov	0v	
7	0	100		0	100	
5	100	0		100	0	
2	0	0		0	0	 
6	0	0		0	0	
4	0	0		0	0	
1	0	0		0	0	
3	0	0		0	0
this play cost $200 for the column 3 and 4 bet and returned $1920, all IN accordance with the study plays
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Old 03-02-2021, 01:32 PM   #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002 View Post
Formula 2002 exacta play study

Reviewing every race, my study now includes 579 races.
45 of those races were determined to be non-playable, leaving 534 playable races.

Here are the $1 exacta returns using the top two public choices with my system horses (x) at determined bet sizes.
Column 1, x/favorite, $0.73, 13% wins
Column 2, x /second favorite, $1.23, 23% wins
Column 3, favorite/ x, $0.98, 22% wins
Column 4, second favorite / x , $0.62, 11% win

Recently, I converted these plays into a matrix format with a different bet size calculator.
I only have 75 races in this analysis returning a $1 return of $1.25, 52% wins

This exacta play may hold promise, I have only gone through 50 plays. Will continue analysis with the full data base as long as it holds promise. The matrix board play, top two choices over all shown in the matrix. No reverse.
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Old 03-02-2021, 05:19 PM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002 View Post
This exacta play may hold promise, I have only gone through 50 plays. Will continue analysis with the full data base as long as it holds promise. The matrix board play, top two choices over all shown in the matrix. No reverse.
let me present the base line
I've reviewed 47 races 36% winners.
previous $1 return was $0.98, current $1.45.
lets see where this goes
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Old 03-02-2021, 11:33 PM   #24
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I have now reviewed 136 races. previous plays returned 36% winners.
new plays returned 26% winners

previous $1 return was $1.21, new $1.06

HOWEVER
ELEMINATING 1 OUTLIER RACE
THE PREVIOUS PLAYS THEN RETURNED $0.98 ON THE DOLLAR, THE NEW PLAYS RETURNED $1.12 ON THE DOLLAR.
.
lets see where this goes[/B]
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Last edited by formula_2002; 03-02-2021 at 11:35 PM.
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Old 03-05-2021, 09:54 AM   #25
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uk doncaster race 2

Code:
 	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	0	37
1	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	0	1
2	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	0	2
3	----	----	----	----	----	19	----	----	----	13	----	----	----	----	----	33	3
4	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	0	4
5	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	0	5
6	----	----	19	----	----	----	----	----	----	14	----	----	----	----	----	33	6
7	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	0	7
8	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	0	8
9	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	0	9
10	----	----	10	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	10	10
11	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	0	11
12	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	0	12
13	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	0	13
14	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	0	14
15	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	0	15
16	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	----	0	16
0	0.00	0.00	29.61	0.00	0.00	19.41	0.00	0.00	0.00	26.96	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	151.94	
#DIV/0!	1								#VALUE!	#VALUE!		#VALUE!
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Last edited by formula_2002; 03-05-2021 at 09:56 AM.
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Old 03-06-2021, 03:34 PM   #26
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Code:
Aqueduct* Race 6					
	 	 		 	 
 	1	3		1	3
 	un	un	 	ov	0v
1	0	100		0	100
3	100	0		100	0
5	0	0		0	0
4	0	0		0	0
2	0	0		0	0
6	0	0		0	0
7	0	0		0	0
8	0	0		0	0
9	0	0		0	0
10	0	0		0	0
11	0	0		0	0
12	0	0		0	0
13	0	0		0	0
14	0	0		0	0
15	0	0		0	0
16	0	0		0	0
	100	100	 	100	100
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Old 03-06-2021, 05:46 PM   #27
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Code:
Santa Anita* Race 6					
	 	 		 	 
 	1	3		1	3
 	un	un	 	ov	0v
1	0	100		0	100
3	100	0		100	0
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Old 03-06-2021, 06:13 PM   #28
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the uk doncaster race was a a matrix play 6/2 won. bet size was $49 returning $48.

the sar race 6 was a column #2 and col #3 play bet $200 returned $640
the aqu race 3 play was a column #2 and column #3 play, bet $200, returned 0

total bet for the three races was $449, returning $688
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Old 03-06-2021, 06:21 PM   #29
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pax r 3 on 03-01-2021.. correction


Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002 View Post
this play cost $200 for the column 3 and 4 bet and returned $1920, all IN accordance with the study plays
correction, the 7/5 exacta play won. play was columns #2 and #3 not #3 and $4
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Last edited by formula_2002; 03-06-2021 at 06:23 PM.
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Old 03-06-2021, 09:20 PM   #30
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what an easy game.
 
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Code:
Los Alamitos QH* Race 1					
	 	 		 	 
 	2	5		2	5
 	un	un	 	ov	0v
2	0	34		0	34
5	32	0		32	0
6	0	0		0	0
1	0	0		0	0
3	0	0		0	0
4	0	0		0	0
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