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10-05-2012, 10:59 AM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Queens, New York
Posts: 2,269
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NFL Week 5
4-7 YTD
Skins +3
Eagles +3.5
Colts +6.5
Seahawks +3
Jags +5
49ers -9.5
Jets +8
__________________
Learn the Game!!
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10-05-2012, 11:17 AM
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#2
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 25,607
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BetHorses!
4-7 YTD
Skins +3
Eagles +3.5
Colts +6.5
Seahawks +3
Jags +5
49ers -9.5
Jets +8
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Jets are a very hard team to bet on these days, they have a built in excuse now with No Revis and no Santonio.
Im looking at Denver +7 as a good pick.
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10-05-2012, 11:28 AM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Houston , Tx.
Posts: 9,594
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Falcons -3
Bengals -3.5
Seahawks +3
Season 8-11
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10-05-2012, 01:01 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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I kind of like Bet Horses' Jets pick. Whenever the Jets have a bad game, its always magnified. Monday night home dogs always have to be respected. This is a non-divisional road game for Houston. I know Houston is good, but I haven't given them the Super Bowl yet. I expect 90% of the public money to come in on Houston.
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10-05-2012, 01:31 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: New York
Posts: 628
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An angle I used to play...Home team is coming off a loss at Home & scored less than 7 points ...I remember it used to hit around 80% (vs. the spread) BUT the Jets might be in the 20% ...I probably will not play this game
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10-06-2012, 08:34 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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13-10 ytd
Phil/Pitt OVER 43
Tenn/Minn UNDER 44
Chicago/Jax UNDER 41
Denv/NE OVER 52
New Orleans -3.5
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10-06-2012, 09:41 PM
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#7
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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I don't really see any great bets this week.
If I wanted to go on a hunch:
Packers -7 @ Colts
Indy just lost to Jaguars at home, getting gashed in the run game.
Big spread, but the Packers have to be extremely frustrated by their season so far. "Cheated" in Seattle, and in the last game they had to win by 1vs the Saints @ Lambeau.
Green Bay is 2-2 and Chi,Minn both ahead at 3-1
Statement game ??
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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10-06-2012, 10:18 PM
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#8
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Canadian since 51
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Toronto
Posts: 3,458
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YTD 6-6
Cinci -3 v.s. Miami
Balt -6.5 v.s. KC
Hou -9 v.s. JETS
Phil +3 v.s. Pitt
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10-07-2012, 07:39 AM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: New York
Posts: 628
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Tough week for me...only 1 bet
Saints -3.5
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10-07-2012, 10:13 AM
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#10
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crusty old guy
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Snarkytown USA
Posts: 3,924
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7 - 5 on the season. I agree that nothing seems to stand out this week. Nevertheless...
Chi -5.5
GB -7
Tempted to play SD (+3.5) and Hou (-8), but I'm going to be conservative in a week with little that jumps out at me.
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10-07-2012, 01:02 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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According to Beyond the Bets, the public is heavy on three road favorites:
GB (81%) Baltimore (77%) and Chicago (80%).
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10-08-2012, 08:33 AM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Valuist
13-10 ytd
Phil/Pitt OVER 43
Tenn/Minn UNDER 44
Chicago/Jax UNDER 41
Denv/NE OVER 52
New Orleans -3.5
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2-2-1 on week
15-12-1 YTD
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10-08-2012, 09:30 AM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: New York
Posts: 628
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Valuist
13-10 ytd
Phil/Pitt OVER 43
Tenn/Minn UNDER 44
Chicago/Jax UNDER 41
Denv/NE OVER 52
New Orleans -3.5
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A couple of tough beats on your totals Broncos Fumble inside the 5 yard line late in the game & Bears defense costing you on what looked like a good under...that is why I prefer sides
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10-08-2012, 09:34 AM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: New York
Posts: 628
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I meant to say the Bears defense scoring with the interceptions
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10-08-2012, 11:09 AM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fiveouttasix
A couple of tough beats on your totals Broncos Fumble inside the 5 yard line late in the game & Bears defense costing you on what looked like a good under...that is why I prefer sides
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You are exactly right but over the years I have done better wagering on totals. I believe the linemakers spend far more time on their team power ratings and sides are tougher, IMO.
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