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Old 10-05-2012, 10:59 AM   #1
BetHorses!
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NFL Week 5

4-7 YTD

Skins +3
Eagles +3.5
Colts +6.5
Seahawks +3
Jags +5
49ers -9.5
Jets +8
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Old 10-05-2012, 11:17 AM   #2
Stillriledup
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BetHorses!
4-7 YTD

Skins +3
Eagles +3.5
Colts +6.5
Seahawks +3
Jags +5
49ers -9.5
Jets +8
Jets are a very hard team to bet on these days, they have a built in excuse now with No Revis and no Santonio.

Im looking at Denver +7 as a good pick.
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Old 10-05-2012, 11:28 AM   #3
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Falcons -3
Bengals -3.5
Seahawks +3

Season 8-11
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Old 10-05-2012, 01:01 PM   #4
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I kind of like Bet Horses' Jets pick. Whenever the Jets have a bad game, its always magnified. Monday night home dogs always have to be respected. This is a non-divisional road game for Houston. I know Houston is good, but I haven't given them the Super Bowl yet. I expect 90% of the public money to come in on Houston.
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Old 10-05-2012, 01:31 PM   #5
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An angle I used to play...Home team is coming off a loss at Home & scored less than 7 points ...I remember it used to hit around 80% (vs. the spread) BUT the Jets might be in the 20% ...I probably will not play this game
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Old 10-06-2012, 08:34 PM   #6
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13-10 ytd

Phil/Pitt OVER 43
Tenn/Minn UNDER 44
Chicago/Jax UNDER 41
Denv/NE OVER 52
New Orleans -3.5
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Old 10-06-2012, 09:41 PM   #7
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I don't really see any great bets this week.

If I wanted to go on a hunch:
Packers -7 @ Colts

Indy just lost to Jaguars at home, getting gashed in the run game.

Big spread, but the Packers have to be extremely frustrated by their season so far. "Cheated" in Seattle, and in the last game they had to win by 1vs the Saints @ Lambeau.

Green Bay is 2-2 and Chi,Minn both ahead at 3-1

Statement game ??
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Old 10-06-2012, 10:18 PM   #8
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YTD 6-6

Cinci -3 v.s. Miami
Balt -6.5 v.s. KC
Hou -9 v.s. JETS
Phil +3 v.s. Pitt
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Old 10-07-2012, 07:39 AM   #9
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Tough week for me...only 1 bet
Saints -3.5
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Old 10-07-2012, 10:13 AM   #10
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7 - 5 on the season. I agree that nothing seems to stand out this week. Nevertheless...

Chi -5.5
GB -7

Tempted to play SD (+3.5) and Hou (-8), but I'm going to be conservative in a week with little that jumps out at me.
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Old 10-07-2012, 01:02 PM   #11
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According to Beyond the Bets, the public is heavy on three road favorites:
GB (81%) Baltimore (77%) and Chicago (80%).
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Old 10-08-2012, 08:33 AM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Valuist
13-10 ytd

Phil/Pitt OVER 43
Tenn/Minn UNDER 44
Chicago/Jax UNDER 41
Denv/NE OVER 52
New Orleans -3.5
2-2-1 on week
15-12-1 YTD
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Old 10-08-2012, 09:30 AM   #13
fiveouttasix
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Valuist
13-10 ytd

Phil/Pitt OVER 43
Tenn/Minn UNDER 44
Chicago/Jax UNDER 41
Denv/NE OVER 52
New Orleans -3.5
A couple of tough beats on your totals Broncos Fumble inside the 5 yard line late in the game & Bears defense costing you on what looked like a good under...that is why I prefer sides
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Old 10-08-2012, 09:34 AM   #14
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I meant to say the Bears defense scoring with the interceptions
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Old 10-08-2012, 11:09 AM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fiveouttasix
A couple of tough beats on your totals Broncos Fumble inside the 5 yard line late in the game & Bears defense costing you on what looked like a good under...that is why I prefer sides
You are exactly right but over the years I have done better wagering on totals. I believe the linemakers spend far more time on their team power ratings and sides are tougher, IMO.
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