Quote:
Originally Posted by uncbossfan
I see a lot of Polytrack talk on here - most negative. I'm curious though what factors into your opinion on polytrack?
Why do you like or dislike the polytrack?
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For me the most important factor is can I PROFIT monetarily on the surface.
So far the answer has varied:
1) Keeneland - win % for me DOWN significantly while avg win $ and actual money won is UP significantly. Horses that fit a certain pattern for me that pay avg of $8.50 on dirt have consistently averaged almost $17.40 on Keenelands surface. Financially a gold mine for the 2nd meet in a row since the surface change.
Pros - I am able to get a handle on winning patterns from the result charts and apply them come live races.
Cons - The wide variance in FIRST fractions pace of race taken from pp's screw me up when looking at the race at hand. 2 reasons this happens.
First is the jocks holding the darn horses back too much early on. 2nd is track maintenance "fluffing" the fibers one day and leaving it "settled" another. When it rains on the surface it becomes faster early on in the race and is a bit more consistent with dirt fractions. Having said all this it is the very inconsistency in the track that has to be a major cause for the LARGE increase in win mutuals.
Bottom line is I wish this track ran every day of the year with the field and competition levels that currently exist.
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Turfway Park - Financial nightmare for me. I have NOT found the key or keys needed for ME to win there and had a fairly significant loss for the concluded meet. I'm talking in the thousands rather than the hundreds here. That's keeping it real.
Until I can understand how to win here this track is OFF my betting menu.
Flaws of MINE- Over emphasizing the sustained runners here. Lost far too many races to early types that kept on going and won. Have to change either
a) approach
b) spot play setup
to have any chance to profit. Working on some things NOW in advance of the next meet. Very difficult uphill battle for me. Bottom line is cash stays in pocket til further notice at this joint.
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Hollywood (Cushion track) - VERY inconsistent results from last meet has carried over to this meet. Track looks to be slightly speed favoring and that's ok.
Pros - doing very good on maiden and the cheaper classes of races. I have switched my spot plays around to focus mainly on these race types. The early "fighting" type horses especially maidens pay off consistently sometimes at rather unreal prices.
Cons - Very poor results betting the higher class alw,clm and stakes races. Some races I am so confident in the bet only to see the total opposite scenario play out and my tickets become "bookmarks" as Pizzola says. Pisses me the heck off man. I honestly don't know why but the records are so clearly defined it is certain.
Bottom line is the surface is playable here for me but great attention to the class of race being worked HAS to be considered for me to have a chance to win.
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Woodbine - No opinion because I am not nor have not worked races there in any manner that can be called consistent. PASS
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take care
Richie