Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > Selections


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 09-21-2020, 06:44 AM   #1
Augenj
Top Horse Analytics
 
Augenj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 12,303
Arrow Top Horse Analytics: 09/21/2020 Weekly Statistics

CHART TRACKS:
AQU - inactive
BEL - active
CD - active
DMR - inactive
FG - inactive
GP - inactive (winter)
GPS - active (spring/summer)
GPW - inactive
KEE - inactive
LRL - active
MTH - active
OP - inactive
PIM - inactive (uses LRL data base)
SA - inactive
SAR - inactive
TAM - inactive
TP - inactive

CHART SURFACES:
ALL - All surfaces and track conditions
DirtDRY - Dirt surface with "fst" or "wf" conditions
DirtWET - Dirt surface with NOT "fst" or "wf" conditions
TurfDRY - Turf surface with "fm" or "hd" conditions
TurfWET - Turf surface with NOT "fm" or "hd" conditions

CHART COLORS:
Pink colored cells indicate 0.85 to 0.90 ROI. (good)
Yellow colored cells indicate 0.90 ROI to 1.00 ROI. (better)
Green colored cells indicate above 1.00 ROI. (profitable)

NOTE:
Conditional Top Horse refers to the Top Horse when it matches conditions that are profitable over the past year - ROI $1.01 or greater.
Click on charts to enlarge.

Attached Images
File Type: png bel4.png (266.3 KB, 1 views)
File Type: png cd4.png (263.9 KB, 0 views)
File Type: png gps4.png (273.5 KB, 0 views)
File Type: png lrl4.png (273.1 KB, 0 views)
File Type: png mth4.png (264.9 KB, 0 views)
Augenj is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-21-2020, 06:46 AM   #2
Augenj
Top Horse Analytics
 
Augenj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 12,303
.

Attached Images
File Type: png bel1.png (203.5 KB, 0 views)
File Type: png cd1.png (199.1 KB, 0 views)
File Type: png gps1.png (205.5 KB, 0 views)
File Type: png lrl1.png (209.2 KB, 0 views)
File Type: png mth1.png (203.8 KB, 0 views)
Augenj is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-21-2020, 06:47 AM   #3
Augenj
Top Horse Analytics
 
Augenj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 12,303
How are these statistics produced?

At the very start of a year for a track, the previous year's data base is analyzed during which race calculation parameters for future races are optimized and stored in a parameter file.

Each week after the start, a track's data base is rebuilt by adding the previous week's data to the data base and removing the oldest week's data from the data base. Then an analysis is run to re-optimize race calculation parameters. This means that statistics will vary week to week due to the changed data base. The stats you see today are only accurate until the following week's analysis.

After each weekly analysis run, a "totals" run is made to determine which of several hundred conditions are profitable. These are flagged in the track's parameter file. Most profitable conditions are compounds consisting of two or more conditions.

When a race is calculated for a track, the best profitable stats from the parameter file for the top horse are displayed on its entry line. You can see some of these races and statistics daily in our Free Pick(s).

During the coming year, THA will sometimes be upgraded with the latest performance improvements and rolled in during weekly processing. This also contributes to the statistics changes seen weekly.

Questions are welcome such as "Why use an 'always current' data base rather than a static one?".
Answer: After years of developing THA, it became apparent that "What have you done for me lately?" also applies to THA horse racing statistics. Other systems may have different answers and solutions.
Augenj is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 09-21-2020, 06:48 AM   #4
Augenj
Top Horse Analytics
 
Augenj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 12,303
Latest Testing Results

Attached Images
File Type: png AllTotalsTH.png (34.2 KB, 1 views)
Augenj is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply

Tags
horse racing, picks, selections, statistics




Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:58 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.