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Old 01-02-2015, 08:15 PM   #1
Aner
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Saturday Long Shots

I think more longshots win on Saturday than on week days. Here are some horses I fancy that are 10:1 or higher on the morning line before scratches.



January 3, 2015

Aqu 6-----Balfe's Corner
Aqu 7-----Readytodefer
Aqu 8-----General Bellamy
Aqu 9-----R Cardinal One

GP 2------Sweetgrass
GP 3------Lavandero
GP 5------River of Dreams

Tam 1----Imageiseverything
Tam 4----B Bacharach
Tam 5----Give Me Thy Heart

TP 1------Lincoln Flyer
TP 2------Winning Diamond
TP 9------Tothemoonandbeyond

SA 2------Rocket Heat
SA 4------Miz Penelope
SA 6------Kristinite
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Old 01-03-2015, 11:40 PM   #2
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Aner
I think more longshots win on Saturday than on week days. Here are some horses I fancy that are 10:1 or higher on the morning line before scratches.



January 3, 2015

Aqu 6-----Balfe's Corner
Aqu 7-----Readytodefer
Aqu 8-----General Bellamy--------------XXXX, XXXX, 6.00
Aqu 9-----R Cardinal One

GP 2------Sweetgrass-------------------XXXX, XXXX, 7.00
GP 3------Lavandero
GP 5------River of Dreams

Tam 1----Imageiseverything
Tam 4----B Bacharach
Tam 5----Give Me Thy Heart------------XXXX, XXXX, 7.60

TP 1------Lincoln Flyer
TP 2------Winning Diamond-------------XXXX, 10.60, 6.00
TP 9------Tothemoonandbeyond

SA 2------Rocket Heat
SA 4------Miz Penelope
SA 6------Kristinite
Win =0/16
$bet = $32
$ back = $0
loss = -$32

Place = 1/16
$bet = $32
$ back = $10.60
loss = -$21.40
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Old 01-10-2015, 02:03 AM   #3
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Picks for 1-10-15

Aqu 1-----#4 Little T. Louie
Aqu 5-----#9 Coolusive
Aqu 7-----#3 Groomedforvictory
Aqu 8-----#1 Green Gratto
Aqu 9-----#3 Ice Wagon

Tam 3----#10 Let's Wrap it Up
Tam 5----#4 Proud Glory
Tam 7----#2 Taxes for Ben
Tam 9----#6 Malibu High

GP 4------#5 Zia
GP 9------#8 Boheme de Davi
GP 11----#10 Wilshire Heir

FG 7-----#2 Te's Live Action

SA 3------#3 Don't Tell Abbey
SA 5------#12 From Here to There
SA 7------#8 Ultra Sharp
SA 9------#3 Smokey Lonesome
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Old 01-10-2015, 10:38 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Aner
Picks for 1-10-15

Aqu 1-----#4 Little T. Louie
Aqu 5-----#9 Coolusive
Aqu 7-----#3 Groomedforvictory
Aqu 8-----#1 Green Gratto
Aqu 9-----#3 Ice Wagon

Tam 3----#10 Let's Wrap it Up
Tam 5----#4 Proud Glory
Tam 7----#2 Taxes for Ben
Tam 9----#6 Malibu High

GP 4------#5 Zia
GP 9------#8 Boheme de Davi
GP 11----#10 Wilshire Heir


FG 7-----#2 Te's Live Action

SA 3------#3 Don't Tell Abbey
SA 5------#12 From Here to There
SA 7------#8 Ultra Sharp
SA 9------#3 Smokey Lonesome
I agree with 2 of your points longshots do hit more on Saturdays than any day of the week, though some say the stats don't support that but I'm not buying it. and like your longshot picks at Gulfstream.

GP 4------#5 Zia (Barn is heating up, cycling back up in Beyers. Just don't know how well he is going to like the dirt. Question mark for me? But if the odds are right...

GP 9------#8 Boheme de Davi (Navarro purchase, slight drop seems to likes the GP strip and the logical favorite will be overbet IMO.)

GP 11----#10 Wilshire Heir (Think he will appreciate the turf, must over come post but assuming he's sent right to the lead, sire 10/12 in the win and place slots.

Tam 9----#6 Malibu High (Obvious bounce last race off a top. Gets Lebron back from his last win 1 back where he got a 90 beyer in an open claimer. Not sure he can get back to that but can see him hitting the ticket at nice odds.)

Good Luck!
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Old 01-10-2015, 06:58 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Aner
Picks for 1-10-15

Aqu 1-----#4 Little T. Louie-------------cancelled
Aqu 5-----#9 Coolusive-----------------cancelled
Aqu 7-----#3 Groomedforvictory-------cancelled
Aqu 8-----#1 Green Gratto-------------cancelled
Aqu 9-----#3 Ice Wagon----------------cancelled

Tam 3----#10 Let's Wrap it Up
Tam 5----#4 Proud Glory
Tam 7----#2 Taxes for Ben------------XXXX, 7.20
Tam 9----#6 Malibu High

GP 4------#5 Zia
GP 9------#8 Boheme de Davi
GP 11----#10 Wilshire Heir

FG 7-----#2 Te's Live Action---------19.60, 9.40

SA 3------#3 Don't Tell Abbey
SA 5------#12 From Here to There
SA 7------#8 Ultra Sharp
SA 9------#3 Smokey Lonesome-----------sratched
For the day:

win = 1/11
bet = $22
back = $19.60
loss = $2.40-----------for the year =($34.40)

place = 2/11
bet = $22
back = $16.60
loss = $5.40-----------for the year =($26.80)
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Old 01-16-2015, 10:54 PM   #6
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Picks for 1-17-15

Aqu 1-----#2 Northern Analyst
Aqu 2-----#4 Sir Maurice
Aqu 3-----#2 Bridgehampton
Aqu 4-----#4 El Grande Patron
Aqu 5-----#2 Dash of Dazzle
Aqu 7-----#7 Here's Trance
Aqu 9----#1 Kodiak Kody

Tam 1----#6 Lake Drive South
Tam 4----#4 Hazels Brew
Tam 6----#8 Tuxedo Ray
Tam 8----#1 Our Sister Ania
Tam 10---#4 Zephyrine

GP 1------#2 Whisper Onthe Wind
GP 2------#9 Caprock Kid
GP 5------#6 Puntrooskie
GP 8------#2 Wildcat Lily

TP 2------#9 Merrie's Pride
TP 3------#9 Beau Rush
TP 5------#6 La Jolla d'Oro
TP 6------#10 Pataky Kid

OP 2------#7 Edging
OP 3------#7 R Nanalee
OP 5------#3 Caffeinated
OP 9------#3 Raagheb

SA 1------#2 Mighty Pleasing
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Old 01-17-2015, 11:56 PM   #7
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Picks for 1-17-15

Aqu 1-----#2 Northern Analyst
Aqu 2-----#4 Sir Maurice
Aqu 3-----#2 Bridgehampton
Aqu 4-----#4 El Grande Patron
Aqu 5-----#2 Dash of Dazzle
Aqu 7-----#7 Here's Trance
Aqu 9----#1 Kodiak Kody

Tam 1----#6 Lake Drive South---------------56.40, 14.60
Tam 4----#4 Hazels Brew
Tam 6----#8 Tuxedo Ray
Tam 8----#1 Our Sister Ania
Tam 10---#4 Zephyrine

GP 1------#2 Whisper Onthe Wind-----------XXXX, 12.20
GP 2------#9 Caprock Kid
GP 5------#6 Puntrooskie
GP 8------#2 Wildcat Lily

TP 2------#9 Merrie's Pride
TP 3------#9 Beau Rush
TP 5------#6 La Jolla d'Oro
TP 6------#10 Pataky Kid

OP 2------#7 Edging
OP 3------#7 R Nanalee
OP 5------#3 Caffeinated
OP 9------#3 Raagheb

SA 1------#2 Mighty Pleasing

For the day:

win = 1/25
bet = $50
back = $56.40
gain = $6.40-----------for the year =($28.00 loss)

place = 2/25
bet = $50
back = $26.80
loss = $23.20-----------for the year =($50.00 loss)
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Old 01-24-2015, 09:09 AM   #8
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Picks for 1-24-15


Aqu 2-----#6 Hop Skip and Away
Aqu 4-----#6 Native Hawk
Aqu 5-----#4 Real Estate Rich
Aqu 7-----#6 Wraith
Aqu 9-----#2 Coolusive


Tam 1----#5 Larry Smartmedia
Tam 3----#8 Jazillion Smiles
Tam 4----#7 Yanks Geopardy
Tam 5----#5 One Hot Paradice
Tam 5----#12 Total Accounting
Tam 7----#4 Miss Lauren Ann
Tam 7----#10 Princess Dinah
Tam 9----#10 El Botas
Tam 11---#12 La Chilita


GP 2------#11 Master Achievement
GP 2------#12 Precious Metal
GP 5------#1 Undercover Kitten
GP 5------#13 La Moskette
GP 6------#1 Market Guessing
GP 8------#10 Nicky's Brown Miss
GP 10-----#3 Taylor S


OP 1------#3 Star's Valentino
OP 6------#3 Reigning Catfish


SA 2------#7 Rahy's Shadow
SA 3------#6 Dreamnofatticus
SA 4------#4 Momma Tried
SA 8------#6 Follini
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Old 01-24-2015, 07:25 PM   #9
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Picks for 1-24-15


Aqu 2-----#6 Hop Skip and Away-------cancelled
Aqu 4-----#6 Native Hawk---------------cancelled
Aqu 5-----#4 Real Estate Rich-----------cancelled
Aqu 7-----#6 Wraith---------------------cancelled
Aqu 9-----#2 Coolusive------------------cancelled


Tam 1----#5 Larry Smartmedia
Tam 3----#8 Jazillion Smiles
Tam 4----#7 Yanks Geopardy
Tam 5----#5 One Hot Paradice
Tam 5----#12 Total Accounting
Tam 7----#4 Miss Lauren Ann
Tam 7----#10 Princess Dinah
Tam 9----#10 El Botas-----------------------scratched
Tam 11---#12 La Chilita


GP 2------#11 Master Achievement---------scratched
GP 2------#12 Precious Metal
GP 5------#1 Undercover Kitten
GP 5------#13 La Moskette
GP 6------#1 Market Guessing
GP 8------#10 Nicky's Brown Miss
GP 10-----#3 Taylor S


OP 1------#3 Star's Valentino
OP 6------#3 Reigning Catfish


SA 2------#7 Rahy's Shadow
SA 3------#6 Dreamnofatticus
SA 4------#4 Momma Tried
SA 8------#6 Follini


For the day:

win = 0/20
bet = $40
back = $0
loss = -$40-----------for the year =($68.00 loss)

place = 0/20
bet = $40
back = $0
loss = $40-----------for the year =($90.00 loss)
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Old 01-30-2015, 08:12 PM   #10
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Picks for 1-31-15

Aqu 4-----#8 Paper Street
Aqu 6-----#9 Tiz Shea D
Aqu 8-----#6 Wraith


Tam 1----#5 Rivershire
Tam 5----#2 Mecke Mantle
Tam 8----#11 Excellent Chance
Tam 9----#8 Include Betty
Tam 10---#13 Why Katherine
Tam 11---#4 Crittenden

GP 2------#5 Meetmeforasmoke
GP 3------#5 She's Risky
GP 5------#12 My Little Annas
GP 7------#7 Sportscaster
GP 7------#12 Shiva Ryan
GP 8------#6 Pedal Princess
GP 11-----#1 Lumberyard Jack


FG 3------#2 Ashley's London
FG 4------#6 Z Golden Parrot
FG 8------#3 Anusara
FG 8------#9 Too Cool
FG 9------#4 Speak Softly
FG 10----#8 Cigarzin


OP 2------#10 Miss Nightlinger
OP 5------#3 Fela Kuti
OP 6------#8 Bank Account


SA 4------#1 Pay the Debt
SA 5------#11 Belle of the Fleet
SA 9------#1 Miltee
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Old 01-31-2015, 07:53 PM   #11
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Picks for 1-31-15

Aqu 4-----#8 Paper Street----------------cancelled
Aqu 6-----#9 Tiz Shea D------------------cancelled
Aqu 8-----#6 Wraith-----------------------cancelled


Tam 1----#5 Rivershire----------------XXXX, 10.80
Tam 5----#2 Mecke Mantle
Tam 8----#11 Excellent Chance
Tam 9----#8 Include Betty------------39.80, 12.00
Tam 10---#13 Why Katherine
Tam 11---#4 Crittenden

GP 2------#5 Meetmeforasmoke
GP 3------#5 She's Risky
GP 5------#12 My Little Annas
GP 7------#7 Sportscaster
GP 7------#12 Shiva Ryan
GP 8------#6 Pedal Princess-------------26.40, 9.60
GP 11-----#1 Lumberyard Jack


FG 3------#2 Ashley's London-----------9.80, 4.00
FG 4------#6 Z Golden Parrot
FG 8------#3 Anusara
FG 8------#9 Too Cool
FG 9------#4 Speak Softly
FG 10----#8 Cigarzin-------------------17.80, 7.60


OP 2------#10 Miss Nightlinger
OP 5------#3 Fela Kuti
OP 6------#8 Bank Account


SA 4------#1 Pay the Debt------------XXXX, 16.40
SA 5------#11 Belle of the Fleet
SA 9------#1 Miltee


For the day:

win = 4/25
bet = $50
back = $93.80
gain = $43.80----------for the year =($24.20 loss)

place = 6/25
bet = $50
back = $60.40
gain = $10.40-----------for the year =($79.60 loss)
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Old 02-06-2015, 06:32 PM   #12
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Picks for 2/7/15

Aqu 4-----#1 Mineral Water
Aqu 6-----#4 Wraith
Aqu 7-----#3 S. S. Minnow
Aqu 8-----#6 General Bellamy
Aqu 9-----#3 Southern Rocket

Tam 4----#1 Mile High City

GP 3------#2 Moon River
GP 4------#8 Polo Art
GP 5------#6 Bye Bye Bernie
GP 5------#9 Ancil
GP 6------#4 Flashy Jewel
GP 8------#3 Checked Past
GP 9------#5 Mongolian King
GP 9------#9 Golden Spear
GP 10-----#6 Nellie Cashman
GP 11-----#9 Alpha Better
GP 12-----#4 Grand Tito
GP 13-----#9 Blue Tone

OP 1------#10 Golfin' De An
OP 2------#4 Chiefs Expectation
OP 4------#3 Telegraph
OP 4------#8 Rebel Soul
OP 5------#5 Quiet Man
OP 6------#6 Shanks
OP 7------#7 Bling It On Baby

FG 1------#6 Diligent Jorga
FG 4------#7 Deep Bottom
FG 6------#11 Adios Nardo
FG 8------#5 Pecky's Boy
FG 9------#8 Wildwood Heir

SA 1------#8 Roper
SA 2------#9 Zippingaroundtown
SA 4------#8 Currency Exchange
SA 6------#7 My Samurai Warrior
SA 7------#5 Little Jerry
SA 8------#4 Imperative
SA 9------#11 Sky Mega
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Old 02-08-2015, 10:43 AM   #13
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Picks for 2/7/15

Aqu 4-----#1 Mineral Water
Aqu 6-----#4 Wraith
Aqu 7-----#3 S. S. Minnow
Aqu 8-----#6 General Bellamy
Aqu 9-----#3 Southern Rocket

Tam 4----#1 Mile High City

GP 3------#2 Moon River---------------XXXX, 7.20
GP 4------#8 Polo Art
GP 5------#6 Bye Bye Bernie
GP 5------#9 Ancil
GP 6------#4 Flashy Jewel
GP 8------#3 Checked Past
GP 9------#5 Mongolian King
GP 9------#9 Golden Spear
GP 10-----#6 Nellie Cashman
GP 11-----#9 Alpha Better
GP 12-----#4 Grand Tito
GP 13-----#9 Blue Tone

OP 1------#10 Golfin' De An
OP 2------#4 Chiefs Expectation
OP 4------#3 Telegraph
OP 4------#8 Rebel Soul----------------scratched
OP 5------#5 Quiet Man----------------XXXX, 15.00
OP 6------#6 Shanks
OP 7------#7 Bling It On Baby

FG 1------#6 Diligent Jorga
FG 4------#7 Deep Bottom
FG 6------#11 Adios Nardo
FG 8------#5 Pecky's Boy
FG 9------#8 Wildwood Heir-----------cancelled

SA 1------#8 Roper
SA 2------#9 Zippingaroundtown
SA 4------#8 Currency Exchange
SA 6------#7 My Samurai Warrior
SA 7------#5 Little Jerry
SA 8------#4 Imperative
SA 9------#11 Sky Mega

For the day:

win = 0/35
bet = $70
back = $0
loss = $70----------for the year =($94.20 loss)

place = 2/30
bet = $70
back = $22.20
loss = $47.80-----------for the year =($127.40 loss)
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Old 02-14-2015, 01:46 AM   #14
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Picks for 2/14/15

Aqu 3-----#6 It's Perfect Too
Aqu 7-----#9 Town Kitty
Aqu 8-----#2 Make the Moment
Aqu 9-----#3 Betty Bing Bing

Lrl 6------#3 Spango
Lrl 8------#11 Disco Barbie

GP 2------#1 Tormenta Fiera
GP 3------#4 Silver Armer
GP 6------#10 Bourbon First
GP 8------#8 Boca Scuttlebutt
GP 9------#2 Takepointsandrun
GP 10-----#7 Galiana
GP 11-----#2 Coursegold
GP 12-----#2 Jrock

OP 2------#7 Corso's Law
OP 3------#1 Cautiouslyoptimistic
OP 4------#1 Launch Light
OP 5------#4 Saturdaynitelites
OP 6------#1 This Ones for Phil
OP 8------#3 The Pickett Factor
OP 10-----#9 Hall of Fame

FG 3------#4 Utopia's Virgin
FG 5------#5 Thats It Imleaving
FG 7------#2 Lahaina
FG 11-----#6 Lunar Fog

SA 1------#3 Rich in Tradition
SA 6------#4 Aw Gee
SA 9------#9 Morning Coffee
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Old 02-14-2015, 09:19 AM   #15
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Give us a rough idea of what criteria you're using to pick these longshots. Pace, class, etc?
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