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Old 07-07-2019, 06:02 PM   #31
Robert Fischer
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Increase investment in what .?

Most tracks today could lock the doors and still run races and people could watch from the casino windows if they wanted.
from CRW.
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Old 07-07-2019, 06:26 PM   #32
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You see 6 horses and then 1 scratches and you've got horses...


when I used to 'cap every circuit, I would just scroll entries a...
......

For now it's Pick-5, and spot plays on turf, and an occasional full-field dirt stakes. The other thing they could do is scale Takeout to field-size.
suggestion; 10% is the minimum or less runners, add 2% per runner with a cap on 15% or whatever their current WPS takeout rate is.
The horsemen would figure this out a d enter dogs just to get the purses up.It The result would be larger fields with many having no shot going off at 99-1.
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Old 07-07-2019, 06:32 PM   #33
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The horsemen would figure this out a d enter dogs just to get the purses up.It The result would be larger fields with many having no shot going off at 99-1.


so they could jack-up to full takeout?

lol, probably right
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Old 07-08-2019, 09:40 AM   #34
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The trend is to reduce the amount of races in order to prop up field size. Before a seven race card was absolutely unheard of in the US, now they are becoming more commonplace (i.e. Louisiana Downs, Golden Gate). Maybe NYRA should reduce to eight races if the cards are coming up short? Because frankly, giving nearly $100,000 away to a five horse field or less is tantamount to handing out welfare.

Bottom line is that I’ll take a $4,000 claimer with 12 horses in it over a graded stake with six horses.
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Old 07-08-2019, 10:02 AM   #35
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Del Mar is cutting 3 races a week.
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Old 07-08-2019, 10:06 AM   #36
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Delaware has canceled a few cards so far this year. I can't see anything changing as long as the foal count continues to go down every year
What do you think the reason is? Is it tax law, not enough interested people?
When was the last year the foal count actually increased?
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Old 07-08-2019, 11:44 AM   #37
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What do you think the reason is? Is it tax law, not enough interested people?
When was the last year the foal count actually increased?

United States foal crop.



2015.


Fallen lower since then



Allan
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Old 07-08-2019, 01:19 PM   #38
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United States foal crop.



2015.


Fallen lower since then



Allan
Even that is very misleading since the real curve of the decline over a period of time more applicable to this discussion is quite steep. Over 50% drop since 1990.
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Old 07-08-2019, 01:22 PM   #39
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Just really hard to bet at 6.8 horses per event, especially when you consider turf races had bigger fields so the dirt races were int eh 5._ range. Just hard to continue to put time into the sport.
The reality is that small fields are here to stay.

Ironically, as fields get smaller, the game begins to look more like sports betting... except with a MUCH HIGHER take. (That will be the kiss of death for racing.)
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Old 07-08-2019, 01:40 PM   #40
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[QUOTE=Dave Schwartz;2489129]The reality is that small fields are here to stay.

Ironically, as fields get smaller, the game begins to look more like sports betting... except with a MUCH HIGHER take. (That will be the kiss of death for racing.)[/QUOTEYes but with far fewer casual bettors.
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Old 07-08-2019, 01:54 PM   #41
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The reality is that small fields are here to stay.

Ironically, as fields get smaller, the game begins to look more like sports betting... except with a MUCH HIGHER take. (That will be the kiss of death for racing.)
Dave Schwartz, that's scary



The 'disaster' that was(/is?) horse-racing 'Roulette' wager, had what 3? or so betting choices, but I think a 15% or 20% or whatever takeout rake??


So almost every outcome would have paid a better ROI to simply dutch...
A tiny field is absolutely decimated by the current takeout rates...

Maybe they need to go to 10% takeout?? I guess the horseman would have a fit.... Have to see the big picture, the long term...


FRUSTRATING


For now, the player is limited to spot-plays and certain exotic wagers.
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Old 07-08-2019, 02:34 PM   #42
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The reality is that small fields are here to stay.

Ironically, as fields get smaller, the game begins to look more like sports betting... except with a MUCH HIGHER take. (That will be the kiss of death for racing.)


It is already on course and some of the lifeboats have left the ship.
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Old 07-08-2019, 07:31 PM   #43
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What do you think the reason is? Is it tax law, not enough interested people?
When was the last year the foal count actually increased?
To keep a horse in training costs about $4k per month (higher in NY). A human can live easily on $4k per month (except SF & NY generally speaking) why would an animal cost so much more than a human
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Old 07-08-2019, 07:36 PM   #44
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The reality is that small fields are here to stay.

Ironically, as fields get smaller, the game begins to look more like sports betting... except with a MUCH HIGHER take. (That will be the kiss of death for racing.)
I agree w/this. Full sports books are popping up everywhere takeout about 4% if Im not mistaken. I'm tired of betting into a 24% tri takeout. Isn't slot machine takeout about 5-6%? Horse racing takeout should 10-12%
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Old 07-09-2019, 08:39 AM   #45
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