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10-28-2021, 06:57 PM
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#61
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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friday Juv Fillies Turf
who's favored? IDK (pizza bianca, koala, consumer spending? gotta see tha field) = bc juv fillies turf has a few of these euro sprinters stretching out. I've posted that angle in the past. Going 1M now, and the public gives value to these because their PPs have shorter distances... "Distance a concern" 
I still have to do due diligence to see if even one of them are any good.
Lesser extent in the Juvenile Turf (a few 7f-1M euros), but general euro respect
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Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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10-29-2021, 12:38 AM
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#62
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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still very clueless at this stage, but Malavath (IRE) isn't a bad filly.
Broke maiden 6f without a hassle. Speed figure not impressive.
Stepped up to a decent class of five rivals at 6f, and got another good trip, but had enough adversity to have to run full out. Showed a good response, and actually better footwork, looking probably best of the group even with the trip, and the lack of betting support.
Interesting that the 'Timeform Foreign Comments' mention that she's likely to progress further and to get 7f'.
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Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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10-29-2021, 01:52 PM
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#63
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 5,803
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10-29-2021, 02:18 PM
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#64
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Andy Asaro
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thanks for posting this, Andy 
23.68% "Late P5" (in other words the feature races)
Exactas are also a bit high, 22.68 ...
tri/su/p3/p4 = industry norms
what is Win/Place/Show??
W/P/S , specifically Win look like the best general bet
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Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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10-29-2021, 02:40 PM
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#65
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 5,803
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
thanks for posting this, Andy
23.68% "Late P5" (in other words the feature races)
Exactas are also a bit high, 22.68 ...
tri/su/p3/p4 = industry norms
what is Win/Place/Show??
https://twitter.com/racetrackandy/st...47792163590148
W/P/S , specifically Win look like the best general bet |
WPS is 15.43 per usual.
Exacta takeout has been ridiculous high since they raised in in 2010.
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10-29-2021, 03:50 PM
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#66
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Andy Asaro
WPS is 15.43 per usual.
Exacta takeout has been ridiculous high since they raised in in 2010.
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Yea. That is high for exactas (22.68), the old list I have has NY=18.5, Church=22, KEE=19.5, LRL=21
and w/out this info, I would have assumed ~20%.
I probably won't have a P5 ticket anyway, but the P5 for the big races is pretty high. For my budget, I'll look at Doubles (20%) in multi considerations first.
Fair takeout for the WPS
FWIW
/ tweet on what I came up with on a first round fight with that BC Juv F Turf
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10-29-2021, 07:22 PM
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#67
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Just Deplorable
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Lebanon, Ohio
Posts: 8,068
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10-30-2021, 09:34 AM
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#68
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 5,803
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10-30-2021, 10:49 AM
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#69
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 4,520
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Andy Asaro
She was great and I agree with you. The most unfortunate thing about her career was racing on synthetics so much
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She would have won the arc had they opted to travel. She was campaigned as a stay at home.
If she was owned by sporting connections we would have seen here in Europe, Asia, Dubai.
Ouija Board! And she was better than the board.
And she could run until the cows come home. 12f a natural distance for her.
And turf, dirt or synthetics, it didn’t matter.
Allan
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10-30-2021, 10:50 AM
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#70
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 4,520
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Corniche an obvious throw out.
Allan
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10-30-2021, 11:22 AM
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#71
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 7,333
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Quote:
Originally Posted by biggestal99
She would have won the arc had they opted to travel. She was campaigned as a stay at home.
If she was owned by sporting connections we would have seen here in Europe, Asia, Dubai.
Ouija Board! And she was better than the board.
And she could run until the cows come home. 12f a natural distance for her.
And turf, dirt or synthetics, it didn’t matter.
Allan
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You owe Plain Steve a debt of gratitude
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10-30-2021, 09:13 PM
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#72
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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Quote:
Originally Posted by biggestal99
Corniche an obvious throw out.
Allan
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yea?
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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10-30-2021, 10:08 PM
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#73
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 5,870
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Quote:
Originally Posted by biggestal99
Corniche an obvious throw out.
Allan
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i wonder what his odds will be, most people dont like him, 4/1?
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10-31-2021, 01:12 AM
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#74
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2017
Location: Near Lexington, KY
Posts: 3,246
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the little guy
You owe Plain Steve a debt of gratitude
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__________________
Just when you least expect it...just what you least expect-The Pet Shop Boys.
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10-31-2021, 09:38 AM
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#75
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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sheet juv turf sprint
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Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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