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05-31-2018, 03:49 PM
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#1
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Handicapper
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Chicago
Posts: 574
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Beaten Lengths Data
I'm looking for the average beaten lengths, for one year, sorted by field size, distance, surface and class. Anyone know where I could buy data such as this data? Thanks.
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05-31-2018, 04:25 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,552
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It's hard to decipher what you mean here.
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"Theory is knowledge that doesn't work. Practice is when everything works and you don't know why."
-- Hermann Hesse
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05-31-2018, 04:51 PM
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#3
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Handicapper
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Chicago
Posts: 574
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Like for example: if you took all allowance races at 6f with a 6 horse field. What would be the average beaten lengths for 2nd through 6th place? What about a 7 horse field? 8? And so on.
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05-31-2018, 05:44 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: Thornhill ON
Posts: 466
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Beaten Lenghts
Hey There
Beaten lengths has been a topic we should talk more as field size of 8 or more contestants changes a lot of the way the race will run.
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05-31-2018, 06:14 PM
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#5
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Handicapper
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Chicago
Posts: 574
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Yeah, what I'm kind of after is a "template" for what I'm doing.
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06-01-2018, 02:52 AM
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#7
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Handicapper
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Chicago
Posts: 574
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Hi there. Thanks for taking the time, man.
I'm looking for average beaten lengths behind the winner for each placing.
Like for a 6f dirt race with 6 horses: how far back was the 2nd place horse on average. Do that for 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th place. Looking for that kind of data for all distances and field sizes.
Would gladly pay someone for the info.
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06-01-2018, 10:57 AM
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#8
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
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I think if you break it down by field size you'll find very similar results. I don't think and 8th place finisher in eight horse fields is going to be much different that than the 8th place finisher in 10 or 12 horse fields. I'm saying this based on experience, not just guessing.
If you break it down by class you are going to have pretty smallish simple sizes. For example, how far would you need to go back in time to find 50 stakes races at 6.5 furlongs with 9 horse fields?
My personal recommendation, and again this is from a lot of experience with this sort of thing, is that breaking it down by surface, distance, and track condition will probably be as good and you'll have enough data to work with to form an opinion.
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06-01-2018, 10:30 PM
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#9
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,831
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A more interesting question is what does one do with a datapoint like this.
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06-04-2018, 01:29 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 20,610
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I've looked at data like this. There's not a LOT to be gained from breaking it down other than by distance, surface, and track condition.
One exception I remember was horses that trailed the field.
For example, finishing 6th in a 7-12 horse field will be different than finishing 6th in a 6 horse field. I'm not sure if it's because horses at the very back of the field tend to get eased or it's just more likely you are very bad if you finish 6th of 6 vs. 6th of 12. But if I recall most of the rest of it looks the same unless you switch distance, surface or track condition.
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"Unlearning is the highest form of learning"
Last edited by classhandicapper; 06-04-2018 at 01:37 PM.
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06-04-2018, 01:33 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 20,610
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AltonKelsey
A more interesting question is what does one do with a datapoint like this.
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If you are trying to build some kind of class or form rating, knowing the average margins might help you tweak your numbers better.
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"Unlearning is the highest form of learning"
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