2018-2019 HONG KONG

[Nitro]

R#5 - 1200M C4 (6F)D.……. 2-3-10 W/ 11-12-1 ….....2:00 AM EST –
(May sub #11 into top 3 if live tote indicates)

3-11-2-12– Dutch Win 52% Profit Margin / $31.30 Quinella & $294.60 Triple (And the unbettable Quartet $2,540.80) / ALL of that one!

[VigorsTheGrey]

R6

[Nitro]

R#6 - 1200M C3 (6F)D…….. 4-7-5 W/ 12-3-1 ……..2:35 AM EST –
(May sub #12 into top 3 if live tote indicates)

7-12-5-11– Dutch Win 18% Profit Margin-Passed / $50.20 Quinella & $1,152.20 Triple - (#7 got good support late) / ALL of that one w/BIG exotics with favorite out!

[VigorsTheGrey]

Originally Posted by VigorsTheGrey

R6

Result





quinella

[VigorsTheGrey]

R7

[Nitro]

R#7 – 1800M C3 (9F)T..….. 2-3-4 W/ 7-6---- ......3:05 AM EST –

2-9-6-7– Dutch Win 7% Profit Margin/Passed – No action on the LS Placer #9

[VigorsTheGrey]

R8

[Nitro]

R#8 - 1600M C4 (8F)T..…… 1-9-3 W/ 6-7-5 ………3:35 AM EST –
(May sub #5, #6 or #7 into top 3 if live tote indicates)

3-13-7-1– Dutch Win 76% Profit Margin/
**Dutch Win Betting quota was reached in that race.

[VigorsTheGrey]

R9
/ with

[VigorsTheGrey]

Originally Posted by VigorsTheGrey

R9
/ with

Result

[Nitro]

R#9 - 1200M C3 (6F)T.….…. 12-14-8 W/ 1-13-4 ….….4:10 AM EST –
(May sub #1 or #4 into top 3 if live tote indicates)

12-14-9-13– Dutch Win 83% Profit Margin-Passed – Dutch Quota reached / Top 2 Cold & $16.80 Quinella

[VigorsTheGrey]

R9

Dutch win bets

[VigorsTheGrey]

Originally Posted by VigorsTheGrey

R10

Result





Dutch win bets

Dutch win

$200 Profit target
$221 Bet

0.91 actual odds return

[Nitro]

R#10 - 1400M C3 (7F)T...... 5-14-8 W/ 10-13-2 ….….4:45 AM EST –
(May sub #2, #10 or #13 into top 3 if live tote indicates)

2-10-12-6– Dutch Loss 135% Profit Margin/Passed - Quota Reached

It turned out to be very profitable card based on the Dutch Win Profit margin and many decent verticals plays. My Dutch Win bets produced an O.A. Profit margin of 51% and was hit from the first 4 of 8 playable races.

[woodbinepmi]

Hong Kong Jockey Club at Happy Valley. January 30, 2019… 42nd race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 64 Degrees Partly Cloudy 20% of rain Wind: 5 to 10mph.

Post time: 6.15am ET, 3.15 am PT. Rail: Course “A”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
https://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20190130_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 8 Country Star (4-5) Won for fun in his last after getting a perfect trip but does have a bad habit of not switching to his proper lead and now picks up 9 more pounds than last and with the lead step issue going to play that those extra pounds take its effect late.

Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race 286 (Winners: 2nd, 4th & 11th)
Race 2 General Iron (11-1)

Race 212 (Winners: 3rd, 4th & 11th)
Race 4 Love Chunghwa (11-1)

Race 280 (Winners: 2nd & 8th, Second: 4th)
Race 7 Eptimum (22-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 1 Otouto (14-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 8 Telecom Brothers (10-1)

Horses for courses running tonight:
Race 6 Super Chic (8-1)
Race 8 Country Star (4-5)
Race 8 Super Hoppy (9-1)

Distance specialists running tonight:
Race 7 Moment Of Power (6-1)

Class specialists running tonight:
Race 5 Star Majestic (8-1)


Last race watch list horses running tonight:
Race 2 Jolly Bountiful (9-5) Closed well in his last only to miss by ¾ of a length to Gallant Reward, but was very unlucky at the draw for this out while getting the far outside post, was helped slightly when Roman Odyssey was scratched at the gate leaving the opening gate just under him open. Was able to save a little ground in the short turn all the while having to run from the rear of the field, raced two wide in the turn and at the 450 mark half-way thru the turn took the bit from Moreira and started to make up some very nice ground. But entering the stretch Flying Monkey drifted out to the middle of the track carrying Jolly Bountiful out with him, he was still able to carry his speed well in the stretch and was reaching for the wire with plenty of push only to be beaten by a nose to the high weight chalk Navas who had a much easier trip.

Race 4 Super Lucky (2-1) Had gone winless in his first 12 races in Hong Kong for trainer Casper Fownes, but picked up the services of leading rider Zac Purton for this try which makes for a formative couple at the downtown course. Broke well and settled at the back of the pack while chasing an average pace on the front end. Had to slightly be taken up half-way down the backside, then again ran into traffic in the turn, Zac guided him thru the traffic in the stretch and ran away from this field while never being shown the whip galloping under the wire with his ears pricked straight up. Unfortunately draws the 11 post tonight with the short run to the half turn, if someone will be able to get him over without fighting too much it would be Zac.


Past watch list runners running tonight:
None

Key Plays:
Race 2 Jolly Bountiful (9-5)
Race 8 Super Hoppy (9-1)

Longshots:
Race 6 Packing Dragon (18-1)